How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama 3 Fluminense 2 +0.1
+0.1
+0.1
Vitoria 0 Coritiba 1 -0.1
-0.2
Sao Paulo 2 Palmeiras 0 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Chapecoense vs Avai+2.2-1.0-2.0
+5.8-2.4-5.7
-3.5+1.0+3.7
+1.0-0.3-1.0
Sport Recife vs Gremio+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.3+0.3-0.4
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Atletico-GO vs Corinthians+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Atletico-PR vs Flamengo+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Santos vs Cruzeiro*+0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Botafogo vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Atletico-MG vs Ponte Preta+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 6/3100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense vs Gremio+2.7-0.7-2.2
+6.7-1.8-5.5
-3.6+0.7+3.1
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-2.0-0.7+2.6
-5.3-1.6+6.9
+3.1+0.6-3.8
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Gremio vs Vasco da Gama-0.1+0.2+0.1
-0.1+0.3*-0.0
Sao Paulo vs Vitoria-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Fluminense vs Vitoria-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Coritiba vs Atletico-PR-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.3
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Fluminense vs Atletico-PR-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo+0.0+0.1-0.1
*+0.0+0.3-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Coritiba vs Palmeiras-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians-0.1+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.3*-0.0
Sport Recife vs Flamengo+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Bahia vs Cruzeiro*+0.0+0.1-0.1
*+0.0+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Corinthians vs Santos-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Flamengo vs Botafogo-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Bahia vs Atletico-GO-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Atletico-GO vs Ponte Preta+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Avai vs Sport Recife*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Santos vs Botafogo-0.1+0.2-0.1
Atletico-MG vs Avai*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*+0.0-0.2+0.1
Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG-0.1+0.1*+0.0
*+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chapecoense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
88-112YesYes100No1,792*
8726-5-599.4%Yes991No180*
8626-6-499.6Yes1000No284*
84-85YesYes100No1,246*
8324-5-799.7Yes1000No1,222*
8224-6-699.8Yes1000No1,904*
8124-7-599.7Yes1000No2,946*
8023-6-799.2Yes991No4,427*
7923-7-698.8Yes9910No6,574*
7822-6-898.1Yes9820No9,624*
7722-7-797.2Yes9730No13,791*
7622-8-695.9Yes9640No19,336*
7521-7-893.7Yes9460No26,684*
7421-8-791.0Yes9190No36,334*
7321-9-687.6Yes881210No48,260*
7220-8-883.1Yes831610No63,604*
7120-9-776.5Yes772220No82,508*
7020-10-669.7100.0%7027300No104,785*
6919-9-860.9100.06133600No131,386*
6819-10-751.399.9513810100No162,663*
6718-9-940.999.84142152000No196,789*
6618-10-830.599.43143215100No236,650*
6518-11-721.198.42140289100No278,405*
6417-10-913.195.9133533154000No323,945*
6317-11-87.290.8726352281000No369,620*
6217-12-73.481.63173229144100No417,329*
6116-11-91.367.21925322292000No462,449*
6016-12-80.448.9041629281651000No504,521*
5916-13-70.129.60182130251231000No542,818*
5815-12-90.014.300311242921920000No576,395*
5715-13-80.05.100141426281872000No599,114*
5614-12-10No1.3001617272716510000No615,624*
5514-13-9No0.2000271828251441000No624,948*
5414-14-8No0.000028202824124100No621,741*
5313-13-10No0.00002921292311310000.0%610,522*
5213-14-9NoNo00031022292210300000.0588,869*
5113-15-8NoNo0001312232921920000.0558,945*
5012-14-10NoNo001413252820820000.2523,962*
4912-15-9NoNo00151526281861001.4482,946*
4812-16-8NoNo000161728271551005.4437,475*
4711-15-10NoNo000282030251230015.1388,771*
4611-16-9NoNo00031124312281031.2342,584*
4511-17-8NoNo0015152830174051.0295,118*
4410-16-10NoNo002821322610169.5249,908*
4310-17-9NoNo000313293318483.5209,565*
4210-18-8NoNo0017213627892.0170,973*
419-17-10NoNo0031433361496.6138,108*
409-18-9NoNo001827422298.8109,279*
399-19-8NoNo000420433299.684,778*
388-18-10NoNo00213424399.965,048*
378-19-9NoNo0193754100.048,606*
368-20-8NoNo0053163100.035,618*
357-19-10NoNo0032572100.025,813*
347-20-9NoNo011980Yes17,731*
337-21-8NoNo11485Yes12,667*
326-20-10NoNo01089Yes8,389*
316-21-9NoNo0793Yes5,699*
306-22-8NoNo0595Yes3,630*
295-21-10NoNo0397Yes2,388*
285-22-9NoNo298Yes1,381*
275-23-8NoNo199Yes851*
265-24-7NoNo199Yes498*
254-23-9NoNo199Yes256*
4-24NoNo100Yes1,884*
Total:6.5%26.0%7766666665555544433211.3%12,512,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship