How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians vs Chapecoense-1.5-0.6+2.0
-5.5-1.7+7.1
+4.5+0.9-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Chapecoense vs Internacional+1.9-0.7-1.6
+6.7-2.1-5.9
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Bahia vs Corinthians-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Internacional vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Ceara-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Atletico-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Athletico-PR vs Vasco da Gama-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Gremio-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Gremio vs Santos-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santos vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Cruzeiro-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-MG vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fortaleza vs Athletico-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Sao Paulo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/4100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense vs Athletico-PR+1.9-0.7-1.6
+6.7-2.1-5.9
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Gremio vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Santos-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bahia vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs Atletico-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Chapecoense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
91-114YesYes100No292,704*
9028-6-4100.0%Yes1000No2,558*
8928-5-5100.0Yes1000No4,592*
8827-7-4100.0Yes1000No8,117*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No14,329*
8627-5-6100.0Yes1000No24,222*
8526-7-599.9Yes1000No40,598*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No66,303*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No106,164*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No167,829*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No261,030*
8024-8-699.6Yes1000No399,174*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No598,312*
7824-6-898.9Yes9910No887,297*
7723-8-798.4Yes9820No1,289,206*
7623-7-897.5Yes9820No1,842,509*
7523-6-996.3Yes96400No2,598,240*
7422-8-894.5Yes95500No3,605,684*
7322-7-992.0Yes92800No4,922,469*
7221-9-888.6Yes8911000No6,618,415*
7121-8-984.1Yes8415100No8,768,895*
7021-7-1078.2Yes78202000No11,438,266*
6920-9-970.9Yes71263000No14,705,264*
6820-8-1062.1Yes62326000No18,642,443*
6720-7-1152.2100.0%523791000No23,250,133*
6619-9-1041.4100.041411520000No28,608,971*
6519-8-1130.7100.031432151000No34,670,902*
6419-7-1220.7100.0214028920000No41,421,797*
6318-9-1112.6100.013343316410000No48,772,609*
6218-8-126.699.87253523820000No56,613,148*
6117-10-112.999.1315313016510000No64,744,208*
6017-9-121.096.91822312410300000No72,993,763*
5917-8-130.391.00313262919720000No81,124,187*
5816-10-120.078.301517282715510000No88,856,038*
5716-9-130.057.70028202925134100000No95,950,730*
5616-8-140.033.60002921292311310000No102,119,240*
5515-10-130.014.100003112328221030000000.0%107,103,121*
5415-9-14No4.0000131123282193000000.0110,730,025*
5315-8-15No0.7000141224282092000000.0112,805,590*
5214-10-14No0.10000141224282092000000.0113,265,225*
5114-9-15No0.0000014132428208200000.0112,061,309*
5014-8-16No0.0000014132528198200000.3109,239,911*
4913-10-15No0.0000001514252818710001.6104,925,394*
4813-9-16No0.000000151627281761006.899,289,128*
4713-8-17NoNo00000171828271441018.792,509,956*
4612-10-16NoNo000029213024112037.584,911,234*
4512-9-17NoNo000013122631206158.576,749,196*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.468,295,130*
4311-10-17NoNo000029253523688.559,824,228*
4211-9-18NoNo000141734331295.151,564,047*
4111-8-19NoNo000021029402098.243,749,513*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.436,516,193*
3910-9-19NoNo0000214424299.829,984,691*
389-11-18NoNo000193753100.024,206,020*
379-10-19NoNo00053163100.019,196,885*
369-9-20NoNo00032572100.014,967,284*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.011,470,059*
348-10-20NoNo0011486100.08,635,122*
338-9-21NoNo00990Yes6,376,803*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes4,624,396*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes3,286,388*
307-9-22NoNo00397Yes2,294,004*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes1,564,408*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes1,046,343*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes685,321*
266-8-24NoNo00100Yes438,425*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes275,067*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes168,764*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes100,519*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes58,560*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes32,667*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes18,301*
193-10-25NoNo100Yes9,775*
183-9-26NoNo0100Yes4,986*
0-17NoNo100Yes294,466*
Total:5.0%30.0%5555555555555555555520.0%2,329,708,800

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship