How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Oeste 1 America-MG 1 +4.0
+0.1
Sampaio Correa 0 Brasil de Pelotas 1 +1.7
+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chapecoense vs Cuiaba+7.2-3.1-9.4
+0.9-0.1-1.4
No*No+0.0
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Guarani vs Chapecoense-8.8-3.6+6.5
-1.2-0.3+0.8
+0.0*NoNo
-0.2-0.1+0.1
America-MG vs Cruzeiro-4.2+2.5+4.6
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Ponte Preta vs Sampaio Correa+0.6+0.6-0.9
*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Juventude vs Nautico-0.5+0.4+0.6
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Botafogo-SP vs Juventude+0.6+0.4-0.4
+0.2+0.1-0.1
Cuiaba vs Avai-0.4+0.5+0.2
-0.1+0.1*+0.0
CSA vs Ponte Preta+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Avai vs Oeste-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1
CRB vs CSA+0.0+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Juventude vs Chapecoense-8.9-2.6+7.6
-1.3-0.1+0.9
-0.2-0.0+0.2
Avai vs Chapecoense-8.6-2.9+7.2
-1.2-0.1+0.9
-0.2-0.0+0.1
CSA vs America-MG+4.2+2.3-4.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
America-MG vs Sampaio Correa-3.8+2.8+2.9
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Sampaio Correa vs CRB-1.0+0.5+0.9
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Cuiaba vs Vitoria-0.5+0.4+0.6
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Cuiaba vs Botafogo-SP-0.4+0.4+0.6
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Juventude vs Oeste-0.3+0.4+0.6
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Ponte Preta vs Parana-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Operario-PR vs Avai+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Botafogo-SP vs Ponte Preta+0.3+0.2-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Confianca vs CSA+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chapecoense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
87-92YesYes100No37,440*
8612-3-0100.0%Yes1000No29,989*
8512-2-1100.0Yes1000No62,081
8412-1-2100.0Yes1000No93,275*
8311-3-1100.0Yes1000No139,954*
8211-2-299.9Yes1000No214,398*
8110-4-199.8Yes1000No283,351*
8010-3-299.6Yes10000No377,649*
7910-2-399.2Yes9910No337,691
9-5-199.3Yes991No143,649
789-4-298.5Yes9910No380,520
10-1-498.5Yes9820No190,768*
779-3-397.5Yes9730No668,701*
769-2-495.5Yes9640No415,922
8-5-295.7Yes9640No328,935*
758-4-392.7Yes93700No562,961
9-1-592.9Yes9370No227,975*
748-3-488.6Yes891100No586,260
7-6-289.2Yes89110No234,177*
737-5-383.0Yes831700No422,267
8-2-583.1Yes831600No387,318*
727-4-475.4Yes752310No549,596
8-1-676.3Yes762310No222,406*
717-3-566.3100.0%6631300No456,313
6-6-366.8100.06731200No257,847*
706-5-455.3100.05539500No359,902
7-2-655.9100.05639500No269,201*
696-4-543.4100.0434610100No374,095
5-7-344.3100.044451010No163,917*
686-3-631.899.9324817200No257,865
5-6-432.099.9324917200No186,597*
675-5-521.199.6214726500No352,117*
665-4-612.398.512413411100No267,751*
655-3-76.295.563139194000No197,865*
644-5-62.688.9320382910100No138,892*
634-4-70.975.8110303519500No93,748*
624-3-80.257.70419342911200No61,324*
613-5-70.036.2019263522610No37,817*
603-4-8No17.90315313215400No22,217*
593-3-9No7.00162034261120No12,643*
582-5-8No1.6019253323810No6,765*
572-4-9No0.200313293117610No3,405*
562-3-10No0.10141731291431No1,689*
551-5-9NoNo16203626920No751*
541-4-10NoNo2922361982No295*
531-3-11NoNo2924402131No108*
521-2-12NoNo42736249No45*
510-4-11NoNo3863No8*
500-3-12NoNo17173333No6
470-0-15NoNo031236361211.3%1,294
Total:73.7%98.6%74185210000000000000.0%10,421,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship