How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense 2 Ceara 2 -0.2
-1.9
+1.5
-0.3
Internacional 2 Vasco da Gama 0 -0.1
*-0.1
-0.3
Corinthians 1 Flamengo 5 -0.1
-0.2
-0.5
Bahia 3 Atletico-MG 1 +0.1
+0.7
-0.1
Sao Paulo 0 Gremio 0 +0.2
Coritiba 1 Santos 2 -0.4
-0.3
Atletico-GO 1 Athletico-PR 1 +0.3
-0.2
Bragantino 2 Sport Recife 0 +0.2
+0.4
Botafogo 0 Goias 0 *+0.1
-0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Ceara vs Sao Paulo+0.4-0.2-0.3
+6.2-1.9-5.0
-6.9+1.5+5.9
+1.2-0.3-1.0
Atletico-MG vs Athletico-PR-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.5-0.2+0.6
Goias vs Sao Paulo+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.6-0.2-0.5
Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza+0.1+0.3-0.2
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama-0.2+0.2+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Gremio vs Goias-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.2-0.3+0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ceara vs Coritiba+0.4-0.1-0.3
+5.8-1.9-4.6
-7.4+1.3+6.6
+1.2-0.3-1.0
Atletico-MG vs Sport Recife-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.2+0.0
-0.4-0.1+0.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Internacional vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.5-0.1+0.5
Bahia vs Fortaleza+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.4-0.2-0.3
Fluminense vs Santos-0.1+0.3-0.1
Atletico-GO vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Athletico-PR vs Gremio+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.3-0.2-0.2
Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.3+0.3
Bragantino vs Goias-0.1+0.1+0.0
+0.2-0.4+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ceara finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
8522-0-0100.0%Yes1000No1,116,262
8321-1-0YesYes100No68
8221-0-199.1Yes991No112
8120-2-0YesYes100No427
8020-1-199.5Yes991No1,395
7919-3-099.5Yes991No2,934*
7819-2-199.2Yes991No9,100
7719-1-298.6Yes991No20,100*
7618-3-197.8Yes9820No44,429*
7518-2-296.3Yes9640No99,670*
7417-4-194.3Yes9460No195,276*
7317-3-291.3Yes91900No390,361*
7217-2-387.2Yes871200No745,507*
7116-4-281.8Yes8217100No1,337,222*
7016-3-374.9Yes7523200No2,388,708*
6916-2-466.4Yes6630400No4,077,343*
6815-4-356.7Yes57367000No6,697,585*
6715-3-446.0100.0%4642111000No10,815,736*
6614-5-335.1100.03545183000No16,793,104*
6514-4-424.9100.02544256000No25,386,911*
6414-3-516.0100.0164032101000No37,479,030*
6313-5-49.1100.0932371840000No53,561,558*
6213-4-54.599.9523372681000No74,669,623*
6113-3-61.999.621432331530000No101,598,586*
6012-5-50.698.51724352481000No134,303,867*
5912-4-60.295.0031430321641000No173,422,693*
5811-6-50.086.70162133261120000No218,438,072*
5711-5-60.070.900211263221710000No267,848,203*
5611-4-70.048.8000415293016510000No320,974,260*
5510-6-60.026.1000161931271330000No375,155,159*
5410-5-7No10.1000282231241030000No427,545,929*
5310-4-8No2.6000021024302292000000.0%475,962,763*
529-6-7No0.400003122530208200000.0516,841,804*
519-5-8No0.000014142629197100000.0547,380,609*
509-4-9No0.000015152728176100000.0566,173,740*
498-6-8No0.0000015162728165100000.1570,865,059*
488-5-9No0.000001617282715510000.9561,300,317*
478-4-10NoNo0000171929261341004.3538,582,736*
467-6-9NoNo0000282130241130014.1503,499,901*
457-5-10NoNo000031124312281031.8458,565,632*
447-4-11NoNo000014142831185054.0407,084,690*
436-6-10NoNo00001619322812274.2351,581,836*
426-5-11NoNo0000210263522588.0295,441,387*
416-4-12NoNo000141735331195.3241,484,866*
405-6-11NoNo0001929412098.5191,707,477*
395-5-12NoNo0000421443199.6147,732,263*
385-4-13NoNo000213424499.9110,450,233*
374-6-12NoNo000173656100.079,949,660*
364-5-13NoNo00042968100.055,982,581*
354-4-14NoNo0022177100.037,884,022*
343-6-13NoNo0011584100.024,721,646*
333-5-14NoNo0001090100.015,510,891*
323-4-15NoNo00793Yes9,355,442*
312-6-14NoNo00496Yes5,400,015*
302-5-15NoNo0298Yes2,969,801*
292-4-16NoNo0199Yes1,556,016*
281-6-15NoNo0199Yes771,417*
271-5-16NoNo00100Yes357,540*
261-4-17NoNo0100Yes155,737*
251-3-18NoNo0100Yes62,108*
240-5-17NoNo0100Yes22,748*
230-4-18NoNo0100Yes7,121*
20-22NoNo100Yes2,616*
190-0-22NoNo0100Yes1,116,256
Total:0.5%14.8%1123445666777777665421.1%8,975,600,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship