How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vila Nova 1 CSA 2 +0.1
-10.1
+0.8
CSA 1 Cruzeiro 1 No
-0.0
-0.9
+0.0
Guarani 0 Bahia 2 -0.8
+0.0
Brusque 1 Gremio 1 *-0.1
Sport Recife 0 Vila Nova 0 *-0.1
Chapecoense 0 Guarani 0 -0.4
Novorizontino 2 Operario-PR 1 -0.4
Sampaio Correa 3 Vasco da Gama 1 +0.4
-0.1
Ituano 0 Londrina 0 -0.4
Londrina 1 Sampaio Correa 0 +0.3
Cruzeiro 2 Novorizontino 1 -0.2
+0.0
CRB 1 Brusque 1 *-0.2
Criciuma 1 Ponte Preta 1 *-0.2
Nautico 1 Chapecoense 2 *+0.1
Ponte Preta 1 Nautico 0 *+0.1
Bahia 1 CRB 1 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Criciuma vs CSA-0.1-0.1+0.2
+7.8+1.2-11.3
-0.7-0.1+1.0
Gremio vs Ponte Preta-0.5+0.0+1.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Chapecoense vs Gremio+0.9-0.0-0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Vila Nova vs Vasco da Gama+0.7-0.0-0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Operario-PR vs Tombense+1.3-0.1-0.9
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Sport Recife vs Guarani-0.8-0.2+1.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs CRB-0.2+0.0+0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Sampaio Correa vs Sport Recife+0.2-0.0-0.1
CRB vs Novorizontino+0.1-0.0-0.1
Guarani vs Brusque+0.6-0.5-0.2
Ituano vs Chapecoense+0.5-0.5-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the CSA finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
7719-0-057.2%Yes57421No42,196
74-75YesYes100No2*
7317-2-017.6Yes18766No17
7217-1-116.2Yes166222No74
7116-3-010.2Yes1065242No127*
7016-2-19.799.8%10563130No432
6916-1-24.399.54503870No1,005*
6815-3-12.099.024044131No2,126*
6715-2-21.397.6131461920No5,079*
6615-1-30.595.00224528500No10,203*
6514-3-20.289.901441351000No20,653*
6414-2-30.182.708344116100No41,414*
6313-4-20.071.904254324400No74,127*
6213-3-30.058.302164033810No133,633*
6113-2-40.043.4019344014200No234,196*
6012-4-3No28.704244223500No386,775*
5912-3-4No16.302143932112000No630,804*
5812-2-5No7.80173038205100No990,065*
5711-4-4No3.0003193629112000No1,491,912*
5611-3-5No0.9001102835206100No2,213,706*
5510-5-4No0.2004183329133000No3,162,081*
5410-4-5No0.0001824332382000No4,368,011*
5310-3-6No0.00031328311851000No5,917,448*
529-5-5No0.000151831281330000No7,731,946*
519-4-6No0.000028223224102000No9,819,813*
509-3-7NoNo000311263120710000.0%12,168,379*
498-5-6NoNo00141529301751000.014,589,479*
488-4-7NoNo000161831281330000.017,022,750*
478-3-8NoNo000182232241020000.219,342,863*
467-5-7NoNo000021126322071001.021,266,795*
457-4-8NoNo000041530301640004.222,739,474*
447-3-9NoNo000162133271020012.223,647,033*
436-5-8NoNo00021027342151026.623,814,055*
426-4-9NoNo0004173331132046.023,271,982*
415-6-8NoNo000182537235065.622,081,272*
405-5-9NoNo000315353412181.320,253,671*
395-4-10NoNo00018274022291.418,005,471*
384-6-9NoNo0003184133696.615,497,681*
374-5-10NoNo0011035431198.912,840,248*
364-4-11NoNo000527491899.710,287,999*
353-6-10NoNo00219522899.97,945,061*
343-5-11NoNo001115038100.05,883,984*
333-4-12NoNo0064449100.04,184,763*
323-3-13NoNo0033760100.02,853,335*
312-5-12NoNo0012969100.01,851,052*
302-4-13NoNo012277Yes1,143,348*
292-3-14NoNo001684Yes670,849*
281-5-13NoNo001189Yes367,430*
271-4-14NoNo0793Yes188,128*
261-3-15NoNo0495Yes89,954*
251-2-16NoNo397Yes38,728*
240-4-15NoNo199Yes15,179*
230-3-16NoNo199Yes5,075*
220-2-17NoNo0100Yes1,464
210-1-18NoNo100Yes278
200-0-19NoNo0100Yes42,215
Total:0.0%0.2%000001123456891011121210538.8%339,387,840

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship