How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ceara vs CSA-1.5-0.6+2.0
-5.5-1.7+7.1
+4.5+1.0-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
CSA vs Palmeiras+1.9-0.7-1.6
+6.7-2.1-5.9
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Athletico-PR vs Vasco da Gama-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bahia vs Corinthians-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Sao Paulo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Gremio-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-MG vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Internacional vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fortaleza vs Athletico-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Cruzeiro-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Atletico-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Gremio vs Santos-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Ceara-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santos vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/4100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
CSA vs Santos+1.9-0.7-1.6
+6.7-2.1-5.9
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Sao Paulo vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Gremio vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Athletico-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bahia vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs Atletico-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the CSA finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
90-114YesYes100No295,098*
8928-5-5100.0%Yes1000No4,593*
8827-7-499.9Yes1000No8,303*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No14,150*
8627-5-6100.0Yes1000No24,120*
8526-7-599.9Yes1000No40,301*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No65,730*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No105,906*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No168,414*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No261,126*
8024-8-699.6Yes10000No399,020*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No600,581*
7824-6-898.9Yes9910No885,050*
7723-8-798.4Yes9820No1,289,118*
7623-7-897.5Yes9820No1,842,599*
7523-6-996.3Yes96400No2,596,949*
7422-8-894.5Yes95500No3,604,126*
7322-7-992.0Yes92800No4,924,336*
7221-9-888.6Yes8911000No6,617,164*
7121-8-984.1Yes8415100No8,767,870*
7021-7-1078.2Yes78202000No11,443,718*
6920-9-970.9Yes71263000No14,715,987*
6820-8-1062.1100.0%623260000No18,632,235*
6720-7-1152.1100.0523791000No23,257,610*
6619-9-1041.4100.04141152000No28,605,518*
6519-8-1130.6100.031432151000No34,672,927*
6419-7-1220.7100.0214028920000No41,420,851*
6318-9-1112.6100.013343316410000No48,754,639*
6218-8-126.699.87253523820000No56,593,098*
6117-10-112.999.1315313016510000No64,737,711*
6017-9-121.096.91822312410300000No72,993,187*
5917-8-130.391.003132629197200000No81,108,675*
5816-10-120.078.3015172827155100000No88,857,395*
5716-9-130.057.7002820292513410000No95,943,394*
5616-8-140.033.60002921292311310000No102,110,247*
5515-10-130.014.100003112328221030000000.0%107,112,500*
5415-9-14No4.0000131123282193000000.0110,735,525*
5315-8-15No0.70000141224282092000000.0112,809,755*
5214-10-14No0.1000014122428209200000.0113,275,436*
5114-9-15No0.0000014132428208200000.0112,061,635*
5014-8-16No0.0000014132528198200000.3109,244,907*
4913-10-15No0.000001514262818710001.6104,933,966*
4813-9-16NoNo0000151627281761006.899,265,936*
4713-8-17NoNo0000171828271441018.792,515,384*
4612-10-16NoNo000029213024112037.584,921,851*
4512-9-17NoNo00013122631206158.576,759,920*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.468,278,764*
4311-10-17NoNo000029253523688.559,822,347*
4211-9-18NoNo000141734331295.151,578,534*
4111-8-19NoNo00021029402098.243,749,768*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.436,518,344*
3910-9-19NoNo0000214424299.829,975,381*
389-11-18NoNo000193753100.024,205,559*
379-10-19NoNo00053163100.019,207,412*
369-9-20NoNo00032572100.014,978,476*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.011,475,561*
348-10-20NoNo0011486100.08,635,142*
338-9-21NoNo000990100.06,377,461*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes4,622,783*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes3,289,346*
307-9-22NoNo00397Yes2,293,129*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes1,566,002*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes1,048,185*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes685,803*
266-8-24NoNo0100Yes439,505*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes275,910*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes167,894*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes100,282*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes58,466*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes33,049*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes18,116*
17-19NoNo100Yes17,062*
163-7-28NoNo0100Yes1,231*
0-15NoNo100Yes290,727*
Total:5.0%30.0%5555555555555555555520.0%2,329,708,800

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship