How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/16100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Brasil de Pelotas 2 Sao Bento 1 +0.4
+2.8
-8.8
+1.2
Criciuma 0 Bragantino 2 -0.1
-0.2
-0.6
Oeste 0 Coritiba 2 -0.1
-0.2
-0.6
Vila Nova 0 Sport Recife 2 -0.2
-0.5
Parana 0 Atletico-GO 0 +0.2
*-0.1
Sao Bento 2 Parana 1 +0.1
+0.6
America-MG 2 Cuiaba 1 +0.1
+0.5
Ponte Preta 0 CRB 1 +0.1
Operario-PR 1 Guarani 0 -0.1
-0.2
Cuiaba 3 Figueirense 0 -0.1
-0.2
Vitoria 0 America-MG 0 +0.1
-0.3
Londrina 1 Criciuma 1 *+0.1
-0.2
Botafogo-SP 2 Londrina 1 -0.1
Sport Recife 3 Botafogo-SP 0 +0.1
Guarani 0 Vila Nova 2 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.4-0.2+0.6
-3.2-1.3+4.0
+5.7+1.5-6.7
-1.0-0.3+1.2
Brasil de Pelotas vs Ponte Preta+0.6-0.2-0.4
+3.9-1.3-3.1
-6.8+1.4+5.9
+1.2-0.3-1.0
CRB vs Bragantino+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Coritiba vs Vitoria-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.5-0.2+0.6
Bragantino vs Coritiba-0.1+0.1*+0.0
*+0.0+0.2-0.1
Vila Nova vs Cuiaba+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.5-0.2-0.4
Figueirense vs CRB+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.4-0.1-0.4
Botafogo-SP vs Parana-0.2+0.2*+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife*+0.0+0.2-0.1
Londrina vs Sao Bento-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.3-0.3+0.5
Guarani vs Londrina+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.5-0.3-0.3
Cuiaba vs Botafogo-SP-0.1+0.2-0.1
Parana vs Criciuma-0.2*+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.2+0.5
Sport Recife vs Atletico-GO-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Vitoria vs Operario-PR+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.4-0.2-0.3
Operario-PR vs Figueirense-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.2+0.3
America-MG vs Guarani+0.1-0.4+0.1
Criciuma vs Oeste+0.1-0.3+0.1
Sao Bento vs America-MG+0.1-0.3*+0.1
Oeste vs Vila Nova*+0.1-0.3+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Brasil de Pelotas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
77-84YesYes100No698*
7618-1-296.2%Yes964No26*
7517-3-196.7Yes973No60*
7417-2-296.7Yes973No120*
7316-4-197.3Yes973No262*
7216-3-290.1Yes9091No517*
7116-2-387.6Yes88120No896*
7015-4-280.3Yes80191No1,591*
6915-3-376.3Yes762220No2,898*
6815-2-467.4Yes672930No4,688*
6714-4-357.6Yes583660No7,419*
6614-3-445.9100.0%46421110No11,893*
6513-5-334.499.834451830No18,003*
6413-4-423.699.3244326610No26,306*
6313-3-514.097.614383312200No37,767*
6212-5-47.293.572937216100No52,000*
6112-4-53.284.9318352912300No70,723*
6012-3-61.170.31926332171000No93,200*
5911-5-50.349.804163029164100No119,337*
5811-4-60.128.601721312511300No149,436*
5711-3-70.012.7002102431229200No182,214*
5610-5-60.03.800031326301971000No216,443*
5510-4-7No0.70014152729176100No251,147*
549-6-6No0.10015172828155100No283,254*
539-5-7No0.000016182927144100No311,240*
529-4-8NoNo001719292613410No333,292*
518-6-7NoNo000282030251230000.0%348,625*
508-5-8NoNo000282130241130000.0354,061*
498-4-9NoNo00002102330231020000.3351,116*
487-6-8NoNo00031125302182001.8340,614*
477-5-9NoNo00141327301861007.2320,369*
467-4-10NoNo00151629291541019.8293,437*
456-6-9NoNo0017213126112039.2261,259*
446-5-10NoNo002112633216160.8226,010*
436-4-11NoNo001416313114278.6190,055*
425-6-10NoNo0018243624690.1156,118*
415-5-11NoNo0041635341296.0124,208*
405-4-12NoNo001828412198.795,581*
394-6-11NoNo00420443299.670,622*
384-5-12NoNo00213424499.951,325*
374-4-13NoNo0173657100.035,991*
363-6-12NoNo0042967100.024,101*
353-5-13NoNo0022276100.015,551*
343-4-14NoNo11584Yes9,632*
332-6-13NoNo01189Yes5,808*
322-5-14NoNo0793Yes3,233*
312-4-15NoNo0397Yes1,723*
301-6-14NoNo298Yes851*
291-5-15NoNo199Yes429*
281-4-16NoNo199Yes193*
21-27NoNo100Yes778*
Total:0.8%7.7%1223445566777777665319.3%5,457,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship