How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.9-0.3+1.1
-3.7-1.3+4.5
+5.4+1.4-6.3
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Parana vs Bragantino+0.1+0.1-0.1
*+0.0+0.2-0.2
+0.2*+0.0-0.2
Operario-PR vs Londrina+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.3
+0.4-0.2-0.3
Ponte Preta vs Oeste-0.1*+0.0+0.0
-0.2+0.2*+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
America-MG vs Figueirense+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.3-0.2-0.2
Sao Bento vs Sport Recife+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.4-0.2-0.2
CRB vs Guarani-0.2*+0.1+0.1
*-0.1-0.2+0.2
Atletico-GO vs Vila Nova-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.1*-0.1+0.2
Criciuma vs Coritiba*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Vitoria vs Cuiaba+0.2-0.2*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Brasil de Pelotas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
81-99YesYes100No675*
8022-5-398.5%Yes991No68*
7922-4-499.0Yes991No103*
7822-3-599.5Yes1000No210*
7721-5-498.6Yes991No349*
7621-4-597.7Yes982No515*
7520-6-497.0Yes973No899*
7420-5-595.0Yes955No1,403*
7320-4-692.4Yes9270No2,164*
7219-6-589.5Yes89100No3,291*
7119-5-683.9Yes84151No4,924*
7019-4-778.7Yes792010No7,497*
6918-6-670.8Yes712630No10,441*
6818-5-763.3Yes633150No14,547*
6717-7-653.0100.0%5337910No20,119*
6617-6-742.199.9424214200No26,823*
6517-5-831.299.6314321400No35,972*
6416-7-721.098.62141289100No46,679*
6316-6-812.996.113353315300No59,196*
6216-5-96.990.872635238100No74,402*
6115-7-83.081.13173229144100No91,775*
6015-6-91.165.91824322392000No110,158*
5914-8-80.346.2031428291761000No130,096*
5814-7-90.026.1016193026134100No151,738*
5714-6-100.011.20029223023113000No172,325*
5613-8-90.03.400031124292192000No193,588*
5513-7-10No0.600141325291972000No213,354*
5413-6-11No0.100151526281871000No230,160*
5312-8-10No0.000151527271761000No244,697*
5212-7-11NoNo0015162727166100No256,284*
5112-6-12NoNo000161727271551000.0%261,082*
5011-8-11NoNo00171828261551000.1261,572*
4911-7-12NoNo0002719292613410000.7260,285*
4811-6-13NoNo00282129241230003.4250,906*
4710-8-12NoNo000310233022920011.6237,548*
4610-7-13NoNo00141326301971026.9222,693*
4510-6-14NoNo00015172929154047.2203,146*
449-8-13NoNo000292232259167.2182,341*
439-7-14NoNo000314293317382.5160,714*
429-6-15NoNo0017223527791.9138,195*
418-8-14NoNo0031433361496.8117,834*
408-7-15NoNo001827422398.897,228*
398-6-16NoNo00419433399.678,910*
387-8-15NoNo00213414599.962,762*
377-7-16NoNo0183656100.048,242*
367-6-17NoNo0043066100.037,070*
356-8-16NoNo0022374100.027,329*
346-7-17NoNo011881Yes19,728*
336-6-18NoNo011287Yes14,129*
325-8-17NoNo0991Yes9,735*
315-7-18NoNo0694Yes6,472*
305-6-19NoNo496Yes4,256*
294-8-18NoNo397Yes2,804*
284-7-19NoNo199Yes1,608*
274-6-20NoNo0100Yes1,060*
263-8-19NoNo199Yes560*
253-7-20NoNo199Yes303*
243-6-21NoNo199Yes180*
9-23NoNo100Yes776*
Total:2.0%11.9%2334445555666666666522.9%4,813,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship