Red Bull Bragantino Title ChancesLost to Atletico-MG 1-2, title odds down 3.4 to 2.8% 52 points 14-10-5 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 10/21 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Average seed | Bragantino 1 Atletico-MG 2 | -3.1 | | -1.6 | | -0.4 | | Bragantino 1 Fluminense 0 | +1.6 | | +3.1 | | +0.4 | | Botafogo 1 Athletico-PR 1 | +0.6 | | | | +0.0 | | Palmeiras 5 Sao Paulo 0 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | Flamengo 1 Vasco 0 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | Sao Paulo 3 Gremio 0 | | | +0.5 | | +0.1 | | Coritiba 0 Palmeiras 2 | | | -0.3 | | -0.0 | | Athletico-PR 3 America-MG 2 | | | -0.1 | | -0.0 | | Atletico-MG 0 Cruzeiro 1 | | | +0.5 | | +0.1 | | Bahia 2 Fortaleza 0 | | | +0.6 | | | | Fluminense 5 Goias 3 | | | -0.2 | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Gremio vs Flamengo | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | -0.6+0.2+0.4 | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 10/29 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Average seed | Flamengo vs Bragantino | -1.7-0.7+2.3 | | -3.1+0.1+3.3 | | -0.5-0.1+0.6 | | Botafogo vs Cuiaba | -1.2+0.8+2.1 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | | | Goias vs Bragantino | -1.8-1.1+1.4 | | -4.5-1.2+2.7 | | -0.6-0.2+0.4 | | Botafogo vs Palmeiras | -1.3+0.6+1.7 | | +0.2*-0.0-0.4 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Flamengo vs Santos | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | Palmeiras vs Bahia | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.3+0.2+0.4 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | Athletico-PR vs Sao Paulo | | | -0.4+0.2+0.5 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Corinthians vs Athletico-PR | | | +0.5+0.2-0.5 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Coritiba vs Gremio | | | +0.8+0.4-0.5 | | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | | America-MG vs Gremio | | | +0.8+0.4-0.5 | | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | | Atletico-MG vs Fluminense | | | -0.1+0.4-0.1 | | | | Atletico-MG vs Fortaleza | | | -0.3+0.3+0.1 | | | | Bahia vs Fluminense | | | +0.6+0.3-0.6 | | | | Fortaleza vs Cruzeiro | | | -0.4+0.2+0.4 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Bragantino finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 79 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 76.0 | % | Yes | 76 | 24 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 359,891 | | 77 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 55.9 | | Yes | 56 | 44 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,525,932 | | 76 | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 41.4 | | Yes | 41 | 58 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,916,461 | | 75 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 34.0 | | Yes | 34 | 65 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,242,182 | | 74 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 22.5 | | Yes | 23 | 75 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,092,456 | | 73 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 14.1 | | Yes | 14 | 81 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,007,185 | | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 16.5 | | Yes | 17 | 80 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,999,956 | | 72 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 9.2 | | Yes | 9 | 81 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,902,127 | | 71 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 4.8 | | Yes | 5 | 79 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 18,326,408 | | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 5.9 | | Yes | 6 | 80 | 14 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,160,638 | | 70 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 2.5 | | Yes | 3 | 71 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,612,165 | | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 2.3 | | Yes | 2 | 71 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,438,766 | | 69 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 1.0 | | 100.0 | % | 1 | 58 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 28,643,726 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 1.3 | | Yes | 1 | 61 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,661,658 | | 68 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0.3 | | 100.0 | | 0 | 45 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 23,126,091 | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0.4 | | 100.0 | | 0 | 45 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,188,746 | | 67 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0.1 | | 100.0 | | 0 | 29 | 48 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 24,770,327 | | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 0.1 | | 100.0 | | 0 | 30 | 48 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,947,042 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | 100.0 | | 0 | 31 | 48 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 577,983 | | 66 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 100.0 | | 0 | 17 | 45 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 29,864,137 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | 100.0 | | 0 | 17 | 45 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,242,383 | | 65 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 99.9 | | 0 | 8 | 36 | 39 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 17,838,536 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | 99.9 | | 0 | 8 | 35 | 40 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,818,007 | | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | 99.9 | | 0 | 9 | 36 | 39 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 129,482 | | 64 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 99.4 | | 0 | 3 | 22 | 41 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 20,484,641 | | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 99.4 | | 0 | 3 | 24 | 41 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,225,542 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | 99.4 | | 0 | 3 | 22 | 41 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,099,700 | | 63 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 97.3 | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 36 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 18,268,410 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | 97.4 | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 36 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,983,489 | * | 62 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | 91.7 | | | 0 | 4 | 22 | 38 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,613,170 | | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | 91.4 | | | 0 | 4 | 21 | 38 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,887,793 | | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | No | 92.1 | | | 0 | 4 | 22 | 39 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 162,633 | | 61 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | 78.7 | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 37 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,323,372 | | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | 80.1 | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 35 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,676,176 | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | No | 79.5 | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 37 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 680,476 | * | 60 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | 59.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 37 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,561,894 | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | 60.2 | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 38 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,623,388 | * | 59 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | 38.5 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 38 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,542,382 | | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 37.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 39 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,423,687 | * | 58 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 19.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 37 | 33 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 2,211,317 | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | 20.5 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 417,833 | | | 0 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | 20.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 32 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 136,780 | | 57 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | 7.6 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 40 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 1,279,237 | | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | 7.9 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 41 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 240,175 | | 56 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | 2.3 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 38 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 419,702 | | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | 2.2 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 38 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 279,686 | | 55 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | 0.5 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 43 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 273,795 | * | 54 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | 0.1 | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 14 | 40 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 104,736 | | 53 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 27 | 41 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 29,657 | | 52 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 36 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 45,884 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 2.8 | % | 95.4 | % | 3 | 34 | 26 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 339,387,840 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |