How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/16100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Average seed
Criciuma 0 Bragantino 2 +6.7
+4.6
+0.3
Oeste 0 Coritiba 2 -2.2
-0.5
-0.1
Londrina 1 Criciuma 1 +0.5
+0.4
CRB 0 Vitoria 1 +0.5
+0.6
Sao Bento 2 Parana 1 +0.4
+0.5
America-MG 2 Cuiaba 1 +0.4
+0.5
Sport Recife 3 Botafogo-SP 0 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Parana vs Atletico-GO+1.3+0.8-1.6
+0.1+0.3-0.3
Vila Nova vs Sport Recife+0.6+0.3-0.6
+0.4+0.2-0.4
Ponte Preta vs CRB-0.6+0.5+0.5
-0.2+0.3+0.1
Botafogo-SP vs Londrina+0.1+0.4-0.4
*-0.0+0.3-0.2
Cuiaba vs Figueirense-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
Operario-PR vs Guarani-0.1+0.1+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Average seed
Bragantino vs Coritiba+11.0-2.2-11.8
+3.9-0.9-4.1
+0.4-0.1-0.4
CRB vs Bragantino-8.5-3.6+7.6
-4.5-1.2+3.6
-0.4-0.1+0.3
Coritiba vs Vitoria-2.7+2.0+3.8
-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Atletico-GO vs Brasil de Pelotas-1.4+1.0+1.6
-0.4+0.3+0.5
Sport Recife vs Atletico-GO+0.7+1.0-1.3
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Ponte Preta+0.7+0.4-0.7
+0.4+0.2-0.4
Guarani vs Londrina+0.5+0.3-0.5
+0.5+0.2-0.4
Londrina vs Sao Bento-0.5+0.3+0.5
-0.4+0.2+0.4
Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife-0.3+0.6-0.1
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Cuiaba vs Botafogo-SP+0.1+0.3-0.2
*+0.0+0.2-0.2
Botafogo-SP vs Parana-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.2+0.3*-0.0
Vila Nova vs Cuiaba+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.3
Figueirense vs CRB+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.2-0.3
Parana vs Criciuma-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.3
Operario-PR vs Figueirense-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Vitoria vs Operario-PR+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bragantino finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
88-97YesYes100No15,975*
8717-2-2100.0%Yes1000No12,403*
8616-4-1100.0Yes1000No20,378*
8516-3-299.9Yes1000No35,072*
8416-2-399.9Yes1000No55,465*
8315-4-299.8Yes1000No83,911*
8215-3-399.7Yes1000No124,365*
8114-5-299.5Yes10000No175,313*
8014-4-399.2Yes9910No242,778*
7914-3-498.6Yes9910No325,025*
7813-5-397.7Yes9820No419,289*
7713-4-496.4Yes9640No526,741*
7613-3-594.3Yes9460No642,804*
7512-5-491.4Yes91800No760,852*
7412-4-587.4Yes871200No877,740*
7311-6-482.2Yes821710No983,252*
7211-5-575.3100.0%7523200No1,070,284*
7111-4-667.1100.06730300No1,137,762*
7010-6-557.6100.058366000No1,174,899*
6910-5-647.2100.0474210100No1,179,058*
6810-4-736.499.9364616200No1,156,185*
679-6-626.399.7264623400No1,102,360*
669-5-717.399.01743318100No1,022,588*
659-4-810.397.2103636153000No925,629*
648-6-75.393.1526392361000No814,535*
638-5-82.485.3217363012200No698,378*
627-7-70.972.8192835206100No582,252*
617-6-80.356.004183329123000No472,845*
607-5-90.137.301102633217100No374,239*
596-7-80.020.500416312915410No286,403*
586-6-90.09.1001822322410200No213,664*
576-5-10No3.1003122731196100No154,716*
565-7-9No0.80015173028154000No109,449*
555-6-10No0.1002821312510200No74,630*
545-5-11No0.000311263121710No48,709*
534-7-10NoNo00415293016510No31,570*
524-6-11NoNo01619302713300No19,582*
514-5-12NoNo00282331231020No11,739*
503-7-11NoNo00311263120710No6,621*
493-6-12NoNo0141629301641No3,740*
483-5-13NoNo02720302711200.4%2,002*
473-4-14NoNo392632219202.11,035*
462-6-13NoNo003152728187109.1486*
452-5-14NoNo0517313411213.1244*
442-4-15NoNo17232926103139.8103*
431-6-14NoNo3611203720360.035*
421-5-15NoNo927451863.611*
411-4-16NoNo6040Yes5*
401-3-17NoNo25252525Yes4*
391-2-18NoNo100Yes1
340-0-21NoNo022870Yes2,234
Total:48.5%90.6%492312742110000000000000.0%17,979,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship