How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Parana vs Botafogo-SP-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.5
+4.7+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Operario-PR vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Confianca vs Nautico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Confianca-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vitoria vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Figueirense vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nautico vs Parana-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cuiaba vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Cruzeiro-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
America-MG vs Botafogo-SP-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.5
+4.7+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Botafogo-SP vs Chapecoense+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.5-1.6-4.5
-5.4+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Botafogo-SP vs Sampaio Correa+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.5-1.6-4.5
-5.4+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Sampaio Correa vs Parana-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nautico vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Vitoria-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cuiaba vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vitoria vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Confianca vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Vitoria-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Cuiaba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Nautico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Parana vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Operario-PR vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Figueirense vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Botafogo-SP finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
91-114YesYes100No414,575*
9028-6-4100.0%Yes1000No3,826*
8928-5-5YesYes100No7,003*
8827-7-4100.0Yes1000No12,224*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No21,151*
8627-5-699.9Yes1000No35,674*
8526-7-599.9Yes1000No59,741*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No97,925*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No156,914*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No246,988*
8125-6-799.7Yes10000No384,604*
8024-8-699.6Yes10000No585,652*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No876,459*
7824-6-898.9Yes9910No1,295,435*
7723-8-798.3Yes9820No1,879,609*
7623-7-897.5Yes97300No2,683,581*
7523-6-996.2Yes96400No3,776,091*
7422-8-894.3Yes94600No5,222,402*
7322-7-991.8Yes92800No7,121,638*
7222-6-1088.3100.0%8811000No9,563,019*
7121-8-983.7100.08415100No12,645,807*
7021-7-1077.7100.078202000No16,485,345*
6920-9-970.3100.070263000No21,151,512*
6820-8-1061.5100.061326000No26,760,910*
6720-7-1151.599.951381010000No33,344,440*
6619-9-1040.799.84142152000No40,957,125*
6519-8-1130.099.330432251000No49,581,562*
6419-7-1220.298.12040281020000No59,156,080*
6318-9-1112.195.21233341641000No69,575,613*
6218-8-126.389.162435249200000No80,637,361*
6118-7-132.778.1315303016510000No92,139,029*
6017-9-120.961.61722312411300000No103,787,310*
5917-8-130.241.403122630197200000No115,211,250*
5816-10-120.022.401516282716510000No126,091,634*
5716-9-130.09.00027192825134100000No136,047,097*
5616-8-140.02.500029212823123100000No144,657,698*
5515-10-130.00.4000031022282210310000No151,605,961*
5415-9-14No0.00001311232821103000000.0%156,613,140*
5315-8-15No0.0000131123282193000000.0159,466,890*
5214-10-14No0.00000141223282192000000.0160,015,738*
5114-9-15No0.00000014122428209200000.0158,237,137*
5014-8-16NoNo000014132428208200000.3154,159,210*
4913-10-15NoNo00001414252819720001.7147,992,088*
4813-9-16NoNo0000151527281761007.0139,963,360*
4713-8-17NoNo0000161828271441019.2130,375,374*
4612-10-16NoNo0000029213025112038.0119,649,323*
4512-9-17NoNo000003122531217159.0108,116,899*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.896,196,118*
4311-10-17NoNo000029253524688.784,258,487*
4211-9-18NoNo0000141634331295.272,652,478*
4111-8-19NoNo000021029402098.261,628,293*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.451,449,119*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424299.842,244,644*
3810-8-20NoNo000193753100.034,114,795*
379-10-19NoNo00053163100.027,078,910*
369-9-20NoNo00032573100.021,123,717*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.016,191,630*
348-10-20NoNo0011486100.012,194,033*
338-9-21NoNo00990Yes9,017,047*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes6,536,738*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes4,654,678*
307-9-22NoNo0397Yes3,246,572*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes2,220,324*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes1,488,570*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes974,567*
266-8-24NoNo00100Yes627,237*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes392,079*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes239,774*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes142,379*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes83,029*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes47,137*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes26,094*
193-10-25NoNo0100Yes13,932*
0-18NoNo100Yes424,375*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%3,298,136,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship