How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/16100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife 3 Botafogo-SP 0 -2.5
-7.4
+2.0
-1.0
Botafogo-SP 2 Londrina 1 +2.1
+8.1
-3.1
+1.2
Criciuma 0 Bragantino 2 -0.5
-0.6
-0.2
Oeste 0 Coritiba 2 -0.3
-0.7
-0.2
Sao Bento 2 Parana 1 +0.1
+0.4
+0.2
Vila Nova 0 Sport Recife 2 -0.1
-0.5
-0.2
Parana 0 Atletico-GO 0 +0.1
+0.4
America-MG 2 Cuiaba 1 +0.1
+0.3
+0.2
Ponte Preta 0 CRB 1 +0.1
Londrina 1 Criciuma 1 *+0.1
+0.3
*-0.1
Cuiaba 3 Figueirense 0 -0.3
-0.1
Operario-PR 1 Guarani 0 -0.3
-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas 2 Sao Bento 1 -0.1
Guarani 0 Vila Nova 2 *-0.1
Vitoria 0 America-MG 0 +0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Cuiaba vs Botafogo-SP-2.3-1.0+2.9
-7.7-2.6+9.4
+1.7+0.2-1.8
-1.0-0.3+1.1
Botafogo-SP vs Parana+2.8-1.0-2.2
+9.2-2.6-7.6
-1.8+0.2+1.7
+1.1-0.3-1.0
CRB vs Bragantino+0.4+0.3-0.6
-0.1+0.4-0.1
Coritiba vs Vitoria-0.5+0.2+0.4
-0.8+0.3+0.6
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Bragantino vs Coritiba-0.4+0.5*+0.0
*+0.0+0.4-0.3
Atletico-GO vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.7+0.4+0.5
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife+0.1+0.2-0.2
*+0.0+0.6-0.4
Sport Recife vs Atletico-GO*-0.0+0.2-0.1
-0.2+0.5-0.2
Figueirense vs CRB+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.4+0.3-0.6
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Vila Nova vs Cuiaba+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.4+0.3-0.6
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Ponte Preta+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.3-0.4
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Vitoria vs Operario-PR+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3+0.3-0.5
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Londrina vs Sao Bento-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.6+0.2+0.4
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Guarani vs Londrina+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.5+0.2-0.6
+0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Operario-PR vs Figueirense-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.4+0.3+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Parana vs Criciuma-0.4+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.1+0.1
America-MG vs Guarani-0.1+0.1*+0.0
*+0.0-0.1+0.0
Criciuma vs Oeste*+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs America-MG+0.0-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Botafogo-SP finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
80-90YesYes100No925*
7917-1-399.6%Yes1000No257*
7816-3-298.8Yes991No487*
7716-2-399.3Yes991No977*
7615-4-298.8Yes991No1,620*
7515-3-397.7Yes982No2,805*
7415-2-495.9Yes9640No4,727*
7314-4-393.4Yes9360No7,496*
7214-3-490.6Yes9190No11,814*
7113-5-385.9Yes861400No17,805*
7013-4-480.5Yes811810No26,171*
6913-3-573.3100.0%7324200No37,459*
6812-5-464.2100.06431400No52,615*
6712-4-553.8100.05438810No70,625*
6612-3-642.699.943431310No93,374*
6511-5-531.499.73145203000No119,651*
6411-4-620.899.02143287100No149,692*
6311-3-712.497.212363514300No183,003*
6210-5-66.492.762737226100No217,219*
6110-4-72.783.63173430133000No250,042*
609-6-60.968.8182634228100No282,785*
599-5-70.248.403153030165100No310,558*
589-4-80.027.901720312612300No333,571*
578-6-70.012.10021024312292000No348,744*
568-5-80.03.700031326301971000No355,119*
558-4-9No0.7015152829176100No350,775*
547-6-8No0.10016172827155100No340,581*
537-5-9No0.00016182926144100No320,093*
527-4-10NoNo0017192926134100No293,635*
516-6-9NoNo000282029251230000.0%260,009*
506-5-10NoNo000282130241130000.0225,470*
496-4-11NoNo000210223023102000.3190,895*
485-6-10NoNo0031124302192002.0156,799*
475-5-11NoNo0141326301971008.1123,679*
465-4-12NoNo00151529291651021.795,319*
454-6-11NoNo0017193127123042.071,680*
444-5-12NoNo002102433237163.650,914*
434-4-13NoNo01415313216380.735,782*
423-6-12NoNo0017233626791.623,810*
413-5-13NoNo0031334361496.915,442*
403-4-14NoNo01726432398.99,775*
392-6-13NoNo00317443599.75,655*
382-5-14NoNo1114048Yes3,287*
372-4-15NoNo153659Yes1,722*
361-6-14NoNo042571Yes858*
351-5-15NoNo012079Yes410*
341-4-16NoNo11683Yes187*
331-3-17NoNo1189Yes88*
28-32NoNo100Yes36*
270-0-21NoNo0100Yes678
Total:5.9%30.8%689988877655433221103.4%5,457,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship