How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
America-MG vs Botafogo-SP-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.5
+4.7+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Botafogo-SP vs Vitoria+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.5-1.6-4.5
-5.4+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Operario-PR vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Confianca vs Parana-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nautico vs Cuiaba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Cruzeiro-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Oeste-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Nautico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/3100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sampaio Correa vs Botafogo-SP-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.5
+4.7+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Parana vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Juventude vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Figueirense vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Cuiaba vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vitoria vs Confianca-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Cruzeiro vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Botafogo-SP finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
85-114YesYes100No10,115*
8426-6-699.9%Yes1000No1,768*
8326-5-7100.0Yes1000No2,769*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No4,462*
8125-6-799.8Yes1000No7,054*
8024-8-699.4Yes991No10,660*
7924-7-799.3Yes991No16,053*
7824-6-898.9Yes991No23,256*
7723-8-798.3Yes9820No34,541*
7623-7-897.4Yes9730No48,476*
7523-6-996.2Yes96400No68,100*
7422-8-894.3Yes9460No95,206*
7322-7-991.8Yes92800No129,497*
7222-6-1088.3Yes881100No173,921*
7121-8-983.8Yes841510No230,004*
7021-7-1077.7100.0%7820200No299,192*
6920-9-970.2100.07026300No383,252*
6820-8-1061.4100.061326000No484,413*
6720-7-1151.599.9513810100No604,748*
6619-9-1040.699.84142152000No742,840*
6519-8-1130.199.330432251000No897,978*
6419-7-1220.298.12040281020000No1,073,239*
6318-9-1112.195.2123334164100No1,261,999*
6218-8-126.389.1624352492000No1,462,856*
6118-7-132.878.1315303016510000No1,671,020*
6017-9-120.961.6182231241130000No1,880,952*
5917-8-130.241.40312263019820000No2,089,715*
5816-10-120.022.401516282716510000No2,284,737*
5716-9-130.09.0002719282513410000No2,465,454*
5616-8-140.02.50002921282312310000No2,623,964*
5515-10-13No0.400031022282210310000No2,747,644*
5415-9-14No0.000013112328211030000No2,838,910*
5315-8-15No0.000013112328219300000.0%2,890,338*
5214-10-14No0.000014122328219200000.02,901,637*
5114-9-15NoNo00014122428209200000.02,870,004*
5014-8-16NoNo0001413242820820000.32,797,886*
4913-10-15NoNo000141425281972001.72,682,790*
4813-9-16NoNo000151527281761007.12,537,128*
4713-8-17NoNo000161828271441019.22,364,240*
4612-10-16NoNo000029213025112038.02,167,821*
4512-9-17NoNo00003122531217159.01,959,716*
4412-8-18NoNo0001517313014276.81,742,313*
4311-10-17NoNo00029253524688.71,527,989*
4211-9-18NoNo00141634331295.21,317,724*
4111-8-19NoNo00021029402098.21,118,916*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.4933,000*
3910-9-19NoNo00214424299.8766,956*
3810-8-20NoNo00193753100.0617,799*
379-10-19NoNo00053163100.0490,373*
369-9-20NoNo0032573100.0382,180*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.0293,241*
348-10-20NoNo011486Yes220,880*
338-9-21NoNo00990Yes162,912*
328-8-22NoNo0694Yes118,965*
317-10-21NoNo0496Yes84,415*
307-9-22NoNo00397Yes59,026*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes40,378*
286-10-22NoNo199Yes26,718*
276-9-23NoNo199Yes17,375*
266-8-24NoNo0100Yes11,363*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes7,063*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes4,242*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes2,611*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes1,411*
0-21NoNo100Yes9,235*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%59,797,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship