How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Cuiaba 2 Botafogo-SP 0 -1.6
-7.8
+0.3
-0.7
Atletico-GO 0 Brasil de Pelotas 0 +0.1
+0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Botafogo-SP vs Parana+1.0-0.5-0.9
+6.9-2.7-6.4
-0.6+0.1+0.6
+0.9-0.3-0.9
CRB vs Bragantino+0.3+0.2-0.3
-0.3+0.3+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Coritiba vs Vitoria-0.2+0.1+0.3
-0.6+0.4+0.8
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.5-0.4
Vila Nova vs Cuiaba+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.8+0.4-0.8
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Sport Recife vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.2+0.5-0.2
Figueirense vs CRB+0.5+0.3-0.6
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Ponte Preta+0.4+0.3-0.5
Guarani vs Londrina+0.5+0.3-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Londrina vs Sao Bento-0.5+0.3+0.5
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Parana vs Criciuma-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Vitoria vs Operario-PR+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Operario-PR vs Figueirense-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
America-MG vs Guarani-0.0*+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vitoria vs Botafogo-SP-0.9-0.5+0.9
-6.3-3.0+6.3
+0.8+0.1-0.6
-0.9-0.3+0.8
Botafogo-SP vs America-MG+0.9-0.5-0.9
+5.9-3.3-6.6
-0.6+0.1+0.9
+0.8-0.4-0.9
Bragantino vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Sport Recife vs Bragantino+0.2+0.2-0.3
-0.6+0.3+0.3
Ponte Preta vs Coritiba+0.2+0.1-0.2
*-0.0+0.4-0.2
Coritiba vs Atletico-GO-0.2+0.1+0.1
*+0.0+0.4-0.3
Oeste vs Sport Recife+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.9+0.4-0.8
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Atletico-GO vs Sao Bento-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.7+0.5+1.0
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Cuiaba vs Criciuma-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.7+0.5+0.9
-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Operario-PR vs Cuiaba+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.5-0.6
Criciuma vs Ponte Preta+0.5+0.3-0.5
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
CRB vs Parana-0.4+0.4+0.2
Brasil de Pelotas vs Londrina+0.4+0.3-0.5
Londrina vs CRB*-0.0+0.4-0.2
Parana vs Vila Nova-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.0-0.0+0.1
America-MG vs Operario-PR+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Figueirense vs Guarani-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Vila Nova vs Vitoria+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Botafogo-SP finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
83-87YesYes100No2,175*
8218-1-198.1%Yes982No53
8117-3-098.9Yes991No94*
8017-2-198.0Yes982No249
7917-1-297.6Yes982No553*
7816-3-196.6Yes973No1,074*
7716-2-294.4Yes946No2,298*
7615-4-191.7Yes9280No4,152*
7515-3-286.9Yes87130No7,508*
7415-2-380.8Yes81181No12,847*
7314-4-273.7Yes742520No21,410*
7214-3-365.7100.0%6631300No34,721*
7114-2-455.9100.05638600No54,490*
7013-4-345.5100.045431010No81,002*
6913-3-434.899.9354716200No120,066*
6812-5-324.799.7254724400No168,839*
6712-4-416.299.11643328100No230,969*
6612-3-59.597.693638152000No309,071*
6511-5-44.893.95264023510No397,594*
6411-4-52.286.8217373111200No499,758*
6311-3-60.875.2192936195100No613,951*
6210-5-50.259.104203528112000No727,259*
6110-4-60.140.802112834196100No841,057*
6010-3-70.024.1005193328123000No947,767*
599-5-60.011.7002102633217100No1,035,760*
589-4-7No4.6004163130154000No1,104,229*
578-6-6No1.40018223224102000No1,145,534*
568-5-7No0.3003132832195100No1,156,460*
558-4-8No0.0001518312813300No1,134,646*
547-6-7No0.0002924332381000No1,084,922*
537-5-8No0.00003142932174000No1,007,671*
527-4-9NoNo001620332711200No907,528*
516-6-8NoNo0002102634216100No796,105*
506-5-9NoNo0041531311530000.0%679,323*
496-4-10NoNo0017223425102000.0563,597*
485-6-9NoNo00021128321961000.1451,532*
475-5-10NoNo0051731291430000.4352,130*
465-4-11NoNo001823332492001.9264,383*
454-6-10NoNo0003132831185106.1192,853*
444-5-11NoNo00161932281230015.4135,835*
434-4-12NoNo002925332271030.593,116*
423-6-11NoNo004153131153049.660,692*
413-5-12NoNo00182335258168.237,926*
403-4-13NoNo00314313515282.823,072*
392-6-12NoNo017233926592.513,266*
382-5-13NoNo031536361096.87,351*
372-4-14NoNo1829441899.43,708*
362-3-15NoNo0422472799.81,957*
351-5-14NoNo3134539Yes857*
341-4-15NoNo193754Yes383*
331-3-16NoNo133760Yes147*
320-5-15NoNo33860Yes40*
310-4-16NoNo51085Yes20*
29-30NoNo100Yes6*
270-0-20NoNo397Yes2,154
Total:1.8%20.2%246891010109875432110001.0%17,336,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship