How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas+3.4-1.9-3.7
+7.1-3.4-8.2
-0.3+0.1+0.5
+0.6-0.3-0.7
Parana vs Bragantino+1.0+0.6-1.1
-0.2+0.4-0.1
Operario-PR vs Londrina+0.6+0.3-0.6
+0.8+0.4-0.7
Sao Bento vs Sport Recife+0.4+0.2-0.4
+0.8+0.4-0.8
Ponte Preta vs Oeste-0.4+0.2+0.3
-0.6+0.5+0.4
Atletico-GO vs Vila Nova-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.5+0.4+0.4
America-MG vs Figueirense+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.6+0.3-0.6
Criciuma vs Coritiba+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.3+0.3-0.4
CRB vs Guarani-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.3
Vitoria vs Cuiaba+0.1+0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Botafogo-SP finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
93-106YesYes100No1,911*
9224-4-298.6%Yes991No73*
88-91YesYes100No1,913*
8722-5-399.8Yes1000No1,497*
8622-4-499.7Yes1000No2,462*
8521-6-399.6Yes1000No4,086*
8421-5-499.4Yes991No6,537*
8321-4-599.1Yes991No9,898*
8220-6-498.2Yes9820No15,193*
8120-5-597.6Yes9820No22,510*
8020-4-696.3Yes9640No32,286*
7919-6-594.8Yes9550No45,820*
7819-5-692.6Yes9370No63,695*
7718-7-589.7Yes901000No85,396*
7618-6-686.0Yes861400No113,733*
7518-5-781.3Yes811810No149,341*
7417-7-675.5Yes752320No189,273*
7317-6-768.8100.0%6928300No237,632*
7217-5-861.0100.06134500No292,206*
7116-7-752.3100.052398100No350,723*
7016-6-842.999.9434312100No413,680*
6916-5-933.999.83445183000No481,233*
6815-7-825.099.52545245000No547,109*
6715-6-917.298.71742319100No609,681*
6614-8-811.096.9113536153000No668,147*
6514-7-96.393.262738226100No718,442*
6414-6-103.286.73193629112000No760,883*
6313-8-91.476.21123033185100No788,753*
6213-7-100.561.91622342610200No804,307*
6113-6-110.245.1031329311851000No802,910*
6012-8-100.028.5017213226113000No789,167*
5912-7-110.015.10031227311971000No760,798*
5812-6-120.06.50016183027144100No717,997*
5711-8-110.02.10002923312392000No667,817*
5611-7-12No0.50004142730186100No607,975*
5511-6-13No0.100016183027144100No543,181*
5410-8-12No0.000029223023102000No475,302*
5310-7-13No0.00003122630207100No408,531*
529-9-12No0.000015162828165100No346,630*
519-8-13NoNo00172030261230000.0%286,224*
509-7-14NoNo00021023302292000.0231,632*
498-9-13NoNo0141326301961000.1183,611*
488-8-14NoNo00161729271441000.6143,429*
478-7-15NoNo0029223124102002.5108,952*
467-9-14NoNo0031326301961007.681,468*
457-8-15NoNo00161830281430017.359,516*
447-7-16NoNo002924322381032.742,455*
436-9-15NoNo014153031164050.429,695*
426-8-16NoNo00182334248167.420,060*
416-7-17NoNo00415323215280.413,613*
405-9-16NoNo019243823590.28,653*
395-8-17NoNo04193632995.75,412*
385-7-18NoNo0021033391698.33,372*
374-9-17NoNo01625452499.22,051*
364-8-18NoNo0318453599.71,200*
354-7-19NoNo1124542Yes692*
344-6-20NoNo183754Yes380*
333-8-19NoNo53263Yes191*
323-7-20NoNo12376Yes106*
313-6-21NoNo82171Yes48*
302-8-20NoNo595Yes20*
292-7-21NoNo1189Yes9*
16-28NoNo100Yes1,843*
Total:12.9%50.9%13141311108765432211100000.7%14,763,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship