How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Cuiaba 3 Oeste 0 -0.5
+0.0
America-MG 0 Figueirense 1 +0.1
+1.0
-0.1
Nautico 1 Chapecoense 1 *-0.1
Ponte Preta 1 Operario-PR 1 *-0.1
Avai 2 Sampaio Correa 5 +0.4
CSA 3 Cruzeiro 1 +0.5
Confianca 1 Guarani 0 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.1-0.0-0.0
+0.8-0.3-0.6
-8.8+1.8+7.1
+0.9-0.2-0.7
Chapecoense vs CSA-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.5-0.1+1.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Sampaio Correa-0.2-0.3+0.4
Sampaio Correa vs Figueirense+0.2-0.4+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-SP vs CRB+0.1-0.0-0.0
+0.9-0.3-0.6
-8.9+1.6+6.6
+0.9-0.2-0.7
Oeste vs Botafogo-SP-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.6-0.3+0.7
+7.9+2.1-8.6
-0.8-0.2+0.9
Cuiaba vs Nautico-0.2*-0.0+0.3
Operario-PR vs Cuiaba+0.1-0.0-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Parana+0.5-0.0-0.3
Cruzeiro vs Ponte Preta+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.7-0.1-0.5
Ponte Preta vs Confianca-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.5-0.1+0.8
+0.0+0.0-0.1
CSA vs Juventude+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.9-0.2-0.6
CRB vs America-MG+0.2-0.0-0.2
Sampaio Correa vs Nautico+0.5-0.2-0.3
Vitoria vs Oeste-0.3-0.2+0.6
Vitoria vs CSA-0.4-0.2+0.8
Confianca vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.3-0.2-0.2
Figueirense vs Guarani*+0.0-0.4+0.3
Avai vs Figueirense+0.2-0.4+0.1
Cruzeiro vs Avai+0.0-0.3+0.2
Guarani vs Sampaio Correa+0.3-0.5+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Botafogo-SP finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
82-95YesYes100No212,252*
8123-4-298.6%Yes991No139*
8023-3-398.0Yes982No302*
7923-2-496.4Yes964No611*
7822-4-395.7Yes9640No1,455*
7722-3-494.0Yes946No2,740*
7621-5-390.5Yes9190No5,430*
7521-4-487.5Yes88120No9,819*
7421-3-581.7Yes821710No18,470*
7320-5-475.8Yes762220No32,656*
7220-4-568.3Yes682830No57,965*
7119-6-460.4100.0%60346000No98,230*
7019-5-550.9100.05139910No164,994*
6919-4-640.999.9414314200No269,745*
6818-6-531.199.73145204000No432,465*
6718-5-622.299.22243277100No677,393*
6618-4-714.697.915383312200No1,041,662*
6517-6-68.795.193137194000No1,564,241*
6417-5-74.689.8522372691000No2,306,912*
6316-7-62.180.82143232154000No3,333,477*
6216-6-70.867.71825342381000No4,723,899*
6116-5-80.351.4041631301540000No6,569,168*
6015-7-70.134.101924332382000No8,949,549*
5915-6-80.019.20041530301651000No11,959,358*
5815-5-90.08.80017223225102000No15,683,167*
5714-7-80.03.200031227311961000No20,190,053*
5614-6-90.00.9000151730281441000No25,499,974*
5514-5-10No0.2000292231241020000No31,593,913*
5413-7-9No0.0000313263019710000No38,438,397*
5313-6-10No0.0000151729281541000No45,862,039*
5213-5-11No0.00002821302511300000.0%53,747,025*
5112-7-10No0.00000311253021820000.061,780,045*
5012-6-11NoNo00014152829176100000.069,708,146*
4911-8-10NoNo0001619302713400000.077,169,823*
4811-7-11NoNo0000292331231020000.283,844,462*
4711-6-12NoNo0000313273019610001.289,320,328*
4610-8-11NoNo0000161830281440004.293,367,189*
4510-7-12NoNo00029233124920011.295,723,339*
4410-6-13NoNo000041428311851023.696,253,369*
439-8-12NoNo00017203227112040.594,873,636*
429-7-13NoNo00003112733205058.791,668,269*
419-6-14NoNo0001519332911174.786,792,042*
408-8-13NoNo0000211293519386.480,476,947*
398-7-14NoNo00016213728793.573,098,129*
388-6-15NoNo000021434371397.365,024,768*
377-8-14NoNo0001828422199.056,559,644*
367-7-15NoNo000421453099.748,144,581*
357-6-16NoNo000214434199.940,063,418*
346-8-15NoNo00193951100.032,558,547*
336-7-16NoNo00053362100.025,838,930*
326-6-17NoNo0032671100.020,027,718*
315-8-16NoNo0012078100.015,125,432*
305-7-17NoNo0011584100.011,133,623*
295-6-18NoNo001189Yes7,979,095*
284-8-17NoNo00793Yes5,552,947*
274-7-18NoNo00595Yes3,758,446*
264-6-19NoNo00397Yes2,467,891*
253-8-18NoNo0298Yes1,565,381*
243-7-19NoNo0199Yes963,070*
233-6-20NoNo0199Yes571,717*
223-5-21NoNo00100Yes326,338*
212-7-20NoNo0100Yes179,126*
202-6-21NoNo0100Yes93,803*
192-5-22NoNo0100Yes46,619*
181-7-21NoNo0100Yes22,344*
171-6-22NoNo0100Yes9,918*
2-16NoNo100Yes218,780*
Total:0.1%1.4%0001122344567899101010939.2%1,705,755,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship