How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sampaio Correa 0 Brasil de Pelotas 1 +0.3
Cruzeiro 1 Confianca 2 -0.1
Operario-PR 1 Parana 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Botafogo-SP vs Juventude+0.0NoNo
-5.3+0.4+2.2
+0.4-0.0-0.2
Guarani vs Chapecoense+0.1+0.0-0.1
America-MG vs Cruzeiro-0.2+0.0+0.3
Juventude vs Nautico-0.4-0.0+0.8
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Avai vs Oeste+0.0+0.0-0.1
Confianca vs Figueirense-0.3-0.0+0.6
+0.1-0.0-0.1
CRB vs CSA+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Nautico vs Guarani+0.6-0.1-0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Vitoria vs CRB+1.1-0.1-0.8
Parana vs Vitoria-0.5-0.2+0.7
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Cuiaba vs Botafogo-SPNoNo+0.0
+2.1+0.2-5.7
-0.2+0.0+0.4
Botafogo-SP vs Ponte Preta+0.0NoNo
-5.2+0.5+2.3
+0.4-0.0-0.2
Cuiaba vs Vitoria-0.7+0.1+1.3
Sampaio Correa vs CRB-0.1+0.0+0.1
Juventude vs Oeste+0.0-0.0-0.1
Ponte Preta vs Parana-0.3+0.0+0.5
Operario-PR vs Avai+0.1+0.0-0.1
Vitoria vs Confianca+1.2-0.1-0.9
Oeste vs Guarani-0.1-0.0+0.1
CRB vs Cruzeiro-0.2-0.0+0.2
Nautico vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.6-0.1-0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Figueirense vs Nautico-0.0-0.4+0.3
Cruzeiro vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.2-0.1-0.2
Parana vs Figueirense+0.1-0.2+0.0
+0.1+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Botafogo-SP finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
6114-0-00.0%55.7%0217363112200No1,787,899
5913-1-0No17.8031533311440No1,171
5813-0-1No7.6172033281010No2,379
5712-2-0No1.90211273320610No7,128
5612-1-1No0.300315303116400No30,284
5512-0-2No0.0001519322812200No58,677*
5411-2-1No0.000182333249200No170,031
5311-1-2NoNo002112733206100No428,015*
5210-3-1NoNo0003143031164100No839,603*
5110-2-2NoNo00151932281230000.0%1,987,387*
5010-1-3NoNo0001823332491000.03,975,072*
499-3-2NoNo00021128331951000.07,333,611*
489-2-3NoNo0004163231142000.114,451,140*
479-1-4NoNo000172336257100.625,039,944*
468-3-3NoNo00002123136172002.542,036,528*
458-2-4NoNo000052038297007.071,219,265*
447-4-3NoNo0001113339151015.7109,590,511*
437-3-4NoNo00042344263028.8165,436,361*
427-2-5NoNo000113413870044.8245,698,399*
416-4-4NoNo000063347131060.9338,201,979*
406-3-5NoNo00022251222075.1457,040,004*
396-2-6NoNo00011449325085.6600,328,261*
385-4-5NoNo000742419092.5738,957,126*
375-3-6NoNo0003334815096.5890,074,290*
365-2-7NoNo001245123098.6582,136,161
4-5-5NoNo001245123098.5453,298,201*
354-4-6NoNo001165033099.5831,767,403*
5-1-8NoNo01165034099.5301,254,720*
344-3-7NoNo0094644199.8873,641,443
3-6-5NoNo0094545199.8334,355,010*
334-2-8NoNo00538551100.0673,858,465
3-5-6NoNo00538551100.0563,336,124*
323-4-7NoNo00230653100.0781,927,956
4-1-9NoNo0229653100.0408,139,037*
313-3-8NoNo0121735100.0801,586,361
2-6-6NoNo0121735100.0306,882,229*
303-2-9NoNo0014778100.0546,907,202
2-5-7NoNo0014779100.0439,432,304*
292-4-8NoNo0087814100.0532,855,891
3-1-10NoNo0087813100.0284,238,921*
282-3-9NoNo0047520100.0649,465,041*
272-2-10NoNo0027028100.0489,155,778*
261-4-9NoNo016237Yes336,043,059*
251-3-10NoNo005247Yes217,366,631*
241-2-11NoNo004357Yes131,530,520*
230-4-10NoNo03268Yes69,005,694*
220-3-11NoNo02377Yes32,146,521*
210-2-12NoNo01585Yes13,654,656
200-1-13NoNo991Yes4,204,726
190-0-14NoNo496Yes2,387,201
Total:0.0%0.0%0000000000000015152844793.4%14,375,272,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship