"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 2/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Juazeirense 2 Jequié 1 +6.7
+0.7
Vitória 0 EC Bahia 3 -1.1
+0.0
Bahia de Feira 3 Vitória da Conquista 0 -0.6
-0.1
Jacuipense 1 Flu de Feira 0 +0.5
+0.1
Jacuipense 0 Vitória 1 -0.3
-0.1
Flu de Feira 0 Bahia de Feira 2 -0.1
+0.1
Week of 2/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Flu de Feira 3 Juazeirense 1 -2.3
-0.4
EC Bahia 2 Atlântico 1 -0.9
-0.1
Jequié 1 Vitória 5 -0.1
-0.1
Week of 3/4100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Juazeirense 1 EC Bahia 2 -9.3
-1.0
Vitória da Conquista 1 Flu de Feira 2 -3.8
-0.2
Bahia de Feira 2 Atlântico 2 +1.3
+0.1
Jequié 0 Jacuipense 1 +1.0
Vitória 2 Jacobina 1 -0.9
-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Jacuipense vs Bahia de FeiraInIn-21.5
+0.2+0.2-0.3
Atlântico vs Juazeirense-16.2+5.0In
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Flu de Feira vs Vitória-6.4-1.2+7.2
-0.1-0.1+0.2
EC Bahia vs Jequié-0.5-0.5+0.8
-0.3+0.1+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Juazeirense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seedSegunda
TPW-OTLDplayoffs12345678910DivisãoCount
191-000In1357300No2,361,600,338
170-00192.1%946378No1,572,299,847
160-01070.9145729No2,361,580,455
Total:87.1%524283113No6,295,480,640
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs