How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C
Oeste 2 Vila Nova 0 +0.2
+0.2
+0.1
Londrina 1 CSA 2 -0.2
-0.3
-0.1
Figueirense 1 Fortaleza 3 -0.2
-0.2
Goias 1 Guarani 1 +0.1
+0.4
*-0.1
Paysandu 1 Sao Bento 1 +0.1
+0.2
Boa Esporte 1 Coritiba 1 +0.1
+0.2
-0.1
Ponte Preta 1 Atletico-GO 3 *-0.1
*+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas 0 Sampaio Correa 2 *-0.1
*+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fortaleza vs Criciuma-0.4+0.1+0.3
-0.5+0.2+0.4
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Londrina vs Paysandu+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.3-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
CRB vs Sao Bento+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Guarani vs Figueirense+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C
Brasil de Pelotas vs Fortaleza+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.3+0.3-0.4
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Fortaleza vs Coritiba-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.2+0.3*-0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
CSA vs Vila Nova-0.2+0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Paysandu vs Ponte Preta-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Criciuma vs Atletico-GO+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Atletico-GO vs Paysandu+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.3-0.2
Boa Esporte vs Oeste+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Londrina vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Avai finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
90-107YesYes100No100,618*
8925-3-499.9%Yes1000No1,358*
8824-5-3100.0Yes1000No2,705*
8724-4-4100.0Yes1000No4,930*
8624-3-599.9Yes1000No9,070*
8523-5-499.9Yes1000No15,476*
8423-4-599.9Yes1000No26,993*
8322-6-499.9Yes1000No45,090*
8222-5-599.7Yes1000No73,862*
8122-4-699.5Yes1000No119,186*
8021-6-599.3Yes9910No186,898*
7921-5-698.9Yes9910No288,904*
7820-7-598.4Yes9820No438,812*
7720-6-697.6Yes98200No650,587*
7620-5-796.4Yes9640No947,961*
7519-7-694.6Yes95500No1,353,185*
7419-6-792.3Yes92800No1,898,953*
7319-5-889.0Yes891100No2,616,165*
7218-7-784.7100.0%8515100No3,538,580*
7118-6-879.2100.07919100No4,698,990*
7018-5-972.3100.072253000No6,133,179*
6917-7-864.0100.064315000No7,859,167*
6817-6-954.5100.054378100No9,903,459*
6716-8-844.199.94441132000No12,271,531*
6616-7-933.599.63443194000No14,935,043*
6516-6-1023.698.924422671000No17,867,058*
6415-8-915.097.11537321330000No21,029,776*
6315-7-108.593.08293520610000No24,311,240*
6215-6-114.185.142034281230000No27,632,235*
6114-8-101.672.0211273220710000No30,888,958*
6014-7-110.554.01518312714410000No33,934,384*
5914-6-120.134.10292331231020000No36,667,567*
5813-8-110.017.000313262919720000No38,946,054*
5713-7-120.06.3001516282716510000No40,673,506*
5612-9-110.01.60001719282614410000No41,750,866*
5512-8-120.00.300002820292412410000No42,105,043*
5412-7-13No0.000002102229231130000No41,769,338*
5311-9-12No0.0000031022292210300000.0%40,700,896*
5211-8-13No0.000013112329219200000.038,972,081*
5111-7-14No0.0000014122429208200000.036,660,647*
5010-9-13NoNo0001413252819720000.233,859,539*
4910-8-14NoNo0001515262818610001.330,749,452*
4810-7-15NoNo0000161728271551005.627,397,042*
479-9-14NoNo0000282029261230015.923,960,991*
469-8-15NoNo000031023312392032.920,571,170*
459-7-16NoNo00014142830185053.417,325,653*
448-9-15NoNo00001720322711272.014,316,452*
438-8-16NoNo0000312283420485.511,588,563*
428-7-17NoNo00016203529993.49,202,389*
417-9-16NoNo000021232381697.47,157,371*
407-8-17NoNo001725422599.15,451,475*
397-7-18NoNo0000318433599.74,063,465*
386-9-17NoNo00112404699.92,962,310*
376-8-18NoNo00173557100.02,112,147*
366-7-19NoNo0042967100.01,470,108*
355-9-18NoNo0022375100.0999,091*
345-8-19NoNo0011782100.0663,730*
335-7-20NoNo001287Yes428,521*
324-9-19NoNo00891Yes270,132*
314-8-20NoNo00694Yes165,358*
304-7-21NoNo0496Yes97,891*
294-6-22NoNo0298Yes56,616*
283-8-21NoNo0298Yes31,671*
273-7-22NoNo199Yes17,179*
263-6-23NoNo199Yes8,895*
252-8-22NoNo0100Yes4,398*
242-7-23NoNo0100Yes2,157*
232-6-24NoNo0100Yes978*
222-5-25NoNo0100Yes446*
11-21NoNo100Yes99,419*
Total:6.5%27.0%677776666655544433219.6%797,064,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship