How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Criciuma 3 Avai 2 -3.9
-10.5
+0.1
-0.9
Sampaio Correa 1 Fortaleza 0 +1.3
+0.8
+0.1
Atletico-GO 0 Juventude 1 +0.3
+1.3
+0.1
Figueirense 2 Sao Bento 2 *+0.1
+0.5
Londrina 2 Figueirense 0 +0.3
Goias 2 Atletico-GO 1 -0.4
-0.0
Oeste 0 Ponte Preta 0 +0.3
Coritiba 0 Londrina 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Avai vs Sampaio Correa+3.7-1.4-2.8
+12.5-3.9-10.0
-0.2-0.0+0.2
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Fortaleza vs Vila Nova-0.8+0.6+0.5
+0.3+0.7-0.8
Guarani vs CSA+0.5+0.4-0.7
-0.3+0.9-0.3
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Goias vs Ponte Preta-0.6+0.2+0.5
-1.3+0.5+1.0
CRB vs Coritiba+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Paysandu vs Criciuma+0.2+0.1-0.3
Sao Bento vs Boa Esporte-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Oeste+0.1+0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Avai finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
7511-0-0YesYes100No1,321
7310-1-099.7%Yes1000No1,493
7210-0-198.6Yes991No2,323
719-2-098.1Yes982No4,710
709-1-194.7Yes9550No14,737
699-0-290.9Yes9190No20,589*
688-2-184.0Yes841510No42,296
678-1-274.6Yes752320No78,394*
667-3-163.0100.0%6332500No107,092*
657-2-248.4100.048401010No179,575*
647-1-333.699.8344518300No179,022
6-4-134.599.8354518300No78,666
636-3-220.399.1204328810No249,166
7-0-420.999.2214228810No77,280*
626-2-310.196.610343616300No395,490
5-5-110.896.811353516300No59,939
616-1-44.290.342237279100No313,046
5-4-24.189.842237279100No238,644*
605-3-31.275.5110293519510No498,794
6-0-51.477.5112303418400No130,758*
595-2-40.354.40417333013200No594,547
4-5-20.353.60417333113300No150,077*
584-4-30.029.00162234269200No393,907
5-1-50.031.70172335248100No387,503*
574-3-40.011.4002102634217100No624,563
5-0-60.014.0002122933185100No99,178
3-6-2No11.401102634216100No63,207*
564-2-5No3.1003142932175100No592,926
3-5-3No2.6002122832185100No201,320*
553-4-4No0.30003153031164100No393,825
4-1-6No0.50015173229143000No329,800*
543-3-5No0.00015183128144000No500,165
4-0-7No0.101721332510200No71,481*
2-6-3No0.0004163129154000No62,855
533-2-6No0.00016203226113000No396,102
2-5-4NoNo01518312814400No152,278*
522-4-5NoNo0016193127123000No235,473
3-1-7NoNo002823322410200No190,534*
512-3-6NoNo001822322510200No316,435*
502-2-7NoNo002924322381000.0%169,603*
1-5-5NoNo00172132261120000.059,639
491-4-6NoNo002923332381000.182,375*
2-1-8NoNo0031227321961000.166,993
481-3-7NoNo003122732196100.989,447*
471-2-8NoNo0004153031164004.552,223*
461-1-9NoNo0151932281220014.726,303*
450-3-8NoNo01823342481034.311,128*
440-2-9NoNo02122833195057.54,676
430-1-10NoNo1518342911276.31,516
420-0-11NoNo028273920590.51,306
Total:5.8%35.7%69101111111087543211000000.2%8,994,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship