How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Avai vs Goias+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.5-1.6-4.5
-5.4+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
CSA vs Avai-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.5
+4.7+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Londrina vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Criciuma vs Sao Bento-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Londrina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fortaleza vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Coritiba vs Boa Esporte-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Juventude vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Paysandu vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Coritiba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Avai vs Paysandu+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.5-1.6-4.5
-5.4+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Figueirense vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vila Nova vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Criciuma-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-GO vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Sao Bento-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Avai finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
90-114YesYes100No137,766*
8928-5-599.9%Yes1000No2,257*
8828-4-6YesYes100No3,909*
8727-6-599.9Yes1000No7,102*
8627-5-699.9Yes1000No11,766*
8526-7-5100.0Yes1000No19,766*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No32,294*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No51,446*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No81,546*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No126,279*
8024-8-699.5Yes1000No193,487*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No288,552*
7824-6-898.9Yes9910No425,708*
7723-8-798.3Yes9820No619,560*
7623-7-897.4Yes9730No884,281*
7523-6-996.2Yes96400No1,240,942*
7422-8-894.4Yes94600No1,719,748*
7322-7-991.8100.0%928000No2,343,707*
7222-6-1088.3100.08811000No3,146,112*
7121-8-983.7100.08415100No4,162,156*
7021-7-1077.7100.07820200No5,424,053*
6920-9-970.4100.070263000No6,960,100*
6820-8-1061.5100.061326000No8,808,050*
6720-7-1151.499.95138101000No10,977,725*
6619-9-1040.799.841421520000No13,481,694*
6519-8-1130.099.330432251000No16,330,370*
6419-7-1220.298.12040281020000No19,469,720*
6318-9-1112.195.21233341641000No22,906,986*
6218-8-126.389.16243524920000No26,540,287*
6118-7-132.778.1315303016510000No30,329,611*
6017-9-120.961.61722312411300000No34,157,764*
5917-8-130.241.50312263019720000No37,930,334*
5816-10-120.022.401516282716510000No41,510,611*
5716-9-130.09.0002719282513410000No44,775,984*
5616-8-140.02.50002921282312310000No47,623,424*
5515-10-130.00.4000031022282210310000No49,918,766*
5415-9-14No0.00001311232821103000000.0%51,566,123*
5315-8-15No0.0000131123282193000000.052,493,910*
5214-10-14No0.00000141223282192000000.052,672,987*
5114-9-15No0.0000014122428209200000.052,079,720*
5014-8-16NoNo000014132428208200000.350,762,084*
4913-10-15NoNo00001414252819720001.748,726,350*
4813-9-16NoNo0000151527281761007.046,071,248*
4713-8-17NoNo0000161828271441019.242,926,846*
4612-10-16NoNo000029213025112038.039,388,569*
4512-9-17NoNo00003122531217159.035,596,840*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.831,675,015*
4311-10-17NoNo000029253524688.727,733,933*
4211-9-18NoNo000141734331295.223,921,376*
4111-8-19NoNo000021029402098.220,293,228*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.416,942,072*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424299.813,907,553*
3810-8-20NoNo00193753100.011,226,170*
379-10-19NoNo00053163100.08,913,792*
369-9-20NoNo00032573100.06,953,724*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.05,325,627*
348-10-20NoNo0011486100.04,013,503*
338-9-21NoNo00990Yes2,967,140*
328-8-22NoNo000693100.02,151,902*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes1,530,097*
307-9-22NoNo00397Yes1,067,899*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes731,781*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes490,068*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes320,536*
266-8-24NoNo0100Yes206,730*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes129,177*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes78,818*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes46,745*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes27,051*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes15,599*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes8,294*
194-7-27NoNo0100Yes4,621*
0-18NoNo100Yes139,889*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%1,085,750,880

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship