How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG vs Avai-1.5-0.6+2.0
-5.5-1.7+7.1
+4.5+1.0-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Avai vs Gremio+1.9-0.7-1.6
+6.7-2.1-5.9
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Ceara vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santos vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Internacional vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Cruzeiro-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Atletico-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fortaleza vs Athletico-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bahia vs Corinthians-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Athletico-PR vs Vasco da Gama-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Ceara-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Gremio vs Santos-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Sao Paulo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/4100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia vs Avai-1.5-0.6+2.0
-5.5-1.7+7.1
+4.5+1.0-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Botafogo vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs Atletico-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Athletico-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Santos-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Gremio vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Avai finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
92-114YesYes100No291,289*
9129-4-599.9%Yes1000No1,372*
9028-6-499.9Yes1000No2,617*
8928-5-5100.0Yes1000No4,648*
8827-7-4100.0Yes1000No8,244*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No14,449*
8627-5-699.9Yes1000No24,353*
8526-7-5100.0Yes1000No40,230*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No66,244*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No106,315*
8225-7-699.8Yes10000No168,014*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No261,941*
8024-8-699.6Yes1000No398,432*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No601,234*
7824-6-899.0Yes9910No887,637*
7723-8-798.4Yes9820No1,287,105*
7623-7-897.5Yes98200No1,846,409*
7523-6-996.3Yes96400No2,600,925*
7422-8-894.5Yes94500No3,604,950*
7322-7-992.0Yes928000No4,923,179*
7221-9-888.6Yes8911000No6,617,874*
7121-8-984.1Yes84151000No8,766,281*
7021-7-1078.2Yes7820200No11,437,412*
6920-9-970.9Yes71263000No14,715,872*
6820-8-1062.1Yes62326000No18,637,913*
6720-7-1152.1100.0%523791000No23,258,159*
6619-9-1041.4100.04141152000No28,600,223*
6519-8-1130.6100.031432151000No34,667,292*
6419-7-1220.7100.0214028920000No41,417,886*
6318-9-1112.6100.01334331641000No48,760,060*
6218-8-126.699.87253523820000No56,602,007*
6117-10-112.999.1315313016510000No64,740,069*
6017-9-121.096.91822312410300000No72,989,159*
5917-8-130.391.003132629197200000No81,122,831*
5816-10-120.078.3015172827155100000No88,841,411*
5716-9-130.057.7002820292513410000No95,960,400*
5616-8-140.033.60002921292311310000No102,119,583*
5515-10-130.014.1000031123282210300000No107,117,034*
5415-9-14No4.0000131123282193000000.0%110,711,007*
5315-8-15No0.70000141224282092000000.0112,831,651*
5214-10-14No0.10000141224282092000000.0113,254,828*
5114-9-15No0.0000014132428208200000.0112,061,037*
5014-8-16No0.0000014132528198200000.3109,238,632*
4913-10-15No0.0000001514262818710001.6104,945,830*
4813-9-16No0.000000151627281761006.899,263,056*
4713-8-17NoNo0000171828271441018.792,530,619*
4612-10-16NoNo0000029213024112037.484,921,125*
4512-9-17NoNo000013122631206158.576,743,960*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.468,294,452*
4311-10-17NoNo000029253523688.559,816,673*
4211-9-18NoNo000141734331295.151,567,614*
4111-8-19NoNo00021029402098.243,744,722*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.436,512,240*
3910-9-19NoNo0000214424299.829,982,256*
389-11-18NoNo000193753100.024,191,881*
379-10-19NoNo00053163100.019,207,272*
369-9-20NoNo00032572100.014,981,170*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.011,478,028*
348-10-20NoNo0011486100.08,637,768*
338-9-21NoNo000990100.06,378,310*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes4,621,222*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes3,289,537*
307-9-22NoNo00397Yes2,290,364*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes1,568,427*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes1,048,053*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes685,775*
266-8-24NoNo00100Yes439,967*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes273,853*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes167,527*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes99,979*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes58,269*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes33,255*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes17,979*
193-10-25NoNo0100Yes9,841*
183-9-26NoNo0100Yes5,114*
173-8-27NoNo0100Yes2,498*
0-16NoNo100Yes291,956*
Total:5.0%30.0%5555555555555555555520.0%2,329,708,800

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship