How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/28100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza vs Atletico-PR-1.5-0.6+2.0
-5.5-1.7+7.1
+4.5+1.0-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Atletico-PR vs Vasco da Gama+1.9-0.7-1.6
+6.7-2.1-5.9
-5.2+1.3+4.8
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Palmeiras vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Santos vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Ceara vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Atletico-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Sao Paulo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.2+0.1
CSA vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Gremio-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Corinthians vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bahia vs Corinthians-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Gremio vs Santos-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Cruzeiro*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Internacional vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Ceara*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Atletico-MG vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/5100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense vs Atletico-PR-1.5-0.6+2.1
-5.5-1.7+7.1
+4.5+1.0-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Cruzeiro vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.2+0.1
Ceara vs Atletico-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bahia vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Sao Paulo vs Flamengo*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
CSA vs Santos-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Gremio vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Atletico-PR finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
84-114YesYes100No7,067*
8326-5-799.9%Yes1000No1,675*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No2,636*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No4,237*
8024-8-699.5Yes1000No6,334*
7924-7-799.3Yes991No9,522*
7824-6-899.0Yes991No14,118*
7723-8-798.6Yes9910No20,030*
7623-7-897.6Yes9820No29,019*
7523-6-996.2Yes96400No41,086*
7422-8-894.6Yes9550No56,536*
7322-7-991.9Yes92800No77,728*
7221-9-888.6Yes891100No104,388*
7121-8-984.1Yes841510No138,119*
7021-7-1078.3Yes7820200No179,979*
6920-9-971.0Yes7126300No230,542*
6820-8-1062.3Yes6232500No292,857*
6720-7-1152.2Yes52379100No366,523*
6619-9-1041.5100.0%4241152000No449,044*
6519-8-1130.7100.03143215100No544,323*
6419-7-1220.7100.021402892000No649,873*
6318-9-1112.5100.01234331641000No767,879*
6218-8-126.699.8725352382000No891,672*
6117-10-112.999.131631301651000No1,016,606*
6017-9-121.096.918223124103000No1,147,984*
5917-8-130.391.0031326301972000No1,273,366*
5816-10-120.178.301517282715510000No1,399,918*
5716-9-130.057.900282029251341000No1,508,193*
5616-8-140.033.60002921292311310000No1,605,500*
5515-10-13No14.20003112328221030000No1,683,967*
5415-9-14No3.9001311232821930000No1,741,321*
5315-8-15No0.7000141223282092000000.0%1,773,672*
5214-10-14No0.100014122428209200000.01,780,730*
5114-9-15No0.000014132428208200000.01,759,258*
5014-8-16No0.00001413252819820000.31,718,482*
4913-10-15NoNo0001514252818710001.61,650,065*
4813-9-16NoNo000151627271761006.81,561,289*
4713-8-17NoNo000171828271441018.71,455,520*
4612-10-16NoNo000029213024112037.51,336,332*
4512-9-17NoNo0013122631206158.61,207,145*
4412-8-18NoNo0001517313014276.41,072,580*
4311-10-17NoNo00029253523688.5940,253*
4211-9-18NoNo00141734331295.1812,542*
4111-8-19NoNo0021029402098.2688,173*
4010-10-18NoNo001521433099.4573,986*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424299.8471,855*
389-11-18NoNo0019375399.9379,566*
379-10-19NoNo0053163100.0302,905*
369-9-20NoNo0032573100.0236,187*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.0180,019*
348-10-20NoNo0011486100.0135,540*
338-9-21NoNo001090Yes100,189*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes72,604*
317-10-21NoNo0496Yes51,453*
307-9-22NoNo00397Yes36,043*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes24,607*
286-10-22NoNo199Yes16,356*
276-9-23NoNo199Yes10,705*
266-8-24NoNo0100Yes6,920*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes4,337*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes2,628*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes1,597*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes919*
0-21NoNo100Yes5,661*
Total:5.0%30.0%5555555555555555555520.0%36,632,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship