"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-PR vs Chapecoense+1.9-0.7-1.6
+6.7-2.1-5.9
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Avai vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Internacional vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Atletico-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santos vs Ceara-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Gremio-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio vs Atletico-PR-1.5-0.6+2.0
-5.5-1.7+7.1
+4.5+1.0-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Palmeiras vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-MG vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bahia vs Santos-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fortaleza vs Corinthians-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Botafogo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Cruzeiro-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs Sao Paulo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Atletico-PR finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
92-114YesYes100No1,342,955*
9129-4-5100.0%Yes1000No6,449*
9028-6-4100.0Yes1000No11,941*
8928-5-5100.0Yes1000No21,346*
8827-7-4100.0Yes1000No38,100*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No66,216*
8627-5-6100.0Yes1000No111,713*
8526-7-599.9Yes1000No186,015*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No305,603*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No491,564*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No774,758*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No1,204,736*
8024-8-699.6Yes10000No1,841,083*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No2,765,769*
7824-6-898.9Yes9910No4,086,443*
7723-8-798.4Yes98200No5,943,615*
7623-7-897.5Yes9820No8,508,793*
7523-6-996.3Yes964000No11,984,009*
7422-8-894.5Yes95500No16,619,952*
7322-7-992.0Yes928000No22,690,962*
7221-9-888.6Yes8911000No30,523,236*
7121-8-984.1Yes8415100No40,429,992*
7021-7-1078.2Yes78202000No52,760,097*
6920-9-970.9Yes71263000No67,834,572*
6820-8-1062.1100.0%623260000No85,928,519*
6720-7-1152.2100.05237910000No107,246,301*
6619-9-1041.4100.041411520000No131,900,800*
6519-8-1130.7100.0314321510000No159,861,323*
6419-7-1220.8100.02140289200000No190,993,348*
6318-9-1112.6100.013343316410000No224,886,456*
6218-8-126.699.872535238200000No260,983,297*
6117-10-112.999.1315313016510000No298,536,125*
6017-9-121.096.91822312410300000No336,610,239*
5917-8-130.391.003132629197200000No374,061,243*
5816-10-120.078.3015172827155100000No409,742,995*
5716-9-130.057.70028202925134100000No442,413,981*
5616-8-140.033.600029212923113100000No470,844,378*
5515-10-130.014.1000031123282210300000No493,939,189*
5415-9-14No4.00001311232821930000000.0%510,670,454*
5315-8-15No0.700001412242820920000000.0520,232,755*
5214-10-14No0.100000141224282092000000.0522,354,392*
5114-9-15No0.000000141324282082000000.0516,794,929*
5014-8-16No0.00000014132528198200000.3503,815,259*
4913-10-15No0.0000001514262818710001.6483,847,908*
4813-9-16No0.000000151627281761006.8457,762,333*
4713-8-17NoNo00000171828271441018.7426,613,619*
4612-10-16NoNo0000029213024112037.4391,519,069*
4512-9-17NoNo000013122631206158.5353,891,544*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.4314,908,810*
4311-10-17NoNo0000029253523688.5275,853,560*
4211-9-18NoNo0000141734331295.1237,837,717*
4111-8-19NoNo000021029402098.2201,773,910*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.4168,409,970*
3910-9-19NoNo0000214424299.8138,228,972*
389-11-18NoNo000193753100.0111,612,079*
379-10-19NoNo000053163100.088,561,974*
369-9-20NoNo00032573100.069,064,995*
359-8-21NoNo00011980100.052,913,021*
348-10-20NoNo0011486100.039,824,303*
338-9-21NoNo000990100.029,417,941*
328-8-22NoNo000693100.021,324,082*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes15,155,753*
307-9-22NoNo00397Yes10,565,496*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes7,220,228*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes4,834,468*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes3,165,518*
266-8-24NoNo00100Yes2,021,955*
255-10-23NoNo00100Yes1,267,684*
245-9-24NoNo00100Yes773,854*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes463,001*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes268,817*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes152,031*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes83,831*
193-10-25NoNo0100Yes44,952*
183-9-26NoNo0100Yes23,057*
173-8-27NoNo0100Yes11,508*
163-7-28NoNo100Yes5,567*
152-9-27NoNo0100Yes2,627*
0-14NoNo100Yes1,338,024*
Total:5.0%30.0%5555555555555555555520.0%10,743,130,080

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship