How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama 3 Fluminense 2 +0.2
Vitoria 0 Coritiba 1 -0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Atletico-PR vs Flamengo+0.5-0.1-0.3
+2.4-0.7-1.7
-8.0+1.6+6.2
+1.0-0.2-0.8
Sport Recife vs Gremio+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.5-0.1-0.3
Atletico-GO vs Corinthians+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.4-0.2-0.2
Atletico-MG vs Ponte Preta*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.2-0.1
Santos vs Cruzeiro*-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.1*-0.1
Chapecoense vs Avai-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2-0.2+0.4
Botafogo vs Bahia*+0.0-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 6/3100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Coritiba vs Atletico-PR-0.3-0.1+0.5
-1.6-0.5+2.6
+5.6+1.1-8.5
-0.7-0.2+1.1
Fluminense vs Atletico-PR-0.3-0.1+0.5
-1.6-0.5+2.6
+5.6+1.1-8.4
-0.7-0.2+1.1
Chapecoense vs Gremio*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Gremio vs Vasco da Gama-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Fluminense vs Vitoria-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.2+0.5
Coritiba vs Palmeiras-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Sao Paulo vs Vitoria-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.2+0.5
Sport Recife vs Flamengo+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.2-0.2
Santos vs Botafogo*-0.0+0.1-0.0
Bahia vs Atletico-GO-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.2+0.3
Corinthians vs Santos-0.0+0.1*-0.0
*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Flamengo vs Botafogo-0.0+0.1*-0.0
*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Atletico-GO vs Ponte Preta+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.2-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians-0.0+0.1*+0.0
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Bahia vs Cruzeiro*-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.2*-0.0
Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense*-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Avai vs Sport Recife+0.1-0.3+0.1
Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG*+0.0-0.2+0.1
Atletico-MG vs Avai+0.1-0.3+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Atletico-PR finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
79-108YesYes100No1,958*
7824-6-696.8%Yes973No312*
7724-7-597.8Yes982No456*
7623-6-796.1Yes964No746*
7523-7-693.9Yes9460No1,197*
7423-8-593.5Yes9460No1,890*
7322-7-788.9Yes89110No2,759*
7222-8-684.5Yes841510No4,122*
7121-7-878.8Yes791920No6,240*
7021-8-771.6Yes722620No9,065*
6921-9-664.2100.0%6430500No12,913*
6820-8-854.499.954378100No18,010*
6720-9-743.899.9444113200No25,225*
6620-10-633.599.63343194000No34,060*
6519-9-823.398.7234226810No45,630*
6419-10-715.596.7153632133000No59,896*
6318-9-98.692.492835206100No77,753*
6218-10-84.284.24193328123000No99,565*
6118-11-71.771.12112732207200No125,026*
6017-10-90.553.115183028144100No154,420*
5917-11-80.133.50292330231030000No189,191*
5817-12-70.017.00041326291972000No226,670*
5716-11-90.06.400151627271661000No268,863*
5616-12-80.01.7000271928251451000No311,934*
5516-13-7No0.3000282028241241000No360,131*
5415-12-9No0.00000210222923113100No407,064*
5315-13-8No0.000031123292210300000.0%452,906*
5215-14-7NoNo001312242821920000.0497,886*
5114-13-9NoNo001413252820820000.0537,901*
5014-14-8NoNo0001414262818710000.2571,767*
4913-13-10NoNo000151627281761001.2599,501*
4813-14-9NoNo000171828261441004.9618,303*
4713-15-8NoNo000292130241130014.3628,281*
4612-14-10NoNo00031124302181030.2629,671*
4512-15-9NoNo0015162929164049.8620,692*
4412-16-8NoNo0002822322610168.8598,656*
4311-15-10NoNo000313293318383.0571,842*
4211-16-9NoNo0017223527791.9537,620*
4111-17-8NoNo0031433361496.6496,089*
4010-16-10NoNo001827422298.7449,455*
3910-17-9NoNo000420433299.6399,190*
3810-18-8NoNo00214424399.9351,628*
379-17-10NoNo00193753100.0302,850*
369-18-9NoNo0053163100.0257,386*
359-19-8NoNo0032572100.0214,370*
348-18-10NoNo011979Yes174,875*
338-19-9NoNo011485Yes139,887*
328-20-8NoNo001089Yes109,593*
317-19-10NoNo00793Yes84,648*
307-20-9NoNo0595Yes64,574*
297-21-8NoNo0397Yes47,569*
286-20-10NoNo0298Yes34,539*
276-21-9NoNo0199Yes24,600*
266-22-8NoNo199Yes17,078*
255-21-10NoNo199Yes11,625*
245-22-9NoNo0100Yes7,764*
235-23-8NoNo0100Yes5,059*
225-24-7NoNo0100Yes3,112*
214-23-9NoNo0100Yes1,974*
0-20NoNo100Yes4,173*
Total:0.8%5.4%112223334445567789111341.4%12,512,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship