How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza 0 Atletico-GO 1 +3.1
+8.4
-2.7
+1.1
Avai 0 Atletico-GO 0 -1.2
-2.5
+0.3
-0.3
Sao Bento 0 Ponte Preta 2 -0.2
-0.4
-0.1
Vila Nova 0 Brasil de Pelotas 0 +0.1
+0.3
-0.1
Guarani 2 Figueirense 3 *-0.1
Sampaio Correa 0 Juventude 0 +0.2
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO vs CSA+3.8-1.1-3.1
+9.6-2.6-8.0
-1.8+0.3+1.7
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Fortaleza vs Avai-0.5+0.4+0.3
-0.2+0.5-0.1
CSA vs Fortaleza+0.0+0.5-0.3
-0.2+0.4-0.1
Boa Esporte vs Ponte Preta+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.6+0.2-0.8
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Ponte Preta vs Juventude-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.6+0.4+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Figueirense vs Vila Nova+0.0+0.2-0.2
-0.1+0.5-0.3
Coritiba vs Sao Bento-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.5+0.3+0.3
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Goias vs Coritiba+0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.4-0.2
Sampaio Correa vs Goias+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.3-0.4
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Paysandu vs Guarani+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.3-0.4
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Oeste vs Paysandu-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.2
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Londrina vs Oeste+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.3-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.0
CRB vs Criciuma-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Criciuma vs Londrina+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Juventude vs CRB*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs Sampaio Correa-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Boa Esporte-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Atletico-GO finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
83-92YesYes100No9,031*
8218-2-299.9%Yes1000No841*
8117-4-199.8Yes1000No1,499*
8017-3-2100.0Yes1000No2,933*
7917-2-399.6Yes1000No5,953*
7816-4-299.6Yes1000No10,246*
7716-3-399.3Yes991No18,435*
7616-2-498.7Yes9910No31,589*
7515-4-398.0Yes9820No51,361*
7415-3-496.8Yes9730No82,863*
7314-5-394.8Yes9550No128,871*
7214-4-492.4Yes92700No194,594*
7114-3-588.6Yes891100No287,665*
7013-5-483.6Yes841610No410,057*
6913-4-577.0100.0%7721200No572,453*
6813-3-668.5100.06828300No775,594*
6712-5-558.4100.058356000No1,025,175*
6612-4-647.199.9474011100No1,319,362*
6511-6-535.499.7354418300No1,661,628*
6411-5-624.299.124432571000No2,033,028*
6311-4-714.797.3153732132000No2,437,434*
6210-6-67.893.0828362161000No2,844,308*
6110-5-73.483.93183429133000No3,238,091*
6010-4-81.268.61926332282000No3,602,216*
599-6-70.348.2041529291651000No3,908,094*
589-5-80.127.10172030261331000No4,137,060*
579-4-90.011.40029223023103000No4,273,581*
568-6-80.03.3000311243021820000No4,312,887*
558-5-90.00.6000141325291972000No4,233,759*
548-4-10No0.100141426281871000No4,059,929*
537-6-9No0.000151527281761000No3,793,207*
527-5-10No0.00001515272817610000.0%3,456,050*
517-4-11NoNo0001516272816510000.03,065,662*
506-6-10NoNo000161728271551000.12,644,995*
496-5-11NoNo0001618292714410000.62,224,144*
486-4-12NoNo000282030261230003.41,817,576*
475-6-11NoNo000292331231020011.61,444,164*
465-5-12NoNo00031226312061027.21,110,158*
455-4-13NoNo0015163030153048.0832,442*
444-6-12NoNo00182234258168.3603,615*
434-5-13NoNo000313303416283.7421,142*
424-4-14NoNo0016223827692.8285,361*
413-6-13NoNo0021435371197.3186,466*
403-5-14NoNo001729441999.1116,980*
393-4-15NoNo00321472899.770,919*
382-6-14NoNo0114463999.940,623*
372-5-15NoNo0084349100.022,717*
362-4-16NoNo053560Yes11,708*
351-6-15NoNo023068Yes5,895*
341-5-16NoNo12376Yes2,777*
331-4-17NoNo11683Yes1,148*
321-3-18NoNo01486Yes463*
310-5-17NoNo1991Yes188*
300-4-18NoNo793Yes45*
290-3-19NoNo2179Yes19*
280-2-20NoNo100Yes3
260-0-22NoNo199Yes8,436
Total:7.6%33.1%899888776654433221103.6%67,837,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship