"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza vs Atletico-GO-1.5-0.6+2.1
-4.3-1.4+5.7
+4.5+0.9-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Londrina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Paysandu vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Coritiba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Criciuma vs Sao Bento-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Juventude vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Coritiba vs Boa Esporte-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Londrina vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO vs Goias+1.9-0.7-1.6
+5.3-1.8-4.7
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Figueirense vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Sao Bento-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Paysandu-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vila Nova vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Criciuma-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Atletico-GO finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
90-114YesYes100No418,297*
8928-5-599.9%Yes1000No6,860*
8827-7-4YesYes100No12,118*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No21,056*
8627-5-6100.0Yes1000No35,806*
8526-7-599.9Yes1000No59,114*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No96,989*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No154,897*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No245,237*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No380,162*
8024-8-699.6Yes10000No580,811*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No871,483*
7824-6-898.9Yes9910No1,284,861*
7723-8-798.3Yes98200No1,864,831*
7623-7-897.5Yes97300No2,667,100*
7523-6-996.2Yes96400No3,752,658*
7422-8-894.4Yes94600No5,200,943*
7322-7-991.8Yes92800No7,091,346*
7222-6-1088.4100.0%8811000No9,523,476*
7121-8-983.8100.08415100No12,604,856*
7021-7-1077.8100.078202000No16,430,196*
6920-9-970.4100.070263000No21,100,074*
6820-8-1061.6100.0623260000No26,699,727*
6720-7-1151.699.95238101000No33,294,962*
6619-9-1040.899.84142152000No40,889,668*
6519-8-1130.199.330432251000No49,524,233*
6419-7-1220.398.12040281020000No59,113,012*
6318-9-1112.295.312333416410000No69,528,195*
6218-8-126.489.262435249200000No80,623,698*
6118-7-132.878.2315303016510000No92,152,762*
6017-9-121.061.71822312411300000No103,801,654*
5917-8-130.241.603122630197200000No115,271,160*
5816-10-120.022.5015162827165100000No126,174,516*
5716-9-130.09.10027192825134100000No136,123,898*
5616-8-140.02.50002921282312310000No144,768,330*
5515-10-130.00.400003102228221031000000.0%151,731,563*
5415-9-14No0.00001311232821103000000.0156,768,328*
5315-8-15No0.00000131123282193000000.0159,637,700*
5214-10-14No0.0000014122328219200000.0160,150,684*
5114-9-15No0.0000014122428209200000.0158,361,765*
5014-8-16NoNo000014132428208200000.3154,298,860*
4913-10-15NoNo000001414252819720001.7148,117,361*
4813-9-16NoNo0000151527281761007.1140,060,863*
4713-8-17NoNo0000161828271441019.3130,462,288*
4612-10-16NoNo0000028213025112038.1119,694,071*
4512-9-17NoNo000003122531217159.2108,142,716*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.996,191,824*
4311-10-17NoNo000029243524688.784,241,145*
4211-9-18NoNo000141634331295.272,609,367*
4111-8-19NoNo00002929402098.261,584,665*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.451,397,712*
3910-9-19NoNo0000214424299.842,192,989*
3810-8-20NoNo000193753100.034,048,859*
379-10-19NoNo00053164100.027,019,705*
369-9-20NoNo00032573100.021,079,723*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.016,147,676*
348-10-20NoNo0011386100.012,145,013*
338-9-21NoNo000990100.08,971,838*
328-8-22NoNo000693100.06,506,704*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes4,627,547*
307-9-22NoNo00397Yes3,228,703*
297-8-23NoNo00298Yes2,204,295*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes1,476,767*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes966,440*
266-8-24NoNo00100Yes620,465*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes387,521*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes238,349*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes141,787*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes83,015*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes46,656*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes25,467*
194-7-27NoNo0100Yes13,827*
183-9-26NoNo0100Yes7,213*
0-17NoNo100Yes416,983*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%3,298,417,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship