San Diego Padres Playoff Chances

Lost to Giants 879-1017, playoff odds unchanged at 0%
1-9   .100

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Giants 1017 Padres 879 *Out
-0.1
Nationals 717 Royals 753 +0.1
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 +0.0
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 +0.0
Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 +0.0
Braves 595 White Sox 1119 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rangers vs Padres-0.2+0.8
Astros vs Reds+0.0-0.2
Orioles vs Rockies+0.0-0.2
Braves vs Tigers-0.2+0.0
Brewers vs Royals-0.1+0.1
Nationals vs Athletics-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Padres finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1211-0Out0125740224,810
1110-1Out069130955
109-2Out18316131,448
98-3Out0534070557,548
87-4Out0205030005,950,045
76-5Out03296620039,560,996
65-6Out0777151000167,022,138
54-7Out01483911100448,706,491
43-8Out01133341740756,473,184
32-9Out062135299768,130,645
21-10Out002124046426,026,162
10-11Out01148598,823,398
Total:Out000011718171716132,711,507,820

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Padres finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSDodgersCardinalsCubsGiantsPiratesMets
1211-0No000000
1-11No
Total:No0.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Giants 1017 Padres 879 +0.1
Nationals 717 Royals 753 -0.0
Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 -0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Rangers vs Padres+0.3-1.3
Orioles vs Rockies-0.0+0.2
Astros vs Reds-0.0+0.2
Braves vs Tigers+0.2-0.0
Brewers vs Royals+0.1-0.1
Rays vs Indians+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1211-00016223727800
1110-102103642900
109-2074735910
98-30011323417510
87-400417313014300
76-500162238285000
65-60001134233910000
54-7000829352061000
43-80019263121920
32-900172134289
21-1001124344
10-1111683
Total:0000000000001479111112141612