"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

San Francisco Giants Playoff Chances 2016

Beat Padres 1017-879, playoff odds down 2.9 to 59.6%
7-3   .700

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 -1.5
-0.4
-0.1
Giants 1017 Padres 879 +1.4
+0.2
+0.1
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 -0.8
-0.1
-0.0
Pirates 1048 Diamondbacks 854 -0.6
-0.1
-0.0
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 -0.4
-0.0
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 -0.3
Marlins 970 Twins 846 -0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Giants vs Mariners+3.6-19.1
+0.5-2.4
+0.1-0.7
Cardinals vs Red Sox-2.2+2.0
-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.0
Mets vs White Sox-2.2+1.1
-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.0
Pirates vs Phillies-0.5+1.9
-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1
Dodgers vs Cubs-0.7+0.8
-0.6+0.7
-0.1+0.1
Marlins vs Angels-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Giants finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1811-0In5939267,788,436
1710-199.9%2053121600329,707,730
169-294.52213140500680,594,023
158-361.002223631700776,652,560
147-418.000711383680538,995,060
136-52.301114483600236,946,246
125-60.2000226720067,010,571
114-70.000078930012,129,766
103-80.00018216101,365,293
92-9Out052408090,207
81-10Out18503203,101
70-11Out2286820224,827
Total:59.6%41317251914700002,711,507,820

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Giants finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeMarlinsDodgersCardinalsCubsPiratesMetsPhilliesDiamondbacksRedsNationalsBravesPadresRockiesBrewers
1811-016.1%980000000
1710-114.9840453400000
169-212.65411314990000000
158-39.725102024111200000000
147-45.37001619770000000
136-51.510056220000000
125-60.2000110000000
114-70.00000000
103-80.00000
7-9No
Total:9.4%35.00.40.013.115.27.57.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Giants 1017 Padres 879 -0.1
Blue Jays 1250 Angels 1424 -0.1
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 +0.0
Pirates 1048 Diamondbacks 854 +0.0
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Giants vs Mariners-0.3+1.6
Pirates vs Phillies+0.0-0.1
Braves vs Tigers-0.1+0.0
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks+0.0-0.1
Mets vs White Sox+0.1-0.0
Astros vs Reds+0.0-0.1
Orioles vs Rockies+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1811-0234230500
1710-121334341530000
169-20031529301535000
158-30002112622211341000
147-400031572228186100
136-500020211283319400
125-60000041940334000
114-7000011348306100
103-8001123534153000
92-90041934291220
81-101723402450
70-11001836401410
Total:13681011121098865310000000000