New York Mets Playoff Chances 2016

Beat Rangers 1185-961, playoff odds up 0.8 to 10.6%
6-4   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 +3.3
+0.0
+0.2
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 -0.4
Marlins 970 Twins 846 -0.3
-0.0
Giants 1017 Padres 879 -0.2
-0.0
Pirates 1048 Diamondbacks 854 -0.2
-0.0
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 -0.2
-0.0
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Mets vs White Sox+8.6-4.5
+0.1-0.1
+0.4-0.2
Giants vs Mariners-0.5+2.6
-0.0+0.1
Cardinals vs Red Sox-1.1+1.0
Marlins vs Angels-0.6+1.1
Dodgers vs Cubs+0.4-0.5
Pirates vs Phillies-0.2+0.6
-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1711-096.8%16214573019,954,104
1610-172.7187572520148,744,230
159-227.601423472330460,584,323
148-34.0001326472300760,042,129
137-40.20005336200727,890,269
126-50.00000108910416,281,043
115-60.0000294400143,387,111
104-70.000081181030,195,865
93-80.0005042803,892,603
82-90.00017513100298,531
71-10Out229654012,586
60-11Out067022100225,026
Total:10.6%01181828431000002,711,507,820

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeMarlinsDodgersCardinalsCubsGiantsPiratesPhilliesDiamondbacksRedsNationalsPadresRockies
1711-00.9%40111316183000
1610-10.7161418212450000
159-20.440121518205000
148-30.210568920000
137-40.0001111000000
126-50.0000000000
115-60.0000000
104-70.000000
8-90.00
6-7No
Total:0.2%2.10.04.55.76.87.71.70.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 -0.7
Pirates 1048 Diamondbacks 854 +0.0
Yankees 882 Orioles 1067 +0.0
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Mets vs White Sox-1.1+0.6
Rays vs Indians-0.1+0.0
Pirates vs Phillies+0.0-0.1
Orioles vs Rockies+0.0-0.1
Giants vs Mariners+0.0-0.1
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks+0.0-0.1
Astros vs Reds+0.0-0.1
Braves vs Tigers-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1711-06223325910030
1610-100412232210125300
159-2000151210323091000
148-300013520332611200
137-4000017233626700
126-50000021441403000
115-6000011556244000
104-7000123412681000
93-8002132931186100
82-9000414293118400
71-10004173633910
60-1100042442246100
Total:0001123381113141515112100000000000