Chicago Cubs Playoff Chances

Beat Reds 1368-785, playoff odds up 0.7 to 64.2%
8-2   .800

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 +1.6
+0.1
+0.1
Pirates 1048 Diamondbacks 854 -0.9
-0.0
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 -0.7
-0.0
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 -0.7
-0.0
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 -0.4
-0.0
Giants 1017 Padres 879 -0.3
Marlins 970 Twins 846 -0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Dodgers vs Cubs-11.6+13.0
-1.0+1.1
-0.5+0.6
Cardinals vs Red Sox-2.9+2.6
-0.5+0.4
-0.2+0.2
Giants vs Mariners-0.8+4.3
-0.1+0.3
-0.0+0.1
Pirates vs Phillies-0.8+2.8
-0.0+0.2
-0.0+0.1
Mets vs White Sox-1.9+1.0
-0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.0
Marlins vs Angels-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1911-0In91921,117,651
1810-1In643322142,577,946
179-299.9%2545151500419,137,969
168-394.13213336600694,198,394
157-459.903233432800710,959,506
146-516.500610393680466,004,389
135-61.601114483600196,103,470
124-70.1000226720052,013,455
113-80.0000790208,366,969
102-9Out01871100766,620
91-10Out064324035,991
80-11Out03049210225,460
Total:64.2%9151822181260002,711,507,820

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeMarlinsDodgersCardinalsGiantsPiratesMetsPhilliesDiamondbacksRedsNationalsBravesPadresRockies
1911-012.0%Yes
1810-111.69800111000
179-210.685030443000000
168-39.058091141080000000
157-46.92611522512110000000
146-53.66012122770000000
135-61.0104072200000
124-70.10010100000
113-80.00000000
102-90.000
8-9No
Total:7.1%41.80.49.01.015.27.86.80.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 -0.1
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 +0.0
Pirates 1048 Diamondbacks 854 +0.0
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Dodgers vs Cubs+1.1-1.3
Giants vs Mariners+0.0-0.2
Pirates vs Phillies+0.0-0.1
Astros vs Reds+0.0-0.1
Braves vs Tigers-0.1+0.0
Cardinals vs Red Sox+0.1-0.0
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1911-09190
1810-1434214200
179-24223627910000
168-30151830261125000
157-400003122520221440000
146-500031482328186100
135-60020211263321500
124-70000031639375000
113-800011046348100
102-90011363614200
91-1006273822610
80-1100213293219500
Total:468910101089875421000000000