St. Louis Cardinals Playoff Chances 2016

Beat Rockies 1326-848, playoff odds up 2 to 73.1%
8-2   .800

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 +1.4
+0.1
+0.1
Pirates 1048 Diamondbacks 854 -0.8
-0.0
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 -0.7
-0.0
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 -0.6
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 -0.4
-0.1
-0.0
Giants 1017 Padres 879 -0.3
Marlins 970 Twins 846 -0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Cardinals vs Red Sox+9.7-8.8
+1.0-0.9
+0.4-0.4
Giants vs Mariners-0.7+3.7
-0.1+0.3
-0.0+0.1
Dodgers vs Cubs+1.4-1.6
+0.4-0.4
+0.1-0.1
Pirates vs Phillies-0.7+2.4
-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1
Mets vs White Sox-1.5+0.8
-0.1+0.0
Marlins vs Angels-0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Cardinals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1911-0In891133,738,782
1810-1In564022204,151,274
179-299.9%1853181100529,070,906
168-395.12234031500760,429,660
157-463.403303130700663,646,081
146-519.200910393570363,473,098
135-62.201115483500125,680,453
124-70.100226720027,219,377
113-80.0000789403,591,092
102-9Out01811710271,653
91-10Out050419010,500
80-11Out01649350224,944
Total:73.1%921232015930002,711,507,820

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Cardinals finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeMarlinsDodgersCubsGiantsPiratesMetsPhilliesDiamondbacksRedsNationalsBravesPadresRockies
1911-012.7%Yes
1810-112.19800010000
179-211.28902033300000
168-39.8650711287000000
157-47.6321142241110000000
146-54.11001212276000000
135-61.110408220000
124-70.10010100000
113-80.000000000
102-9No0
8-9No
Total:8.5%53.30.37.71.013.16.55.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 -0.1
Blue Jays 1250 Angels 1424 -0.1
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 +0.0
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 +0.0
Pirates 1048 Diamondbacks 854 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Cardinals vs Red Sox-1.1+1.0
Giants vs Mariners+0.0-0.2
Braves vs Tigers-0.1+0.0
Pirates vs Phillies+0.0-0.1
Astros vs Reds+0.0-0.1
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1911-0623250
1810-1204132700
179-211130351840000
168-30031227321835000
157-400002102625201240000
146-500031682328165100
135-60020314303116300
124-70000152039315000
113-800011344338100
102-90010333517400
91-10041835301110
80-1100522422650
Total:369111212129765421100000000