Seattle Mariners Playoff Chances 2016

Lost to Dodgers 930-1180, playoff odds down 0.2 to 0.007%
4-6   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 -0.1
-0.2
Astros 1644 Indians 1336 -0.1
Blue Jays 1250 Angels 1424 -0.1
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 +0.1
Nationals 717 Royals 753 -0.1
Marlins 970 Twins 846 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Giants vs Mariners-0.1+0.6
Brewers vs Royals+0.1-0.1
Rangers vs Padres-0.0+0.1
Yankees vs Twins-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Mariners finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1511-035.2%032111431930243,974
1410-17.2061204127500539,035
139-20.80102164133706,480,782
128-30.00000215473510043,135,096
117-40.00002226412100173,882,967
106-50.0000449389000439,606,742
95-60.0000154235700703,710,237
84-7Out01154733300708,621,665
73-8Out00121552020439,862,570
62-9Out0033347152161,118,610
51-10Out0535441631,566,788
40-11Out00535602,739,354
Total:0.0%00000003172227227202,711,507,820

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Mariners finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeWhite SoxRed SoxTigersAstrosAngelsBlue JaysOriolesIndiansRangersRoyalsRaysYankees
1511-00.0%25813514411
1410-10.063015011000000
139-20.0100200000000
128-3No00000000000
117-4No00000
9-10No0
4-8No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 +0.3
Nationals 717 Royals 753 +0.0
Pirates 1048 Diamondbacks 854 -0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Giants vs Mariners+0.2-0.9
Pirates vs Phillies-0.0+0.2
Brewers vs Royals-0.1+0.0
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks-0.0+0.1
Rangers vs Padres+0.0-0.1
Yankees vs Twins+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1511-00014111375211200
1410-10016142928166100
139-20010210233123910
128-30000019284021100
117-4000004265811100
106-5000044538111000
95-60000103336163000
84-70052237269100
73-8001113139162000
62-9000424432361000
51-100011231331751000
40-110212293119710
Total:00000000000013141717161310621000000