"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Oakland Athletics Playoff Chances 2016

Lost to Phillies 956-1047, playoff odds unchanged at 0.000001%
1-9   .100

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 Out
-0.1
Marlins 970 Twins 846 +0.0
Rays 764 Red Sox 1156 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals vs AthleticsOut+0.0
-0.2+0.2
Rays vs Indians-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Athletics finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1211-00.0%00111434140224,838
1110-10.00113592434,281
109-2Out0131462020133,986
98-3Out05294618202,178,330
87-4Out0042845212020,002,714
76-5Out0042650192106,652,193
65-6Out0004334716339,234,476
54-7Out0074152657,039,165
43-8Out0001387779,899,800
32-9Out0100553,973,141
1-2Out100252,164,896*
Total:0.0%000000002820692,711,507,820

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Athletics finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeWhite SoxTigers
1211-0No000
1110-1No0
1-10No
Total:No0.00.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 +0.4
Nationals 717 Royals 753 -0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Nationals vs Athletics+0.9-0.9
Astros vs Reds-0.0+0.2
Braves vs Tigers+0.2-0.0
Orioles vs Rockies-0.0+0.1
Rays vs Indians+0.1-0.0
Brewers vs Royals+0.1-0.0
Rangers vs Padres-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1211-0000418363011100
1110-100525442140
109-202223928810
98-300212293418400
87-4001417343212100
76-50018294118200
65-6000426471930000
54-700220372992000
43-80016223525920
32-90052137298
21-100063658
10-11100
Total:0000000000012612131413121198