Houston Astros Playoff Chances 2016

Beat Indians 1644-1336, playoff odds down 3.3 to 74.7%
8-2   .800

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Blue Jays 1250 Angels 1424 -7.7
-0.4
-0.2
Astros 1644 Indians 1336 +5.4
+0.4
+0.3
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 +0.3
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 +0.1
Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 -0.1
Rays 764 Red Sox 1156 -0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Astros vs Reds+1.0-18.0
+0.1-1.2
+0.0-0.8
Marlins vs Angels+5.4-9.6
+0.3-0.5
+0.2-0.3
Braves vs Tigers+2.2-0.1
+0.1-0.0
Mets vs White Sox+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.0
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks-0.0+0.1
Orioles vs Rockies-0.0+0.1
+0.0-0.1
Cardinals vs Red Sox+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Astros finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1911-0In92819,914,764
1810-1100.0%4946500141,203,222
179-299.4115631210429,295,087
168-393.41286146000720,024,708
157-473.207633225000726,611,272
146-543.8014312424700453,249,177
135-619.2019083234700174,289,621
124-75.7060112473320040,646,753
113-81.01012258161005,598,243
102-90.1003384314100432,752
91-10Out073541162017,144
80-11Out0631411930225,077
Total:74.7%521472128410000002,711,507,820

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Astros finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeWhite SoxRed SoxTigersAngelsBlue JaysOriolesIndiansRangersMarinersRoyalsRaysYankeesTwins
1911-08.0%Yes
1810-17.610000000000
179-27.298002000000000
168-36.8902080000000000
157-45.97040190100000000
146-53.94340200000000000
135-61.6191070000000000
124-70.4600100000
113-80.11000
102-90.00
8-9No
Total:5.7%72.62.40.111.10.00.40.20.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Astros 1644 Indians 1336 -0.7
Blue Jays 1250 Angels 1424 +0.1
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 +0.0
Marlins 970 Twins 846 +0.0
Pirates 1048 Diamondbacks 854 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Astros vs Reds-0.1+1.8
Marlins vs Angels-0.1+0.2
Braves vs Tigers-0.2+0.0
Giants vs Mariners+0.0-0.1
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks+0.0-0.1
Pirates vs Phillies+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1911-09280
1810-13946132000
179-231933281330010
168-30031225291956000
157-4000282538121041000
146-500034131118167100
135-60019016203020300
124-70600031940293000
113-810021948255000
102-900218382911200
91-10019263423710
80-110029253423610
Total:367891012205554321000000000