Boston Red Sox Playoff Chances 2016
Beat Rays 1156-764, playoff odds up 8.7 to 88.5%
8-2 .800
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 6/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win World Series | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Blue Jays 1250 Angels 1424 | +6.3 | +1.2 | +0.2 | |||
| Rays 764 Red Sox 1156 | +1.1 | +0.2 | +0.1 | |||
| Yankees 882 Orioles 1067 | -0.5 | -0.1 | ||||
| Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 | -0.2 | |||||
| Astros 1644 Indians 1336 | +0.1 | -0.2 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||||
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win World Series | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cardinals vs Red Sox | -5.6+5.1 | -0.9+0.8 | -0.3+0.3 | |||
| Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks | -0.7+4.2 | -0.1+0.6 | -0.0+0.1 | |||
| Orioles vs Rockies | -0.2+2.0 | -0.0+0.3 | -0.0+0.1 | |||
| Braves vs Tigers | +0.9-0.0 | +0.1-0.0 | ||||
| Marlins vs Angels | +0.0-0.1 | -0.2+0.4 | ||||
| Mets vs White Sox | +0.1-0.0 | +0.1-0.0 | ||||
| Astros vs Reds | -0.0+0.8 | -0.0+0.1 | ||||
What If
Chances based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | |||
| 19 | 11 | - | 0 | In | 94 | 6 | 74,743,666 | ||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 10 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | 56 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 351,339,328 | ||||||||||||
| 17 | 9 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 17 | 77 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 700,362,864 | ||||||||||||
| 16 | 8 | - | 3 | 97.6 | 2 | 66 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 772,329,572 | ||||||||||
| 15 | 7 | - | 4 | 80.2 | 0 | 27 | 52 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 519,004,223 | |||||||||
| 14 | 6 | - | 5 | 43.7 | 0 | 4 | 40 | 0 | 21 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 221,171,220 | |||||||||
| 13 | 5 | - | 6 | 12.9 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 38 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 60,524,284 | |||||||||
| 12 | 4 | - | 7 | 1.7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 49 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10,575,220 | ||||||||
| 11 | 3 | - | 8 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 57 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1,154,828 | |||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 44 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 75,119 | ||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 10 | Out | 5 | 26 | 46 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 2,664 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 11 | Out | 0 | 3 | 27 | 45 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 224,832 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 88.5 | % | 15 | 50 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2,711,507,820 | |||||
First Round Opponent What If
First round opponent based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season. Explain
| If finish: | Chance will play in first round | |||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | Win WS | Bye | White Sox | Tigers | Astros | Angels | Blue Jays | Orioles | Indians | Rangers | Mariners | Royals | Rays | Yankees | Twins | ||
| 19 | 11 | - | 0 | 18.0 | % | Yes | ||||||||||||||
| 18 | 10 | - | 1 | 18.3 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
| 17 | 9 | - | 2 | 18.6 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| 16 | 8 | - | 3 | 18.4 | 96 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 15 | 7 | - | 4 | 16.4 | 78 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 14 | 6 | - | 5 | 10.3 | 43 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 13 | 5 | - | 6 | 3.1 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 12 | 4 | - | 7 | 0.4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 11 | 3 | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 9 | No | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | -9 | No | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 17.0 | % | 87.8 | 1.0 | 4.7 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 6/12 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Rays 764 Red Sox 1156 | -0.1 | |
| Blue Jays 1250 Angels 1424 | -0.1 | |
| Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 | +0.0 | |
| Marlins 970 Twins 846 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Cardinals vs Red Sox | +1.1-1.0 | |
| Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks | +0.0-0.1 | |
| Braves vs Tigers | -0.2+0.0 | |
| Marlins vs Angels | +0.0-0.1 | |
| Giants vs Mariners | +0.0-0.1 | |
| Astros vs Reds | +0.0-0.1 | |
| Mets vs White Sox | -0.1+0.0 | |
| Orioles vs Rockies | +0.0-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | |
| 19 | 11 | - | 0 | 89 | 10 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 10 | - | 1 | 35 | 45 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 9 | - | 2 | 3 | 16 | 32 | 30 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 8 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 7 | - | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 34 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 6 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 5 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 33 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 4 | - | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 42 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 3 | - | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 44 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 36 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 10 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 37 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 34 | 21 | 5 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 8 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
Updated Sunday, 2023-10-22 12:34 AM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
