Baltimore Orioles Playoff Chances 2016

Beat Yankees 1067-882, playoff odds up 2.8 to 5.5%
7-3   .700

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Yankees 882 Orioles 1067 +1.1
+0.3
Blue Jays 1250 Angels 1424 +0.7
Rays 764 Red Sox 1156 -0.1
Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 -0.1
Astros 1644 Indians 1336 +0.0
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 +0.0
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orioles vs Rockies+0.5-3.8
+0.1-0.6
Cardinals vs Red Sox+1.7-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Braves vs Tigers+1.7-0.1
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks-0.1+0.9
-0.0+0.2
Marlins vs Angels+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1
Mets vs White Sox+0.1-0.1
Astros vs Reds-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1
Rays vs Indians+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Orioles finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1811-099.9%49480301,022,246
1710-193.612626146012,564,353
169-262.112917163530082,932,431
158-321.0041254826400297,212,738
147-43.30030214429200626,253,796
136-50.2000324551800788,570,914
125-60.0000044250300584,511,433
114-70.00000136519200249,564,918
103-80.0000138421620060,050,262
92-9Out0083139193008,028,885
81-10Out006274322200555,739
70-11Out00427491830240,105
Total:5.5%02311221332441000002,711,507,820

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Orioles finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeWhite SoxRed SoxTigersAstrosAngelsBlue JaysIndiansRangersMarinersRoyalsRaysYankeesTwins
1811-00.1%97020000
1710-10.179315011000000
169-20.14680361220000000
158-30.01690391220000000
147-40.0340160000000000
136-50.001020000000000
125-60.0000000000000
114-70.00000000
103-8No000
7-9No
Total:0.0%4.32.20.010.00.20.40.40.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Yankees 882 Orioles 1067 -0.6
Astros 1644 Indians 1336 -0.0
Pirates 1048 Diamondbacks 854 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Orioles vs Rockies-0.1+1.1
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks+0.0-0.2
Pirates vs Phillies+0.0-0.1
Mets vs White Sox+0.1-0.1
Rays vs Indians-0.1+0.0
Marlins vs Angels-0.0+0.1
Braves vs Tigers-0.1+0.0
Astros vs Reds+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1811-02241316000
1710-121232331320060
169-20021120199134400
158-300013883032143000
147-400003212273119500
136-500000314353611000
125-60000011039465000
114-7000111562740000
103-8000125412571000
92-900317333014300
81-100172233259100
70-110018233526700
Total:00001112579121721195100000000