"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Toronto Blue Jays Playoff Chances 2016

Lost to Angels 1250-1424, playoff odds down 20.4 to 11.3%
5-5   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Blue Jays 1250 Angels 1424 -13.5
-1.3
-0.7
Rays 764 Red Sox 1156 -0.8
-0.1
-0.0
Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 -0.5
-0.0
Astros 1644 Indians 1336 +0.4
Yankees 882 Orioles 1067 -0.3
-0.1
-0.0
Braves 595 White Sox 1119 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks+1.2-7.9
+0.1-0.5
+0.1-0.7
Cardinals vs Red Sox+3.6-3.2
+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1
Braves vs Tigers+4.4-0.2
+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.0
Orioles vs Rockies-0.1+0.8
-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.2
Marlins vs Angels+0.2-0.4
+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1
Mets vs White Sox+0.3-0.1
Astros vs Reds-0.0+0.3
-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1
Rays vs Indians+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Blue Jays finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1611-061.3%016252136200167,065,143
1510-124.5021585519100615,053,775
149-25.4004135461310892,053,793
138-30.6010842418000665,660,618
127-40.000011450332000283,836,684
116-50.000225591310073,952,213
105-60.0000444381220012,254,690
94-7Out0011353615301,312,035
83-8Out182941201090,152
72-9Out05285312103,811
61-10Out24639121108
50-11Out010374014224,798
Total:11.3%0173283121810000002,711,507,820

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Blue Jays finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeWhite SoxRed SoxTigersAstrosAngelsOriolesIndiansRangersMarinersRoyalsRaysYankeesTwins
1611-02.9%4190411311000000
1510-11.817100471311000000
149-20.8460280100000000
138-30.211070000000000
127-40.000010000000000
116-50.00000000
105-60.000
5-9No
Total:0.9%8.05.30.024.00.41.20.40.20.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Blue Jays 1250 Angels 1424 +1.5
Yankees 882 Orioles 1067 +0.0
Astros 1644 Indians 1336 -0.0
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 +0.0
Pirates 1048 Diamondbacks 854 +0.0
Rays 764 Red Sox 1156 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks-0.2+1.4
Orioles vs Rockies+0.0-0.1
Braves vs Tigers-0.1+0.0
Giants vs Mariners+0.0-0.1
Astros vs Reds+0.0-0.1
Pirates vs Phillies+0.0-0.1
Cardinals vs Red Sox-0.1+0.1
Mets vs White Sox+0.1-0.0
Rays vs Indians-0.1+0.0
Marlins vs Angels-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1611-00151420155136300
1510-100015107432661000
149-200001582732207100
138-300102112936193000
127-40000042245263000
116-50000220492451000
105-60001173530133000
94-7001620332711200
83-8001826392320
72-903214922500
61-10213425191
50-11002618292813300
Total:000122331515141413105100000000000000