Royal Excelsior MouscronMouscron beat Charleroi 2-1, odds of winning the cup up 3.3% to 8.2% Record: 21 points, 6 - 3 - 3 6 How are these numbers calculated? (show) Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Each match can have 2 kinds of impact on Mouscron: 1. How many percentage points it changed their chance of winning the title. 2. (If in parenthesis,) how many positions it changed their average regular season finishing position, with the signed flipped so negative is bad. The week’s total impact on Mouscron is shown between the best and worst case outcomes. Future matches show separate impacts for each outcome. Hover your mouse over a match to hightlight it in the standings. How do I know a matches impact? (show) | |
Week of 11/15 | Impact | | | Mouscron | 2 | | Charleroi | 1 | | | 2.4 | | (1.01) | | | Club Brugge | 1 | | Anderlecht | 1 | | | 0.4 | | (0.04) | | | Lokeren | 1 | | Standard Liège | 1 | | | 0.2 | | | | | Genk | 1 | | Roeselare | 1 | | | 0.1 | | (0.03) | | | Tubize | 3 | | Cercle Brugge | 0 | | | | | (0.01) | | | Dender | 1 | | Kortrijk | 0 | | | | | (-0.00) | | | Zulte Waregem | 2 | | Germinal | 2 | | | | | (0.03) | | | Worst | -2.85 | (-1.03) | 3.32 | | (1.19) | (1.20) | 3.38 | Best | | |
Week of 11/22 | | | Win | | Win | Draw | | Standard Liège | -3.3 |
(-0.82)
| Mouscron | 4.0 |
(0.97)
| -1.2 |
(-0.22)
| | 2:00 PM Sat | | | Mons | 0.5 |
(0.02)
| Club Brugge | -0.7 |
(-0.03)
| 0.2 |
(0.03)
| | 12:00 PM Sat | | | Anderlecht | -0.1 |
(-0.01)
| Westerlo | -0.2 |
(-0.01)
| 0.5 |
(0.05)
| | 2:00 PM Sat | | | Gent | 0.1 |
(-0.01)
| Genk | -0.2 |
(-0.02)
| 0.2 |
(0.04)
| | 2:30 PM Sun | | | Germinal | 0.1 |
(0.03)
| Lokeren | -0.2 |
(-0.05)
| 0.1 |
(0.03)
| | 2:00 PM Sat | | | Charleroi | |
(-0.04)
| Tubize | |
(0.02)
| |
(0.03)
| | 2:00 PM Sat | | | Cercle Brugge | |
(-0.03)
| Mechelen | |
(0.01)
| |
(0.03)
| | 2:00 PM Sat | | | Roeselare | |
(0.02)
| Dender | |
(-0.03)
| |
(0.02)
| | 2:00 PM Sat | | | Kortrijk | |
(0.00)
| Zulte Waregem | |
(-0.01)
| |
(0.04)
| | 12:00 PM Sun | | | | -4.89 | (-1.04) | 0.00 | | (0.00) | (1.25) | 5.44 | | |
What IfChances based on how well Mouscron finishs out the season.
Explain (show) | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance team will finish the season at position | | | | W | - | D | - | L | PCT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Demoted | | Count | | | | | | | | | 22 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1.000 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1,000 | | 20 | - | 1 | - | 1 | .924 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 2 | | 20 | - | 0 | - | 2 | .909 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 2 | | 19 | - | 2 | - | 1 | .894 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 17 | | 19 | - | 1 | - | 2 | .879 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 13 | | 19 | - | 0 | - | 3 | .864 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 32 | | 18 | - | 2 | - | 2 | .848 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 97 | | 18 | - | 1 | - | 3 | .833 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 193 | | 18 | - | 0 | - | 4 | .818 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 383 | | 17 | - | 2 | - | 3 | .803 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 753 | | 17 | - | 1 | - | 4 | .788 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1,398 | | 17 | - | 0 | - | 5 | .773 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 2,546 | | 16 | - | 2 | - | 4 | .758 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 4,165 | | 16 | - | 1 | - | 5 | .742 | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 6,871 | | 16 | - | 0 | - | 6 | .727 | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 11,470 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 5 | .712 | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 17,623 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 6 | .697 | 94 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 26,549 | | 15 | - | 0 | - | 7 | .682 | 91 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 39,511 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 6 | .667 | 86 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 56,878 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 7 | .652 | 80 | 19 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 79,866 | | 14 | - | 0 | - | 8 | .636 | 72 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 108,752 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 7 | .621 | 63 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 144,918 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 8 | .606 | 52 | 38 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 188,287 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 9 | .591 | 41 | 43 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 237,310 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 8 | .576 | 29 | 44 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 293,136 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 9 | .561 | 19 | 41 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 352,308 | | 12 | - | 0 | - | 10 | .545 | 11 | 33 | 35 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 412,162 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 9 | .530 | 5 | 24 | 37 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 471,947 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 10 | .515 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 527,873 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 11 | .500 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | | 573,333 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 10 | .485 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 29 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | | 609,411 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 11 | .470 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | | 632,190 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 12 | .455 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | | 638,982 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 11 | .439 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | | 630,177 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 12 | .424 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | | 605,362 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 13 | .409 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | | 566,500 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 12 | .394 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | | 517,163 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 13 | .379 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | | 460,338 | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 14 | .364 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | No | | 398,143 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 13 | .348 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | No | | 334,554 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 14 | .333 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 272,645 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 15 | .318 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | | 217,260 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 14 | .303 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | | 167,246 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 15 | .288 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1.9 | | 125,169 | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 16 | .273 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 5.7 | | 90,466 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 15 | .258 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 31 | 14 | 2 | 12.9 | | 62,737 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 16 | .242 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 36 | 24 | 5 | 23.5 | | 42,911 | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 17 | .227 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 35 | 35 | 11 | 36.9 | | 27,978 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 16 | .212 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 42 | 19 | 50.4 | | 17,390 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 17 | .197 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 44 | 30 | 63.6 | | 10,562 | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 18 | .182 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 14 | 43 | 41 | 73.9 | | 6,087 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 17 | .167 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 37 | 55 | 82.8 | | 3,251 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 18 | .152 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 31 | 64 | 87.4 | | 1,640 | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 19 | .136 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 22 | 77 | 92.8 | | 832 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 18 | .121 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 17 | 82 | 95.4 | | 386 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 19 | .106 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 12 | 87 | 95.7 | | 145 | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 20 | .091 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | 88 | 97.1 | | 52 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 19 | .076 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | 86 | 96.4 | | 21 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 18 | .061 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 5 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 19 | .045 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 1 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 20 | .030 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 1 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 22 | .000 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 1,000 | | | | | | | | | Total: | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.6% | | 10,000,000 |
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