Manchester City Title Chances 2017-2018 50/50

Beat Leicester City 5-1, title odds up 2.2 to 99.1%

72 points 23-3-1

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/24	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL
Arsenal vs Manchester City	-0.6*+0.0+0.6		-0.0+0.0Yes
Manchester United vs Chelsea	-0.4+0.2+0.2
Liverpool vs West Ham	-0.2+0.1+0.1
Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur	+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Manchester City finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance				Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	wins title		UEFA CL		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Relegated	Count

90	-105						Yes		Yes		100																				No	20,106,763	*
89		5	-	2	-	4	100.0	%	Yes		100	0																			No	3,875,477
		4	-	5	-	2	100.0		Yes		100	0																			No	2,109,995
		3	-	8	-	0	Yes		Yes		100																				No	27,313
88		4	-	4	-	3	100.0		Yes		100	0																			No	4,312,096
		5	-	1	-	5	100.0		Yes		100	0																			No	1,898,489
		3	-	7	-	1	100.0		Yes		100	0																			No	267,014
87		4	-	3	-	4	100.0		Yes		100	0																			No	5,273,466
		3	-	6	-	2	100.0		Yes		100	0																			No	1,147,641
		5	-	0	-	6	99.9		Yes		100	0																			No	387,920
		2	-	9	-	0	Yes		Yes		100																				No	7,566
86		4	-	2	-	5	99.9		Yes		100	0																			No	3,878,396
		3	-	5	-	3	99.9		Yes		100	0																			No	2,812,255
		2	-	8	-	1	100.0		Yes		100	0																			No	81,920
85		3	-	4	-	4	99.9		Yes		100	0																			No	4,307,171
		4	-	1	-	6	99.8		Yes		100	0																			No	1,580,997
		2	-	7	-	2	99.9		Yes		100	0																			No	403,660	*
84		3	-	3	-	5	99.7		Yes		100	0	0																		No	4,221,865
		2	-	6	-	3	99.8		Yes		100	0	0																		No	1,149,870
		4	-	0	-	7	99.6		Yes		100	0																			No	276,933
		1	-	9	-	1	99.9		Yes		100	0																			No	15,051
83		3	-	2	-	6	99.4		Yes		99	1	0																		No	2,585,769
		2	-	5	-	4	99.5		Yes		100	0	0																		No	2,109,079
		1	-	8	-	2	99.6		Yes		100	0																			No	81,959	*
82		2	-	4	-	5	98.8		Yes		99	1	0																		No	2,583,686
		3	-	1	-	7	98.6		Yes		99	1	0																		No	906,034
		1	-	7	-	3	99.0		Yes		99	1	0																		No	267,248
		0	-	10	-	1	99.3		Yes		99	1																			No	1,254
81		2	-	3	-	6	97.5		Yes		98	2	0																		No	2,110,290
		1	-	6	-	4	98.0		Yes		98	2	0																		No	574,674
		3	-	0	-	8	97.1		Yes		97	3	0																		No	138,313
		0	-	9	-	2	98.3		Yes		98	2																			No	7,420
80		2	-	2	-	7	95.2		Yes		95	5	0																		No	1,106,959
		1	-	5	-	5	95.8		Yes		96	4	0																		No	843,936
		0	-	8	-	3	96.3		Yes		96	4	0																		No	27,362
79		1	-	4	-	6	92.1		Yes		92	8	0	0																	No	862,379
		2	-	1	-	8	91.0		Yes		91	9	0	0																	No	339,377
		0	-	7	-	4	92.9		Yes		93	7	0																		No	67,038
78		1	-	3	-	7	86.1		Yes		86	14	0	0																	No	603,717
		0	-	6	-	5	87.7		Yes		88	12	0	0																	No	115,133
		2	-	0	-	9	84.4		Yes		84	15	0	0																	No	46,113
77		1	-	2	-	8	77.3		100.0	%	77	21	1	0	0																No	277,177
		0	-	5	-	6	79.5		Yes		80	19	1	0																	No	140,906
76		0	-	4	-	7	68.1		Yes		68	29	3	0																	No	123,135
		1	-	1	-	9	65.5		100.0		65	31	3	0	0																No	75,431
75		0	-	3	-	8	54.2		100.0		54	39	7	0	0																No	75,286
		1	-	0	-	10	51.0		Yes		51	41	8	0																	No	9,302
74		0	-	2	-	9	39.3		100.0		39	46	13	1	0																No	30,956
73		0	-	1	-	10	25.0		99.9		25	47	24	4	0																No	7,577
72		0	-	0	-	11	13.5		99.2		14	42	34	10	1	0															No	10,072

Total:							99.1	%	100.0	%	99	1	0	0	0	0															No	74,269,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Win Championship