How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Zamora vs Nacional+18.7-2.1-17.4
+0.5-0.0-0.4
Atletico-MG vs Cerro Porteno-0.7+2.1-0.7
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cerro Porteno vs Zamora-17.4-2.1+18.7
-0.4-0.0+0.5
Nacional vs Atletico-MG-0.6+2.1-0.7

What If

Chances based on how well the Zamora finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
16-18In100167,613*
155-0-1In991210,378
144-2-0In1000207,884
134-1-1In937659,453
124-0-299.8%72280523,070
3-3-0In937175,297
113-2-199.968310831,722
103-1-294.1306461,320,211
2-4-099.56238182,225
93-0-361.7359381699,920
2-3-188.9206911523,989
82-2-246.51465211,249,209
1-5-081.611701821,153
72-1-39.1968221,320,832
1-4-127.4027676165,870
61-3-23.335839524,327
2-0-40.403960524,102
0-6-017.91872102,162
51-2-30.102773832,158
0-5-10.61445620,741
41-1-4Out892660,359
0-4-20.00148683,042
31-0-5Out199209,590
0-3-3Out397175,061
20-2-4Out0100208,931
0-1Out100168,237*
Total:50.0%2525252511,567,536

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/5100.0*Lottery seed
Zamora vs Nacional-4.3+0.7+3.9
Atletico-MG vs Cerro Porteno+0.1-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/12100.0*Lottery seed
Cerro Porteno vs Zamora+3.9+0.7-4.3
Nacional vs Atletico-MG+0.1-0.2+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
186-0-09640
165-1-07819200
155-0-1503511200010
144-2-02839238200000
134-1-18222821103107000
124-0-214111819135121710000
3-3-016172624145161000
113-2-10027152117613125100000
103-1-20000151113615181483105100
2-4-000141224216121162100100
93-0-300002015101515932013410000
2-3-1000031602714191682731000
82-2-2010001410171481615941000
1-5-0001100281925154752000
72-1-300027139151918148410000
1-4-1000016201512171712621000
61-3-2003000141017211913721000
2-0-400000126121921181252000
0-6-01170127152218106100
51-2-3000000251118232013610
0-5-1100139172322157200
41-1-40000139172525154
0-4-200001513222621102
31-0-5000310253725
0-3-3001413283520
20-2-40002113651
10-1-50021978
00-0-600496
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333