How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tigre vs Palmeiras+16.8-4.4-19.5
+0.4-0.1-0.5
Guarani vs Bolivar-0.7+2.1-0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bolivar vs Tigre-15.5+0.2+20.8
-0.4+0.0+0.5
Palmeiras vs Guarani-0.7+2.1-0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the Tigre finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
16-18In100178,850,459*
155-0-1In991229,281,390
144-2-0In1000226,582,325
134-1-1In937732,192,558
124-0-299.8%72270589,047,799
3-3-0In937192,948,635
113-2-199.969310931,055,665
103-1-294.2316361,491,247,427
2-4-099.46238191,998,932
93-0-361.9359381792,645,591
2-3-188.9206911589,239,541
82-2-246.61465211,409,270,400
1-5-080.511702023,294,888
72-1-39.1968231,491,261,427
1-4-126.7027676185,644,712
61-3-23.235740589,263,336
2-0-40.403961589,077,153
0-6-016.001673112,444,905
51-2-30.102773930,973,062
0-5-10.61425723,295,203
41-1-4Out892732,210,464
0-4-20.00148691,975,138
31-0-5Out199229,250,442
0-3-3Out397192,964,051
20-2-4Out0100226,612,026
0-1Out100178,853,015*
Total:50.0%2525252512,941,480,544

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/3100.0*Lottery seed
Tigre vs Palmeiras-3.9+1.2+4.4
Guarani vs Bolivar+0.1-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/10100.0*Lottery seed
Bolivar vs Tigre+3.4+0.2-4.8
Palmeiras vs Guarani+0.1-0.2+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
186-0-0964000
165-1-0791920000
155-0-152351120000100
144-2-030392271000000
134-1-192328201031060000
124-0-214121919125120610000000
3-3-0161725241451510000
113-2-1002716211761312510000000
103-1-2000025111361518147310510000
2-4-00001311232351111731001000
93-0-30000030151115159220134100000
2-3-1000003170271419179273100000
82-2-200010001410161481615941000000
1-5-00010000271826174752100000
72-1-3000002713915181814841000000
1-4-100000015201410161713731000000
61-3-2000300014916212014831000
2-0-40000000137131921181252000
0-6-000001500026131919147210000
51-2-3000000000151018232114620
0-5-1010000137152122179310
41-1-4000000138172526165
0-4-20000001411202622123
31-0-500000310253725
0-3-300001312273621
20-2-400002113552
10-1-5000021979
00-0-6000496
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333