Sao Paulo Futebol Clube Playoff Chances 50/50

Tied River Plate 2-2, playoff odds down 3.3 to 47.1%

4 points 1-1-1

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Chances based on how well the Sao Paulo finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	Count

13	3	-	0	-	0	In		100				150,477
11	2	-	1	-	0	In		81	19			282,972
10	2	-	0	-	1	96.8	%	37	60	3		448,146
9	1	-	2	-	0	91.3		23	69	9		178,415
8	1	-	1	-	1	40.0		0	40	58	2	565,701
7	1	-	0	-	2	4.2			4	66	30	448,842
	0	-	3	-	0	19.4			19	75	6	37,405
6	0	-	2	-	1	0.5			1	41	58	178,748
5	0	-	1	-	2	Out				11	89	282,606
4	0	-	0	-	3	Out					100	150,192

Total:						47.1	%	22	25	29	24	2,723,504

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 9/15	100.0*	Lottery seed
Sao Paulo 2 River Plate 2	+0.7
Binacional 0 LDU 1	+0.1
E. de Merida 3 Alianza Lima 2	+0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/23	100.0*	Lottery seed
LDU vs Sao Paulo	+4.6+1.1-5.3
Binacional vs River Plate	-0.0-0.3+0.2
E. de Merida vs Nacional	+0.1-0.0-0.1
Junior vs I. del Valle	+0.1-0.0-0.1
Guarani vs Palmeiras	+0.1-0.0-0.1
Tigre vs Bolivar	+0.0-0.1+0.0
Jorge Wilstermann vs Penarol	+0.0-0.1+0.0
America de Cali vs U. Catolica	+0.0-0.1+0.0

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

13	3	-	0	-	0	6	22	32	25	11	3	0	0
11	2	-	1	-	0	0	0	1	5	15	27	25	9	6	8	4	1	0	0
10	2	-	0	-	1		0	0	0	1	4	13	18	4	13	17	14	8	3	1	0	3	0	0	0
9	1	-	2	-	0					0	0	2	21	0	1	5	12	19	19	10	2	5	3	1	0	0
8	1	-	1	-	1							0	0	0	0	0	0	2	7	15	15	7	17	18	12	5	1	0	0	0
7	1	-	0	-	2													0	0	1	3	0	3	8	15	20	20	15	9	4	1	0	0	0
	0	-	3	-	0												0	0	0	4	15	1	5	14	21	20	12	5	1	0	0	0
6	0	-	2	-	1															0	1	0	0	0	1	3	8	16	22	22	16	8	3	1	0	0
5	0	-	1	-	2																				0	0	0	1	3	8	17	25	24	15	6	1	0
4	0	-	0	-	3																						0	0	0	0	2	7	17	27	27	15	4

Total:						0	1	2	2	2	4	5	5	1	3	4	3	3	3	4	4	2	4	5	5	5	4	4	3	3	3	4	4	3	2	1	0