"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sporting Cristal 0 Sao Paulo 3 +20.7
+0.5
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Rentistas vs Racing-0.5+0.8-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo vs Rentistas+9.0-2.3-16.2
+0.3-0.1-0.5
Racing vs Sporting Cristal-1.3+1.9+0.8
-0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Sao Paulo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
16-18In100787,171,397*
154-0-1In991645,033,080
143-2-0In1000551,768,352
133-1-1In9191,263,120,146
123-0-299.7%67330715,054,991
2-3-0In928270,895,904
112-2-199.864360924,252,897
102-1-292.5266671,039,332,025
1-4-099.35940166,262,716
92-0-360.0258400384,871,377
1-3-187.4186913299,464,924
81-2-247.8147521501,685,747
0-5-081.11170196,460,962
71-1-311.1117415368,964,933
0-4-130.203066436,250,650
61-0-40.615347100,422,500
0-3-24.75662980,434,198
50-2-30.10406088,077,687
40-1-4Out178347,580,606
30-0-5Out39710,767,836
Total:85.2%59261238,187,872,928

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/20100.0*Lottery seed
Sporting Cristal 0 Sao Paulo 3 -4.7
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Rentistas vs Racing+0.1-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/28100.0*Lottery seed
Sao Paulo vs Rentistas-2.5+1.1+4.1
Racing vs Sporting Cristal+0.2-0.2-0.2
Olimpia vs Always Ready-0.0-0.0+0.1
Internacional vs Deportivo Tachira-0.0-0.0+0.1
U. Catolica vs Argentinos Juniors-0.0-0.1+0.0
Barcelona SC vs The Strongest+0.0-0.1-0.0
Flamengo vs Union La Calera+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
185-0-09460000
164-1-07125400000
154-0-139381741000100
143-2-01935291331000000
133-1-1516262414510810000
123-0-202714191672229200000000
2-3-0031122271981620000
112-2-1001412201981214720000000
102-1-200001391351419169310710000
1-4-0000029232551213831001000
92-0-30000020149151610321134100000
1-3-10000216016141917928410000
81-2-20001000141017149161583100000
0-5-0001100028192615575200000
71-1-30000029151118201611521000000
0-4-10000017221614181694100000
61-0-40001000151017212014731000
0-3-2000500127142021169410000
50-2-3000000149172222158300
40-1-4000000271423251992
30-0-500001516293216
Total:1310976654654332223221111111000000