How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/4100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Colon vs Penarol-17.4-2.0+18.7
-0.4-0.0+0.5
Olimpia vs Petrolero-0.6+2.0-0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Penarol vs Olimpia+18.7-2.0-17.4
+0.5-0.0-0.4
Petrolero vs Colon-0.6+2.0-0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the Penarol finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
16-18In100700,018*
155-0-1In991874,016
144-2-0In1000868,493
134-1-1In9372,756,394
124-0-299.8%722802,183,357
3-3-0In937728,385
113-2-199.9683103,468,178
103-1-294.1306465,511,545
2-4-099.562370344,702
93-0-361.63593812,913,734
2-3-188.92069112,185,007
82-2-246.61465215,203,799
1-5-082.712711786,699
72-1-39.1968225,504,650
1-4-127.6028676687,919
62-0-40.4039602,186,303
1-3-23.3358392,184,199
0-6-018.30187299,258
51-2-30.1027733,465,956
0-5-10.71445586,500
41-1-4Out8922,755,947
0-4-20.001486343,693
31-0-5Out199874,694
0-3-3Out397728,401
20-2-4Out0100867,850
0-1Out100700,175*
Total:50.0%2525252548,219,872

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/4100.0*Lottery seed
Colon vs Penarol+3.9+0.7-4.3
Olimpia vs Petrolero+0.1-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/12100.0*Lottery seed
Penarol vs Olimpia-4.3+0.7+3.9
Petrolero vs Colon+0.1-0.2+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
186-0-097300
165-1-08117200
155-0-1493612200010
144-2-02538259200000
134-1-18232821103107000
124-0-203917201561207100000
3-3-015152525155161000
113-2-100151421198121251000000
103-1-20001411146141714831051000
2-4-000131224235121162100000
93-0-30003013814161241713620000
2-3-100218015131918103731000
82-2-201000138171751316115200000
1-5-0011001617271936531000
72-1-300001803713171815105210000
1-4-10000162114111617137310000
62-0-4000000024101621201583100
1-3-200300013815202115931000
0-6-0001800026131919147200
51-2-300000013816232316720
0-5-11000261421241810310
41-1-4000027162527185
0-4-2000001412212622112
31-0-500028233828
0-3-30001312273622
20-2-40001103554
10-1-500021879
00-0-600496
Total:33333333333333343333333333333333