"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jorge Wilstermann vs Colo-Colo+18.7-2.0-17.4
+0.5-0.0-0.4
Athletico-PR vs Penarol-0.6+2.0-0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Penarol vs Jorge Wilstermann-17.4-2.0+18.7
-0.4-0.0+0.5
Colo-Colo vs Athletico-PR-0.6+2.0-0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the Jorge Wilstermann finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
16-18In10062,485,191*
155-0-1In99177,979,631
144-2-0In100077,383,327
134-1-1In937245,602,482
124-0-299.8%72280194,892,230
3-3-0In93764,990,378
113-2-199.969310309,409,473
103-1-294.130646491,066,093
2-4-099.56238030,703,515
93-0-361.6359381259,827,933
2-3-188.9206911194,933,250
82-2-246.7146521464,087,482
1-5-082.01171187,742,032
72-1-39.196822491,075,842
1-4-127.402767661,413,272
61-3-23.335839194,923,913
2-0-40.403960194,895,619
0-6-017.30177310811,680
51-2-30.102773309,432,759
0-5-10.7144557,742,016
41-1-4Out892245,588,288
0-4-20.00148630,701,963
31-0-5Out19977,981,810
0-3-3Out39764,993,750
20-2-4Out010077,389,818
0-1Out10062,480,301*
Total:50.0%252525254,300,534,048

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/3100.0*Lottery seed
Jorge Wilstermann vs Colo-Colo-4.3+0.7+3.9
Athletico-PR vs Penarol+0.1-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/10100.0*Lottery seed
Penarol vs Jorge Wilstermann+3.9+0.7-4.3
Colo-Colo vs Athletico-PR+0.1-0.2+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
186-0-0964000
165-1-0781920000
155-0-150351120000100
144-2-028392382000000
134-1-182228211031070000
124-0-214111819135120710000000
3-3-0161726241451610000
113-2-1002715211761312510000000
103-1-2000015111361518148310510000
2-4-00001412242161211621000000
93-0-30000020151015159320134100000
2-3-100000316027141916827310000
82-2-20001000141017148161594100000
1-5-00001100028192515475200000
72-1-3000002713915191814841000000
1-4-1000001620151217171262100000
61-3-20003000151017211913721000
2-0-40000000126131921181252000
0-6-0001170013815201811520000
51-2-300000000251118232013620
0-5-10010000139172322157200
41-1-4000000139172525154
0-4-200000001513222621102
31-0-500000310253725
0-3-300001413283519
20-2-400002113651
10-1-5000021978
00-0-6000496
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333