How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Emelec vs Independiente Medellin-10.1-2.5+13.2
-0.4-0.0+0.4
River Plate vs Melgar+0.1-0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Independiente Medellin finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
155-0-0In9913,925,081
134-1-0In901016,319,455
124-0-199.4%5842132,888,514
113-2-099.65644027,519,922
103-1-186.9186913109,485,922
93-0-249.8149500108,050,719
2-3-078.611682122,668,207
82-2-139.6039600133,321,204
72-1-29.397911259,002,484
1-4-022.80237439,109,030
62-0-30.516138166,069,425
1-3-13.33732370,267,513
51-2-20.104852201,287,522
0-5-00.5161381,426,222
41-1-3Out2278253,331,440
0-4-1Out297113,508,258
31-0-4Out496118,041,013
0-3-2Out99150,636,097
20-2-3Out19993,664,616
0-1Out100116,004,300*
Total:18.2%41438441,806,526,944

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/11100.0*Lottery seed
Emelec vs Independiente Medellin+3.1+0.7-3.9
Guarani vs Zamora-0.0+0.0+0.1
Gremio vs Deportes Iquique-0.0+0.0+0.1
Universidad Catolica vs San Lorenzo-0.0-0.0+0.1
Atletico Nacional vs Botafogo+0.1-0.0-0.1
Estudiantes vs Barcelona+0.1-0.0-0.1
Jorge Wilstermann vs Atletico Tucuman-0.0-0.0+0.1
Palmeiras vs Penarol-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
155-0-0483712200010
134-1-061927221141091000
124-0-10271417125126123000010
113-2-000141118156141793000000
103-1-1000013784131917104101110000
93-0-20000101371214932518610000
2-3-00002901412191911312720000
82-2-100000013815149181811410000
72-1-200002814111820181162000000
1-4-00000004181513201912510000
62-0-3001000151118232013620000
1-3-1000300027142223178310000
51-2-20000001410192422146100
0-5-0010000261524251782000
41-1-3000001381725251661
0-4-1000014112127221130
31-0-40000282132279
0-3-200003112432237
20-2-300017244127
10-1-4000173359
00-0-5001090
Total:00011111112222233334445556667777