"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Deportes Iquique 4 Zamora 3 -6.2
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Gremio vs Guarani+18.9-1.7-17.8
+0.5-0.1-0.5
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/2100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Deportes Iquique vs Gremio-25.0+6.2In
-0.5+0.1+0.4
Zamora vs Guarani+3.4+0.5-3.7
+0.1+0.0-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Gremio finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
163-0-0In100265,012
142-1-0In982498,830
132-0-1In7921792,803
121-2-0In8020316,403
111-1-198.8%405911,000,237
101-0-277.757222793,043
0-3-086.714731366,802
90-2-159.625840315,599
80-1-215.11585501,074
70-0-3Out100264,133
Total:78.9%4336214,813,936
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/25100.0*Lottery seed
Deportes Iquique 4 Zamora 3 +0.4
Atletico Tucuman 2 Jorge Wilstermann 1 -0.1
San Lorenzo 2 Universidad Catolica 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Gremio vs Guarani-4.6+0.5+4.3
Sport Boys vs Godoy Cruz-0.1-0.0+0.1
Penarol vs Palmeiras-0.0-0.0+0.1
Zulia vs Lanus-0.0-0.0+0.1
Atletico-PR vs Flamengo-0.0-0.1+0.0
Nacional vs Chapecoense+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-MG vs Libertad+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/2100.0*Lottery seed
Deportes Iquique vs Gremio+4.2-0.1-4.2
Zamora vs Guarani-0.7-0.1+0.8
Sport Boys vs Atletico-MG-0.0-0.0+0.1
Flamengo vs Universidad Catolica+0.0-0.1-0.0
The Strongest vs Sporting Cristal+0.1-0.0-0.0
Atletico Nacional vs Estudiantes-0.0-0.0+0.1
Godoy Cruz vs Libertad+0.0-0.1-0.0
Santos vs Santa Fe+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
163-0-08514100
142-1-0423814300020
132-0-1922251661002010
121-2-01717241992017400
111-1-100151012933121610010
101-0-200012241420191141020200
0-3-000256619231672001310
90-2-10010139161710221154100
80-1-200015851725211141000
70-0-300151220232012510000
Total:119754321127543211633321111000000