Estudiantes de Merida Futbol Club Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Nacional 0-1, playoff odds down 18.5 to 15.3%

0 points 0-0-2

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Estudiantes de Merida vs Alianza Lima	+12.8-3.9-10.3		+0.4-0.1-0.4
Racing vs Nacional	+0.3-0.8+0.3

Chances based on how well the Estudiantes de Merida finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	Count

12		4	-	0	-	0	100.0	%	67	33	0		94,205
10		3	-	1	-	0	91.1		20	71	9		236,982
9		3	-	0	-	1	56.2		2	54	44	0	375,408
8		2	-	2	-	0	37.5		0	37	62	0	223,696
7		2	-	1	-	1	10.7			11	79	10	710,723
6		2	-	0	-	2	0.7			1	56	44	563,613
		1	-	3	-	0	1.4			1	81	17	93,436
5		1	-	2	-	1	Out				48	52	447,301
4		1	-	1	-	2	Out				19	81	707,999
		0	-	4	-	0	Out				36	64	14,861
3		1	-	0	-	3	Out				4	96	375,439
		0	-	3	-	1	Out				12	88	94,454
2		0	-	2	-	2	Out				1	99	223,363
0	-1						Out					100	330,856	*

Total:							15.3	%	3	13	37	48	4,492,336

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15	100.0*	Lottery seed
Estudiantes de Merida vs Alianza Lima	-3.9+0.9+3.4
Universidad Catolica vs Gremio	+0.1-0.0-0.1
Bolivar vs Palmeiras	+0.1-0.0-0.1
Guarani vs Tigre	-0.0-0.0+0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

12	4	-	0	-	0	1	4	12	19	18	10	3	0	27	6	1	0	0				0
10	3	-	1	-	0		0	0	0	1	4	8	6	12	24	21	11	3	1	0	0	9	0	0
9	3	-	0	-	1					0	0	0	2	0	1	5	11	15	13	7	2	29	12	3	0	0	0	0
8	2	-	2	-	0							0	0		0	0	1	4	10	14	9	12	22	17	8	2	0	0	0
7	2	-	1	-	1											0	0	0	0	2	8	1	6	15	21	21	14	7	3	1	0	0	0	0	0
6	2	-	0	-	2														0	0	1	0	0	0	1	4	9	17	22	21	14	8	3	1	0	0	0
	1	-	3	-	0															0	1	0	0	0	2	7	16	23	23	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
5	1	-	2	-	1																			0	0	0	1	2	7	15	23	23	17	8	3	0	0
4	1	-	1	-	2																					0	0	0	0	1	5	13	23	26	20	9	2
	0	-	4	-	0																							0	1	3	10	20	26	23	13	4	0
3	1	-	0	-	3																									0	0	1	4	13	28	35	19
	0	-	3	-	1																								0	0	0	1	6	18	32	30	12
2	0	-	2	-	2																											0	0	2	14	39	45
1	0	-	1	-	3																												0	0	4	25	71
0	0	-	0	-	4																													0	0	7	93

Total:						0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	2	2	2	2	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	10