Estudiantes de Merida Futbol Club Playoff Chances

Lost to Nacional 0-1, playoff odds down 17.6 to 3.8%

0 points 0-0-2

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Estudiantes de Merida vs Alianza Lima	+2.6-2.0-3.2		+0.2-0.1-0.4
Racing vs Nacional	-0.7-0.6+1.0

Chances based on how well the Estudiantes de Merida finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	Count

12		4	-	0	-	0	99.4	%	43	57	1		55,660
10		3	-	1	-	0	69.7		3	67	30		241,559
9		3	-	0	-	1	27.7		0	28	72	0	552,144
8		2	-	2	-	0	17.4		0	17	83	0	370,544
7		2	-	1	-	1	4.1			4	95	1	1,623,364
6		2	-	0	-	2	0.2			0	94	6	1,742,899
		1	-	3	-	0	0.3			0	98	1	220,507
5		1	-	2	-	1	Out				89	11	1,360,059
4		1	-	1	-	2	Out				64	36	2,683,579
		0	-	4	-	0	Out				77	23	43,961
3		1	-	0	-	3	Out				19	81	1,680,960
		0	-	3	-	1	Out				39	61	343,689
2		0	-	2	-	2	Out				7	93	955,593
0	-1						Out					100	1,602,490	*

Total:							3.8	%	0	4	57	39	13,477,008

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15	100.0*	Lottery seed
Estudiantes de Merida vs Alianza Lima	-2.3+1.4+3.2
Universidad Catolica vs Gremio	+0.2+0.0-0.1
Guarani vs Tigre	-0.0-0.0+0.2
Internacional vs America de Cali	-0.0+0.0+0.1
Binacional vs LDU	+0.1+0.0-0.1
Bolivar vs Palmeiras	+0.1+0.0-0.1
Barcelona SC vs Junior	+0.0-0.1+0.0
Independiente Medellin vs Caracas	+0.1-0.1-0.0
Defensa y Justicia vs Delfin	+0.0-0.1+0.0
Colo-Colo vs Penarol	+0.1-0.0-0.0

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

12	4	-	0	-	0	0	0	1	4	10	14	10	3	22	23	9	2	0	0			1	0
10	3	-	1	-	0				0	0	0	1	2	1	7	16	20	15	6	2	0	28	2	0	0
9	3	-	0	-	1							0	0	0	0	1	3	6	9	7	3	43	23	6	1	0	0	0
8	2	-	2	-	0								0			0	0	1	3	7	7	17	30	23	9	2	0	0	0
7	2	-	1	-	1												0	0	0	1	3	3	11	22	26	19	10	4	1	0	0	0
6	2	-	0	-	2														0	0	0	0	0	2	7	16	24	24	17	8	2	0	0	0	0	0
	1	-	3	-	0															0	0	0	0	3	10	21	27	23	12	4	1	0	0	0
5	1	-	2	-	1																		0	0	0	2	7	17	26	25	15	5	1	0	0	0
4	1	-	1	-	2																			0	0	0	0	2	8	17	25	24	15	6	2	0	0
	0	-	4	-	0																					0	1	4	13	25	28	20	8	2	0	0
3	1	-	0	-	3																						0	0	0	1	4	12	24	29	21	8	1
	0	-	3	-	1																						0	0	0	1	7	19	29	26	14	4	1
2	0	-	2	-	2																									0	0	1	8	22	34	26	9
1	0	-	1	-	3																											0	1	7	22	39	31
0	0	-	0	-	4																												0	0	3	22	75

Total:						0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	3	3	4	4	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	8	8	8	7	6