How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Estudiantes de Merida vs Alianza Lima+2.6-2.0-3.2
+0.2-0.1-0.4
Racing vs Nacional-0.7-0.6+1.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Estudiantes de Merida finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
124-0-099.4%4357155,660
103-1-069.736730241,559
93-0-127.7028720552,144
82-2-017.4017830370,544
72-1-14.149511,623,364
62-0-20.209461,742,899
1-3-00.30981220,507
51-2-1Out89111,360,059
41-1-2Out64362,683,579
0-4-0Out772343,961
31-0-3Out19811,680,960
0-3-1Out3961343,689
20-2-2Out793955,593
0-1Out1001,602,490*
Total:3.8%04573913,477,008

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Lottery seed
Estudiantes de Merida vs Alianza Lima-2.3+1.4+3.2
Universidad Catolica vs Gremio+0.2+0.0-0.1
Guarani vs Tigre-0.0-0.0+0.2
Internacional vs America de Cali-0.0+0.0+0.1
Binacional vs LDU+0.1+0.0-0.1
Bolivar vs Palmeiras+0.1+0.0-0.1
Barcelona SC vs Junior+0.0-0.1+0.0
Independiente Medellin vs Caracas+0.1-0.1-0.0
Defensa y Justicia vs Delfin+0.0-0.1+0.0
Colo-Colo vs Penarol+0.1-0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
124-0-0001410141032223920010
103-1-0000121716201562028200
93-0-10000136973432361000
82-2-0000137717302392000
72-1-1000133112226191041000
62-0-20000027162424178200000
1-3-000003102127231241000
51-2-1000271726251551000
41-1-2000028172524156200
0-4-0014132528208200
31-0-3000141224292181
0-3-1000171929261441
20-2-200182234269
10-1-3017223931
00-0-40032275
Total:00000000000011113344566778888876