Club Sport Emelec Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.002 to 50%

0 points 0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/4	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Petrolero vs Emelec	-17.4-2.0+18.6		-0.4-0.0+0.5
Deportivo Tachira vs Palmeiras	-0.6+2.0-0.6

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Emelec vs Deportivo Tachira	+18.6-2.0-17.4		+0.5-0.0-0.4
Palmeiras vs Petrolero	-0.6+2.0-0.6

Chances based on how well the Emelec finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	Count

16	-18						In		100				2,299,118	*
15		5	-	0	-	1	In		99	1			2,867,614
14		4	-	2	-	0	In		100	0			2,848,549
13		4	-	1	-	1	In		93	7			9,032,339
12		4	-	0	-	2	99.8	%	72	28	0		7,165,669
		3	-	3	-	0	In		93	7			2,390,563
11		3	-	2	-	1	99.9		69	31	0		11,383,209
10		3	-	1	-	2	94.0		30	64	6		18,061,131
		2	-	4	-	0	99.5		62	37	0		1,130,102
9		3	-	0	-	3	61.6		3	59	38	1	9,552,516
		2	-	3	-	1	89.0		20	69	11		7,172,128
8		2	-	2	-	2	46.7		1	46	52	1	17,068,858
		1	-	5	-	0	82.6		12	71	17		284,405
7		2	-	1	-	3	9.1			9	68	22	18,062,202
		1	-	4	-	1	27.6		0	28	67	6	2,260,743
6		1	-	3	-	2	3.3			3	58	39	7,170,120
		2	-	0	-	4	0.4			0	39	60	7,167,864
		0	-	6	-	0	17.7		0	18	73	9	29,798
5		1	-	2	-	3	0.1			0	27	73	11,378,991
		0	-	5	-	1	0.7			1	45	55	284,764
4		1	-	1	-	4	Out				8	92	9,033,860
		0	-	4	-	2	0.0			0	14	86	1,128,840
3		1	-	0	-	5	Out				1	99	2,868,617
		0	-	3	-	3	Out				3	97	2,389,993
2		0	-	2	-	4	Out				0	100	2,846,982
0	-1						Out					100	2,297,905	*

Total:							50.0	%	25	25	25	25	158,176,880

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/4	100.0*	Lottery seed
Petrolero vs Emelec	+3.9+0.7-4.3
Deportivo Tachira vs Palmeiras	+0.1-0.2+0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
Emelec vs Deportivo Tachira	-4.3+0.7+3.9
Palmeiras vs Petrolero	+0.1-0.2+0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

18	6	-	0	-	0	96	4	0	0
16	5	-	1	-	0	78	19	2	0	0	0
15	5	-	0	-	1	48	36	12	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
14	4	-	2	-	0	26	38	25	9	2	0	0	0	0	0
13	4	-	1	-	1	8	21	28	21	11	3	1	0	7	0	0	0
12	4	-	0	-	2	0	3	9	17	20	14	6	1	20	7	1	0	0	0			0	0
	3	-	3	-	0	1	5	15	25	25	15	5	1	6	1	0	0	0
11	3	-	2	-	1	0	0	2	6	14	21	18	7	13	12	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	3	-	1	-	2	0	0	0	0	1	4	11	14	6	14	18	14	8	3	1	0	5	1	0	0	0	0
	2	-	4	-	0		0	0	1	3	12	24	23	6	12	11	6	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
9	3	-	0	-	3				0	0	0	0	2	0	1	4	10	15	16	10	3	19	13	5	1	0	0	0	0
	2	-	3	-	1				0	0	0	3	17	0	2	7	14	19	17	9	2	7	3	1	0	0	0	0
8	2	-	2	-	2						0	0	1	0	0	0	1	4	10	17	15	7	15	15	10	4	1	0	0	0	0
	1	-	5	-	0						0	0	12	0	0	0	2	8	19	26	15	4	6	5	2	0	0	0
7	2	-	1	-	3											0	0	0	0	2	7	1	3	8	15	19	18	14	8	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
	1	-	4	-	1								0			0	0	0	1	6	20	1	5	12	17	17	12	6	2	1	0	0	0
6	1	-	3	-	2													0	0	0	3	0	0	0	1	5	10	17	21	19	13	6	2	1	0	0	0
	2	-	0	-	4														0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	6	12	19	22	18	12	5	2	0	0	0
	0	-	6	-	0								0						0	1	17		0	1	3	8	15	20	18	11	4	1	0	0	0
5	1	-	2	-	3															0	0		0	0	0	0	0	2	5	11	19	23	20	13	5	1	0
	0	-	5	-	1															0	1			0	0	0	1	3	9	17	23	22	15	7	2	0	0
4	1	-	1	-	4																					0	0	0	0	1	3	9	18	26	25	15	4
	0	-	4	-	2																0					0	0	0	0	2	5	13	23	26	20	9	2
3	1	-	0	-	5																								0	0	0	0	3	10	25	37	24
	0	-	3	-	3																							0	0	0	0	1	4	14	28	34	18
2	0	-	2	-	4																									0	0	0	0	2	12	36	49
1	0	-	1	-	5																											0	0	0	2	20	78
0	0	-	0	-	6																													0	0	4	96

Total:						3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3