How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
E. de Merida vs Racing+18.7-2.0-17.4
+0.5-0.0-0.4
Alianza Lima vs Nacional-0.6+2.0-0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nacional vs E. de Merida-17.4-2.0+18.7
-0.4-0.0+0.5
Racing vs Alianza Lima-0.6+2.0-0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the E. de Merida finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
16-18In10062,482,876*
155-0-1In99177,977,620
144-2-0In100077,381,753
134-1-1In937245,574,994
124-0-299.8%72280194,908,491
3-3-0In93764,998,116
113-2-199.969310309,400,532
103-1-294.130646491,075,397
2-4-099.56238030,701,300
93-0-361.7359381259,850,611
2-3-188.9206911194,928,495
82-2-246.7146521464,065,154
1-5-082.01171187,738,749
72-1-39.296822491,132,623
1-4-127.402767661,408,875
61-3-23.335839194,948,504
2-0-40.403960194,877,046
0-6-017.30177310813,273
51-2-30.102773309,416,336
0-5-10.7144557,733,841
41-1-4Out892245,580,557
0-4-20.00148630,713,260
31-0-5Out19977,983,599
0-3-3Out39764,996,418
20-2-4Out010077,376,946
0-1Out10062,468,682*
Total:50.0%252525254,300,534,048

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/3100.0*Lottery seed
E. de Merida vs Racing-4.3+0.7+3.9
Alianza Lima vs Nacional+0.1-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/10100.0*Lottery seed
Nacional vs E. de Merida+3.9+0.7-4.3
Racing vs Alianza Lima+0.1-0.2+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
186-0-0964000
165-1-0781920000
155-0-15035112000010
144-2-02839238200000
134-1-182228211031070000
124-0-21411181913512071000000
3-3-0161726241451610000
113-2-100271521176131251000000
103-1-2000015111361518148310510000
2-4-00001412242161211621000000
93-0-30000020151015159320134100000
2-3-1000003160271419168273100000
82-2-20001000141017148161594100000
1-5-00001100028192515475200000
72-1-3000002713915191814841000000
1-4-10000001620151217171262100000
61-3-20003000151017211913721000
2-0-40000000126131921181252000
0-6-0001170013815201811520000
51-2-300000000251118232013620
0-5-1010000139172322157200
41-1-400000139172525154
0-4-20000001513222621102
31-0-500000310253725
0-3-300001413283519
20-2-400002113651
10-1-5000021978
00-0-6000496
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333