"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
E. de Merida 3 Alianza Lima 2 +2.6
+0.2
Racing 0 Nacional 1 +1.9
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
E. de Merida vs Nacional+18.5+2.5-4.3
+0.3+0.1-0.1
Alianza Lima vs Racing+12.4+3.4-6.0

What If

Chances based on how well the E. de Merida finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
123-0-099.6%19810102,189
102-1-084.018316373,425
92-0-149.4049510879,377
81-2-032.83367393,799
71-1-110.3108901,753,814
61-0-20.619551,902,478
0-3-0Out991119,045
50-2-1Out8911738,605
40-1-2Out64361,468,172
30-0-3Out1387922,104
Total:13.5%01369178,653,008
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/15100.0*Lottery seed
E. de Merida 3 Alianza Lima 2 -2.3
U. Catolica 2 Gremio 0 +0.2
Bolivar 1 Palmeiras 2 -0.1
Racing 0 Nacional 1 -0.1
I. Medellin 2 Caracas 3 +0.1
Binacional 0 LDU 1 -0.1
Colo-Colo 2 Penarol 1 +0.1
Internacional 4 America de Cali 3 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Barcelona SC vs Junior+0.0-0.1+0.1
Guarani vs Tigre-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/23100.0*Lottery seed
E. de Merida vs Nacional-5.0-1.1+1.3
Alianza Lima vs Racing-0.4-0.1+0.2
Junior vs I. del Valle+0.3+0.1-0.0
Delfin vs Santos+0.2+0.0-0.0
Binacional vs River Plate+0.2+0.0-0.0
I. Medellin vs Boca Juniors+0.2+0.0-0.0
Barcelona SC vs Flamengo+0.1-0.0-0.1
Defensa y Justicia vs Olimpia+0.1-0.0-0.1
Internacional vs Gremio-0.0+0.0+0.1
Tigre vs Bolivar-0.0-0.1+0.1
Caracas vs Libertad+0.1-0.0-0.1
Guarani vs Palmeiras+0.1+0.0-0.0
LDU vs Sao Paulo-0.1+0.0+0.1
America de Cali vs U. Catolica+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
123-0-00014752472661000
102-1-00000141423221451015100
92-0-10000261215114281751000
81-2-000026131212242092000
71-1-100028181824211251000
61-0-20010014122226201031000
0-3-00027182826144100
50-2-1000141426281871000
40-1-200016152525177200
30-0-300029213024102
Total:0000000111222234456788877654310