How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/4100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Deportivo Tachira vs Palmeiras+18.7-2.0-17.4
+0.5-0.0-0.4
Petrolero vs Emelec-0.6+2.0-0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Emelec vs Deportivo Tachira-17.4-2.0+18.6
-0.4-0.0+0.5
Palmeiras vs Petrolero-0.6+2.0-0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the Deportivo Tachira finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
16-18In1002,297,366*
155-0-1In9912,866,619
144-2-0In10002,845,213
134-1-1In9379,034,524
124-0-299.8%722807,165,540
3-3-0In9372,390,811
113-2-199.96831011,376,667
103-1-294.03064618,063,024
2-4-099.5623701,130,503
93-0-361.63593819,557,251
2-3-189.02069117,169,841
82-2-246.714652117,070,694
1-5-082.6127117284,466
72-1-39.19682218,068,613
1-4-127.60276762,257,225
62-0-40.4039607,170,754
1-3-23.3358397,168,128
0-6-017.9018731029,673
51-2-30.10277311,376,006
0-5-10.714555285,264
41-1-4Out8929,034,195
0-4-20.0014861,129,471
31-0-5Out1992,867,868
0-3-3Out3972,392,394
20-2-4Out01002,845,871
0-1Out1002,298,899*
Total:50.0%25252525158,176,880

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/4100.0*Lottery seed
Deportivo Tachira vs Palmeiras-4.3+0.7+3.9
Petrolero vs Emelec+0.1-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/12100.0*Lottery seed
Emelec vs Deportivo Tachira+3.9+0.7-4.3
Palmeiras vs Petrolero+0.1-0.2+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
186-0-096400
165-1-078192000
155-0-14836122000010
144-2-02638259200000
134-1-18212821113107000
124-0-2039172014612071000000
3-3-015152525155161000
113-2-100261421187131251000000
103-1-200001411146141814831051000
2-4-0000131224236121162100000
93-0-30000201410151610319135100000
2-3-1000317027141917927310000
82-2-20010001410171571515104100000
1-5-00012000281926154652000
72-1-300002713815191814841000000
1-4-100001620151217171262100000
62-0-4000000126121922181252000
1-3-20003000141017211913621000
0-6-000117001381520181151000
51-2-30000000251119232013510
0-5-1010000139172322157200
41-1-40000139182625154
0-4-200000261323262092
31-0-50000311253724
0-3-30001414283418
20-2-400002123649
10-1-5000032078
00-0-6000496
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333