How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Deportivo Lara vs Emelec+18.7-2.0-17.4
+0.5-0.0-0.4
Huracan vs Cruzeiro-0.6+2.0-0.7
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Emelec vs Huracan-0.6+2.0-0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the Deportivo Lara finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
16-18In100167,676*
155-0-1In991210,202
144-2-0In1000207,608
134-1-1In937661,333
124-0-299.8%72280525,502
3-3-0In937174,858
113-2-199.969310832,039
103-1-294.1306461,321,922
2-4-099.56238083,266
93-0-361.5359381697,508
2-3-188.9206911523,967
82-2-246.61465211,248,020
1-5-081.612701820,912
72-1-39.1968221,320,798
1-4-127.3027676165,205
61-3-23.335839524,985
2-0-40.403960523,506
0-6-016.30167492,232
51-2-30.102773833,257
0-5-10.61455520,674
41-1-4Out892659,980
0-4-20.00148682,378
31-0-5Out199209,988
0-3-3Out397175,002
20-2-4Out0100207,020
0-1Out100167,698*
Total:50.0%2525252511,567,536

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/5100.0*Lottery seed
Deportivo Lara vs Emelec-4.3+0.7+3.9
Huracan vs Cruzeiro+0.1-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/12100.0*Lottery seed
Emelec vs Huracan+0.1-0.2+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
186-0-09640
165-1-07819200
155-0-1503511200010
144-2-0283923820000
134-1-18222821103107000
124-0-2141118191351207100000
3-3-01617262414516100
113-2-10027152117613125100000
103-1-2000151113615181483105100
2-4-000141224216121162000000
93-0-30000201510151593201341000
2-3-100031602714191682731000
82-2-20010001410171481615941000
1-5-0001100028192515475200
72-1-300027139151918148410000
1-4-100016201512171712621000
61-3-2003000151017211913721000
2-0-4000000126131921181252000
0-6-00116012815201911520
51-2-30000000251118232013620
0-5-1100139172222157200
41-1-40000139172525154
0-4-200001513222620102
31-0-5000310253725
0-3-3001413283519
20-2-40002113650
10-1-50021978
00-0-600496
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333