Deportivo La Guaira Playoff Chances 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 50%

0 points 0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/20	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Deportivo La Guaira vs Atletico-MG	+18.6-2.0-17.4		+0.5-0.0-0.4
America de Cali vs Cerro Porteno	-0.6+2.0-0.6

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/28	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cerro Porteno vs Deportivo La Guaira	-17.4-2.0+18.6		-0.4-0.0+0.5
Atletico-MG vs America de Cali	-0.6+2.0-0.6

Chances based on how well the Deportivo La Guaira finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	Count

16	-18						In		100				729,781	*
15		5	-	0	-	1	In		99	1			909,921
14		4	-	2	-	0	In		100	0			903,001
13		4	-	1	-	1	In		93	7			2,862,959
12		4	-	0	-	2	99.8	%	72	28	0		2,272,950
		3	-	3	-	0	In		93	7			756,621
11		3	-	2	-	1	99.9		69	31	0		3,608,010
10		3	-	1	-	2	94.0		30	64	6		5,726,683
		2	-	4	-	0	99.5		62	38	0		358,154
9		3	-	0	-	3	61.7		3	59	38	1	3,030,938
		2	-	3	-	1	88.9		20	69	11		2,271,239
8		2	-	2	-	2	46.7		1	46	52	1	5,412,954
		1	-	5	-	0	82.2		11	71	18		90,518
7		2	-	1	-	3	9.2			9	68	22	5,728,780
		1	-	4	-	1	27.4		0	27	67	6	714,958
6		1	-	3	-	2	3.3			3	58	39	2,273,981
		2	-	0	-	4	0.4			0	39	60	2,272,035
		0	-	6	-	0	16.8		0	17	73	10	9,548
5		1	-	2	-	3	0.1			0	27	73	3,605,515
		0	-	5	-	1	0.7			1	44	55	89,622
4		1	-	1	-	4	Out				8	92	2,864,140
		0	-	4	-	2	0.0			0	14	86	358,657
3		1	-	0	-	5	Out				1	99	909,606
		0	-	3	-	3	Out				3	97	758,322
2		0	-	2	-	4	Out				0	100	901,991
0	-1						Out					100	728,588	*

Total:							50.0	%	25	25	25	25	50,149,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/20	100.0*	Lottery seed
Deportivo La Guaira vs Atletico-MG	-4.3+0.7+3.9
America de Cali vs Cerro Porteno	+0.1-0.2+0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/28	100.0*	Lottery seed
Cerro Porteno vs Deportivo La Guaira	+3.9+0.7-4.3
Atletico-MG vs America de Cali	+0.1-0.2+0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

18	6	-	0	-	0	96	4	0	0
16	5	-	1	-	0	78	19	2	0	0	0
15	5	-	0	-	1	50	35	11	2	0	0	0		1	0
14	4	-	2	-	0	28	39	23	8	2	0	0	0	0	0
13	4	-	1	-	1	8	22	28	21	10	3	1	0	7	0	0	0
12	4	-	0	-	2	1	4	11	18	19	13	5	1	20	7	1	0	0	0	0		0	0
	3	-	3	-	0	1	6	17	26	24	14	5	1	6	1	0	0	0
11	3	-	2	-	1	0	0	2	7	15	21	17	6	13	12	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	3	-	1	-	2	0	0	0	0	1	5	11	13	6	15	18	14	8	3	1	0	5	1	0	0	0
	2	-	4	-	0		0	0	1	4	12	24	21	6	12	11	6	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
9	3	-	0	-	3				0	0	0	0	2	0	1	5	10	15	15	9	3	20	13	4	1	0	0	0	0
	2	-	3	-	1				0	0	0	3	16	0	2	7	14	19	16	8	2	7	3	1	0	0	0
8	2	-	2	-	2						0	0	1	0	0	0	1	4	10	17	14	8	16	15	9	4	1	0	0	0	0
	1	-	5	-	0						0	0	11	0	0	0	2	9	19	25	15	4	7	5	2	0	0	0	0
7	2	-	1	-	3											0	0	0	0	2	7	1	3	9	15	19	18	14	8	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
	1	-	4	-	1								0			0	0	0	1	6	20	1	5	12	17	17	12	6	2	1	0	0	0	0
6	1	-	3	-	2														0	0	3	0	0	0	1	4	10	17	21	19	13	7	2	1	0	0	0
	2	-	0	-	4														0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	6	13	19	21	18	12	5	2	0	0	0
	0	-	6	-	0								0							0	16		0	1	3	8	15	20	18	11	5	2	0	0	0
5	1	-	2	-	3															0	0		0	0	0	0	0	2	5	11	18	23	20	13	6	2	0
	0	-	5	-	1																1			0	0	0	1	3	9	17	22	22	15	7	2	0	0
4	1	-	1	-	4																					0	0	0	0	1	3	9	17	25	25	15	4
	0	-	4	-	2																0						0	0	0	1	5	13	22	26	21	10	2
3	1	-	0	-	5																							0	0	0	0	0	3	10	25	37	25
	0	-	3	-	3																								0	0	0	1	4	13	28	35	19
2	0	-	2	-	4																										0	0	0	2	11	36	50
1	0	-	1	-	5																											0	0	0	2	19	78
0	0	-	0	-	6																														0	4	96

Total:						3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3