How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
I. del Valle vs Defensa y Justicia-17.4-2.0+18.7
-0.4-0.0+0.5
Universitario vs Palmeiras-0.6+2.0-0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Defensa y Justicia vs Universitario+18.7-2.0-17.4
+0.5-0.0-0.4
Palmeiras vs I. del Valle-0.6+2.0-0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the Defensa y Justicia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
16-18In10038,890,838*
155-0-1In99148,538,373
144-2-0In100048,146,142
134-1-1In937152,863,344
124-0-299.8%72280121,294,575
3-3-0In93740,453,137
113-2-199.968310192,577,419
103-1-294.130646305,648,520
2-4-099.56237019,115,162
93-0-361.6359381161,703,837
2-3-189.0206911121,311,967
82-2-246.6146521288,858,743
1-5-082.61271174,815,679
72-1-39.196822305,659,270
1-4-127.602867638,216,312
61-3-23.335839121,314,193
2-0-40.403960121,298,287
0-6-017.9018739506,256
51-2-30.102773192,573,167
0-5-10.7144554,819,503
41-1-4Out892152,852,505
0-4-20.00148619,121,302
31-0-5Out19948,536,770
0-3-3Out39740,463,046
20-2-4Out010048,166,680
0-1Out10038,900,685*
Total:50.0%252525252,676,645,712

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/20100.0*Lottery seed
I. del Valle vs Defensa y Justicia+3.9+0.7-4.3
Universitario vs Palmeiras+0.1-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/28100.0*Lottery seed
Defensa y Justicia vs Universitario-4.3+0.7+3.9
Palmeiras vs I. del Valle+0.1-0.2+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
186-0-0964000
165-1-0781920000
155-0-148361220000100
144-2-026382492000000
134-1-182127211131070000
124-0-20310172014612071000000
3-3-0161625251551610000
113-2-1002614211871312510000000
103-1-2000014111461418148310510000
2-4-00001412242261211621000000
93-0-3000020149151611319135100000
2-3-10000317026141917927310000
82-2-20001000139171571515104100000
1-5-000120002819261646521000
72-1-3000002713814181814841000000
1-4-1000001621151217171262100000
61-3-20003000141017212013731000
2-0-4000000126121821191262000
0-6-000117001381520181252000
51-2-300000000141018232114620
0-5-1010000138162222158200
41-1-400000138172525165
0-4-20000000151322262092
31-0-500000310253725
0-3-3000001413283519
20-2-400002113651
10-1-5000022078
00-0-6000496
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333