How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
I. del Valle vs Defensa y Justicia-15.5+0.3+20.8
-0.4+0.0+0.5
Universitario vs Palmeiras-0.7+2.1-0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Defensa y Justicia vs Universitario+16.8-4.4-19.5
+0.4-0.1-0.5
Palmeiras vs I. del Valle-0.7+2.1-0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the Defensa y Justicia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
16-18In100114,658,465*
155-0-1In991146,983,522
144-2-0In1000145,223,528
134-1-1In937469,334,107
124-0-299.8%72270377,589,695
3-3-0In937123,680,520
113-2-199.969310596,837,007
103-1-294.231636955,952,968
2-4-099.56237158,969,890
93-0-361.8359381508,150,258
2-3-189.0206911377,731,155
82-2-246.6146521903,316,427
1-5-081.511701914,928,305
72-1-39.096823956,031,685
1-4-127.0027676118,967,538
61-3-23.235740377,756,460
2-0-40.403861377,639,643
0-6-016.901773111,566,941
51-2-30.102773596,800,325
0-5-10.61435614,929,704
41-1-4Out892469,328,388
0-4-20.00148658,967,993
31-0-5Out199146,964,085
0-3-3Out397123,692,082
20-2-4Out0100145,247,220
0-1Out100114,652,425*
Total:50.0%252525258,295,900,336

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/20100.0*Lottery seed
I. del Valle vs Defensa y Justicia+3.3+0.2-4.6
Universitario vs Palmeiras+0.1-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/28100.0*Lottery seed
Defensa y Justicia vs Universitario-3.7+1.2+4.2
Palmeiras vs I. del Valle+0.1-0.2+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
186-0-0927000
165-1-0662861000
155-0-134391961000100
144-2-0153330165100000
134-1-1314242517720610000
124-0-2016142019102178200000000
3-3-0029202723112520000
113-2-1001310202312912720000000
103-1-20000131017411171610410510000
2-4-000002822303911841000000
93-0-3000030139151611419135100000
2-3-1000021801512191911363100000
82-2-2001000131017158161594100000
1-5-0001100027182717475210000
72-1-3000002714111720171262100000
1-4-10000001620161318171152000000
61-3-20003001271420211710410000
2-0-40000000141016212015831000
0-6-00001160014111820169310000
51-2-30000000138162222168310
0-5-101000002613212319114100
41-1-4000000261423251982
0-4-200000013101925231451
31-0-500002617303114
0-3-3000002820312711
20-2-4000015193936
10-1-50000162866
00-0-60000892
Total:22333444233333433333333333333332