How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Huracan vs Cruzeiro-17.4-2.0+18.7
-0.4-0.0+0.5
Deportivo Lara vs Emelec-0.7+2.0-0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Emelec vs Huracan-0.6+2.1-0.7

What If

Chances based on how well the Cruzeiro finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
16-18In100167,918*
155-0-1In991209,439
144-2-0In1000208,600
134-1-1In937659,653
124-0-299.8%72280524,639
3-3-0In937174,465
113-2-199.969310832,239
103-1-294.1306461,322,078
2-4-099.56238082,656
93-0-361.7359381698,668
2-3-188.9206911525,210
82-2-246.61465211,248,048
1-5-081.911711821,088
72-1-39.2968221,319,589
1-4-127.5027676165,323
61-3-23.335839525,042
2-0-40.403960524,082
0-6-018.1187292,195
51-2-30.102773832,205
0-5-10.71445520,780
41-1-4Out892660,967
0-4-20.00148682,420
31-0-5Out199209,663
0-3-3Out397174,395
20-2-4Out0100208,156
0-1Out100168,018*
Total:50.0%2525252511,567,536

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/5100.0*Lottery seed
Huracan vs Cruzeiro+3.9+0.7-4.3
Deportivo Lara vs Emelec+0.1-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/12100.0*Lottery seed
Emelec vs Huracan+0.1-0.2+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
186-0-096400
165-1-07819200
155-0-1503511200010
144-2-02839238200000
134-1-18222821103107000
124-0-2141118191351207100000
3-3-016172624145161000
113-2-10027152117613125100000
103-1-200001511136151814831051000
2-4-000014122421612116210000
93-0-300002015101515932013410000
2-3-100031602715191682731000
82-2-2010001410171481615941000
1-5-001000292026154752000
72-1-30000271391519181384100000
1-4-1000016211512171712621000
61-3-2003000151017211913721000
2-0-400000126131921181252000
0-6-0117038151918125200
51-2-3000000251118232013610
0-5-1100139172321157200
41-1-4000139172525154
0-4-200001513222621102
31-0-50001310253725
0-3-3001413283520
20-2-40002113551
10-1-50021978
00-0-60496
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333