How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Zulia vs Chapecoense-17.4-2.0+18.7
-0.4-0.0+0.5
Lanus vs Nacional-0.6+2.1-0.7
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense vs Lanus+18.7-2.0-17.4
+0.5-0.0-0.4
Nacional vs Zulia-0.7+2.0-0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the Chapecoense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
16-18In100158,644*
155-0-1In991197,215
144-2-0In1000196,636
134-1-1In937624,802
124-0-299.8%72280494,519
3-3-0In937165,988
113-2-199.969310787,130
103-1-294.1306461,245,974
2-4-099.56238177,966
93-0-361.7359381661,045
2-3-188.9206911494,341
82-2-246.71465211,178,907
1-5-081.711701819,791
72-1-39.1968221,247,507
1-4-127.4027676156,012
62-0-40.403960495,940
1-3-23.335839494,063
0-6-016.71773102,054
51-2-30.102773784,273
0-5-10.61445519,892
41-1-4Out892624,560
0-4-20.00148677,405
31-0-5Out199198,463
0-3-3Out397165,572
20-2-4Out0100196,443
0-1Out100159,194*
Total:50.0%2525252510,924,336

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/7100.0*Lottery seed
Zulia vs Chapecoense+3.9+0.7-4.3
Lanus vs Nacional+0.1-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Lottery seed
Chapecoense vs Lanus-4.3+0.7+3.9
Nacional vs Zulia+0.1-0.2+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
186-0-096400
165-1-07819200
155-0-150351120010
144-2-0283923820000
134-1-18222821103107000
124-0-21411181913512071000
3-3-01617252414516100
113-2-100271521176131251000000
103-1-20000151113615181483105100
2-4-000141224226121162100000
93-0-30000201510151593201341000
2-3-10003160271419168273100
82-2-20100014101714816159410000
1-5-0011000281925154752000
72-1-3000027139151918148410000
1-4-1000016201512171712621000
62-0-400000126121921181252000
1-3-2003000151017211913721000
0-6-0116013713201912610
51-2-3000000251118232013620
0-5-11000139172322157200
41-1-40000138172525154
0-4-20001512222621102
31-0-50000310253725
0-3-3001413283520
20-2-40002113650
10-1-50021978
00-0-600496
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333