"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Libertad vs I. Medellin-31.7+2.1+30.3
-0.3+0.0+0.3
Boca Juniors vs Caracas-31.7+2.1+30.3
-0.3+0.0+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Caracas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
101-0-081.7%82184,408,346,174
80-1-053.553472,776,682,051
70-0-119.720804,408,278,511
Total:51.3%514911,593,306,736
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/20100.0*Lottery seed
Flamengo 3 Junior 1 -0.2
Santos 2 Defensa y Justicia 1 -0.2
Sao Paulo 5 Binacional 1 +0.2
I. del Valle 2 Barcelona SC 0 +0.2
Penarol 3 Athletico-PR 2 +0.1
Racing 2 E. de Merida 1 -0.1
River Plate 3 LDU 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Boca Juniors vs Caracas+2.5-0.1-2.4
Libertad vs I. Medellin+1.1-0.0-1.1
Gremio vs America de Cali-0.1-0.1+0.2
U. Catolica vs Internacional+0.1-0.2+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
101-0-05027418
80-1-08453413
70-0-120313811
Total:19121277815144