How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Caracas vs Libertad+29.8-4.8-26.8
+0.6-0.1-0.5
I. Medellin vs Boca Juniors+4.1+0.7-4.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Caracas vs I. Medellin+21.1-4.1-18.5
+0.5-0.0-0.5
Boca Juniors vs Libertad+2.3+0.5-2.6

What If

Chances based on how well the Caracas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
133-0-0In96438,091,601
112-1-099.5%5940071,882,275
102-0-186.2206714114,079,379
91-2-071.39632945,291,431
81-1-130.731690143,770,609
71-0-25.768114114,081,934
0-3-09.6108289,512,917
60-2-1Out722845,270,084
50-1-2Out445671,874,016
40-0-3Out168438,077,994
Total:42.2%15274315691,932,240
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/22100.0*Lottery seed
Junior 4 I. del Valle 1 +0.1
E. de Merida 1 Nacional 3 -0.1
Tigre 1 Bolivar 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Caracas vs Libertad-5.1+1.0+4.5
I. Medellin vs Boca Juniors-0.3-0.0+0.4
Guarani vs Palmeiras+0.1-0.0-0.0
Internacional vs Gremio-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/30100.0*Lottery seed
Caracas vs I. Medellin-4.5+0.8+4.0
Boca Juniors vs Libertad+0.0-0.2+0.1
Palmeiras vs Bolivar-0.1-0.0+0.1
Junior vs Barcelona SC+0.1-0.0-0.1
LDU vs Binacional-0.0-0.1+0.1
Nacional vs Racing-0.1-0.0+0.1
River Plate vs Sao Paulo-0.0-0.0+0.1
America de Cali vs Internacional+0.1-0.0-0.0
Alianza Lima vs E. de Merida-0.0-0.1+0.1
Delfin vs Defensa y Justicia+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
133-0-041831261341040000
112-1-00028192110816114100000
102-0-100002611311181811510122000
91-2-0001800391719123171020000
81-1-10001411155172316620000
71-0-20000150271420211794100000
0-3-00001814132224177200000
60-2-1000131019242213620000
50-1-200000141222262110300
40-0-30000139192826132
Total:01222233234433344566554433433210