How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bolivar 1 Palmeiras 2 -13.1
-0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Guarani vs Tigre-6.4+7.4+11.9
-0.0+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tigre vs Bolivar-17.9-5.6+13.6
-0.5-0.0+0.3
Guarani vs Palmeiras-13.7-2.5+6.9
-0.1-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Bolivar finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
123-0-099.2%27731190,793
102-1-085.128315589,226
92-0-162.50623801,297,528
81-2-045.846540484,177
71-1-121.5227811,899,202
61-0-22.2288101,712,584
0-3-07.37903119,211
50-2-10.618118648,953
40-1-2Out51491,108,745
30-0-3Out1189602,589
Total:25.2%12559168,653,008
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/15100.0*Lottery seed
Bolivar 1 Palmeiras 2 +2.5
I. Medellin 2 Caracas 3 +0.1
E. de Merida 3 Alianza Lima 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Guarani vs Tigre+0.2-0.3-0.4
Barcelona SC vs Junior+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/23100.0*Lottery seed
Tigre vs Bolivar+4.0+1.1-2.9
Guarani vs Palmeiras+0.5+0.1-0.3
E. de Merida vs Nacional+0.2+0.1-0.1
Junior vs I. del Valle+0.2+0.1-0.0
Delfin vs Santos+0.2+0.0-0.0
I. Medellin vs Boca Juniors+0.2+0.0-0.0
Internacional vs Gremio-0.1+0.0+0.1
Binacional vs River Plate+0.1-0.0-0.0
Defensa y Justicia vs Olimpia+0.1-0.0-0.1
Caracas vs Libertad+0.1-0.0-0.1
Barcelona SC vs Flamengo+0.1-0.0-0.0
LDU vs Sao Paulo-0.0+0.0+0.1
Alianza Lima vs Racing+0.1-0.0-0.0
America de Cali vs U. Catolica+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
123-0-00026982392571001
102-1-00000131222231562014100
92-0-100002613191662112410000
81-2-000028181810191672000
71-1-1000417171621181041000
61-0-20020014122225191031000
0-3-0070027182623124100
50-2-11000151526271772000
40-1-200016152426178200
30-0-3000031023312391
Total:0000000112334465456777765543210