Barcelona Sporting Club Playoff Chances

Lost to Independiente del Valle 0-3, playoff odds down 36.1 to 13.8%

0 points 0-0-1

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 3/3	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Barcelona de Guayaquil 0 Independiente del Valle 3	-19.5		-0.5
Junior 1 Flamengo 2	-1.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/10	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Flamengo vs Barcelona de Guayaquil	-8.1+0.8+20.2		-0.2+0.0+0.5
Independiente del Valle vs Junior	-0.6+1.2+0.3		+0.0+0.0-0.1

Chances based on how well the Barcelona de Guayaquil finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	Count

15		5	-	0	-	0	In		97	3			17,801
13		4	-	1	-	0	In		85	15			80,239
12		4	-	0	-	1	99.2	%	55	45	1		170,423
11		3	-	2	-	0	99.6		52	48	0		149,750
10		3	-	1	-	1	87.6		17	71	12		632,586
9		3	-	0	-	2	51.2		1	50	48	0	662,982
		2	-	3	-	0	80.0		10	70	20		138,219
8		2	-	2	-	1	39.4		0	39	60	1	866,656
7		2	-	1	-	2	8.7			9	76	16	1,800,827
		1	-	4	-	0	22.6		0	23	73	5	62,540
6		2	-	0	-	3	0.4			0	53	47	1,240,279
		1	-	3	-	1	3.1			3	69	28	518,682
5		1	-	2	-	2	0.1			0	40	59	1,597,008
		0	-	5	-	0	0.4			0	54	45	11,215
4		1	-	1	-	3	Out				16	84	2,186,843
		0	-	4	-	1	Out				24	76	113,993
3		1	-	0	-	4	Out				3	97	1,115,027
		0	-	3	-	2	Out				6	94	465,857
2		0	-	2	-	3	Out				1	99	947,366
0	-1						Out					100	1,341,915	*

Total:							13.8	%	3	11	32	55	14,120,208

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 3/3	100.0*	Lottery seed
Barcelona de Guayaquil 0 Independiente del Valle 3	+4.2
Junior 1 Flamengo 2	+0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/10	100.0*	Lottery seed
Flamengo vs Barcelona de Guayaquil	+2.0-0.3-4.9
Penarol vs Jorge Wilstermann	+0.1+0.0-0.1
Colo-Colo vs Athletico-PR	+0.1+0.0-0.1
Independiente del Valle vs Junior	+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs LDU	+0.1-0.0-0.0
Libertad vs Caracas	-0.0+0.0+0.1
River Plate vs Binacional	+0.1-0.0-0.0
Santos vs Delfin	-0.0+0.0+0.1
Bolivar vs Tigre	+0.0-0.1+0.0
Universidad Catolica vs America de Cali	+0.0-0.1+0.0

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

15	5	-	0	-	0	27	38	23	8	2	0	0		2	0
13	4	-	1	-	0	2	8	19	24	20	10	3	0	12	2	0	0
12	4	-	0	-	1	0	1	3	8	15	16	10	3	23	16	5	1	0	0	0		1	0
11	3	-	2	-	0	0	0	0	2	6	14	19	11	11	18	13	5	1	0	0	0	0	0
10	3	-	1	-	1			0	0	0	1	5	10	2	10	17	19	14	6	2	0	11	1	0	0
9	3	-	0	-	2					0	0	0	1	0	0	2	6	12	15	11	4	26	16	5	1	0	0	0
	2	-	3	-	0					0	0	1	9	0	1	4	10	18	20	13	4	12	6	1	0	0
8	2	-	2	-	1							0	0	0	0	0	0	2	7	15	14	10	19	17	9	3	1	0	0	0
7	2	-	1	-	2												0	0	0	2	7	1	5	12	19	21	17	10	4	1	0	0	0	0
	1	-	4	-	0								0				0	0	1	4	17	1	7	15	20	18	10	4	1	0	0	0
6	2	-	0	-	3														0	0	0	0	0	1	2	7	13	20	22	18	11	5	1	0	0	0
	1	-	3	-	1														0	0	3	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	20	13	6	2	1	0	0	0
5	1	-	2	-	2																0		0	0	0	0	2	6	12	20	23	19	11	5	1	0	0
	0	-	5	-	0																0				0	1	3	9	18	23	22	15	6	2	0	0	0
4	1	-	1	-	3																				0	0	0	0	1	3	9	18	24	23	15	5	1
	0	-	4	-	1																					0	0	0	2	6	13	22	25	19	10	3	0
3	1	-	0	-	4																							0	0	0	0	3	9	21	31	27	10
	0	-	3	-	2																							0	0	0	1	4	12	24	30	22	7
2	0	-	2	-	3																									0	0	0	1	7	22	39	30
1	0	-	1	-	4																											0	0	1	7	30	62
0	0	-	0	-	5																												0	0	0	8	91

Total:						0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	4	4	5	5	5	5	6	7	7	8	9	10