"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
I. del Valle 5 Flamengo 0 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Barcelona SC vs Junior+5.3-2.1-4.1
+0.3-0.1-0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Barcelona SC vs Flamengo+12.1-2.7-4.9
+0.3-0.0-0.2
Junior vs I. del Valle-0.9-0.3+0.2
-0.2-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Barcelona SC finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
124-0-099.1%1782110,322
103-1-087.20871382,967
93-0-161.4061390225,633
82-2-035.035650160,330
72-1-117.317821769,940
62-0-22.028810884,507
1-3-02.42952116,190
51-2-1Out8119782,418
41-1-2Out49511,713,809
0-4-0Out683228,440
31-0-3Out12881,222,475
0-3-1Out2773245,159
20-2-2Out397779,826
0-1Out1001,630,992*
Total:5.0%0540558,653,008

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/15100.0*Lottery seed
U. Catolica 2 Gremio 0 +0.3
Binacional 0 LDU 1 -0.1
I. Medellin 2 Caracas 3 -0.0
Bolivar 1 Palmeiras 2 -0.0
Defensa y Justicia 3 Delfin 0 +0.0
Internacional 4 America de Cali 3 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Barcelona SC vs Junior-2.9+0.8+2.5
Guarani vs Tigre-0.1+0.0+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/23100.0*Lottery seed
Barcelona SC vs Flamengo-3.8+0.2+1.9
Delfin vs Santos+0.3+0.1-0.1
I. Medellin vs Boca Juniors+0.3+0.1-0.1
Alianza Lima vs Racing+0.2+0.0-0.1
Junior vs I. del Valle+0.2+0.1-0.1
Binacional vs River Plate+0.2+0.1-0.1
E. de Merida vs Nacional+0.2+0.1-0.0
Tigre vs Bolivar+0.1-0.0-0.0
Defensa y Justicia vs Olimpia+0.1+0.0-0.1
Caracas vs Libertad+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
124-0-0014652452981001
103-1-0000031221231682011100
93-0-10000261318156191351000
82-2-0000161314102020114100
72-1-1000314161320201472000
62-0-2002001391824221351000
1-3-000200151323272082000
51-2-10001310222922103000
41-1-2000141121272111310
0-4-00015172927155100
31-0-3000028203026122
0-3-100031225312171
20-2-20317353312
10-1-303164041
00-0-4011485
Total:000000000011121122345567889101112